North Carolina at Duke Game Matchup
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Thursday, November 10th 2016 (7:30 PM EST)
North Carolina -10.5 (66.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 28 - North Carolina: 27  (ACC)

 
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (27 - 21 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -18.5)
PPG only: UNC: 28 - DUKE: 27 (55)
UNC Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UNC Travel: 9 miles
Blue Devils (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/3 North Carolina vs Georgia+3.560.0L 24 - 33
Sat 9/10 North Carolina at Illinois-7.059.5W 48 - 23
Sat 9/17 North Carolina vs James Madison-24.5 W 56 - 28
Sat 9/24 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-7.067.0W 37 - 36
Sat 10/1 North Carolina at Florida State+12.072.5W 37 - 35
Sat 10/8 North Carolina vs Virginia Tech-5.549.5L 3 - 34
Sat 10/15 North Carolina at Miami+7.067.0W 20 - 13
Sat 10/22 North Carolina at Virginia-9.068.5W 35 - 14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-9.563.5W 48 - 20
Thu 11/10 North Carolina at Duke-10.566.5L 27 - 28
Sat 11/19 North Carolina vs The Citadel-24.0 W 41 - 7
Fri 11/25 North Carolina vs NC State-10.063.0L 21 - 28
Fri 12/30 North Carolina vs Stanford+2.555.0L 23 - 25
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Duke's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/3 Duke vs North Carolina Central-37.0 W 49 - 6
Sat 9/10 Duke vs Wake Forest-8.545.5L 14 - 24
Sat 9/17 Duke at Northwestern+4.044.0L 13 - 24
Sat 9/24 Duke at Notre Dame+20.060.5W 38 - 35
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-5.060.5L 20 - 34
Sat 10/8 Duke vs Army-6.043.0W 13 - 6
Fri 10/14 Duke at Louisville+27.569.5L 14 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Duke at Georgia Tech+8.550.5L 35 - 38
Sat 11/5 Duke vs Virginia Tech+10.055.5L 21 - 24
Thu 11/10 Duke vs North Carolina+10.566.5W 28 - 27
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.561.5L 14 - 56
Sat 11/26 Duke at Miami+14.055.0L 21 - 40
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UNC's OC vs DUKE's DC      DUKE's OC vs UNC's DC

Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%30.90%000%000%28.10%0%0000
DUKE0%26.30%000%000%24.50%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1430.927.20%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense1324.519.30%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1428.120.80%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1326.325.70%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina140:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke130:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense140%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense130%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense140%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense130%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense140%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense130%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense140%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense130%0%000000000%0%0%0

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2016 Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
North Carolina's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #21
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #41

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #21
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #41

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Duke: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 15.9   Duke: -2.8




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Duke's Offense Rating: #NR
Duke's Defense Rating: #NR
2016 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Duke's 2016 Expected Record: -

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #80
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #82
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

North Carolina's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 28
Duke 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20DukeNorth Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North CarolinaNorth Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North CarolinaNorth Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35DukeDuke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27DukeNorth Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27DukeNorth Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North CarolinaNorth Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45North CarolinaDuke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27DukeNorth Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30Duke
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21North Carolina
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24North Carolina
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6North Carolina
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28North Carolina
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14North Carolina
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45North Carolina
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21North Carolina
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40North Carolina
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30Duke
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17North Carolina
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke765 Overs
North Carolina1765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #41
Talent Rating: #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

North Carolina     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #29
#48
SP+ #17
#80
SP+ Off #21
#82
SP+ Def #41
#57

Rematch from Week 11
North Carolina 10.5 (66.5)
Duke won vs North Carolina this year (28-27)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 51°

Team Information
Injuries: UNC | DUKE
Depth Chart: UNC | DUKE
Rosters: UNC | DUKE
(#NR) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #80
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #57
Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
North Carolina's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duke's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

North Carolina's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Duke's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD