Ball State at Kentucky Game Matchup

Ball State Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -25 (49.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 44 - Ball State: 14

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Kentucky -14 (SP+ -24)
PPG only: BALL: 24 - UK: 30 (54)
UK Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 159 miles

Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Kentucky vs Ball State	-25.0	49.0	W 44 - 14
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-35.0	62.5	W 28 - 17
Sat 9/16	Kentucky vs Akron	-25.0	48.5	W 35 - 3
Sat 9/23	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 28
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Florida	-1.0	44.0	W 33 - 14
Sat 10/7	Kentucky at Georgia	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 51
Sat 10/14	Kentucky vs Missouri	-1.5	50.5	L 21 - 38
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+4.0	50.5	L 27 - 33
Sat 11/4	Kentucky at Mississippi State	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 3
Sat 11/11	Kentucky vs Alabama	+10.0	45.5	L 21 - 49
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at South Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 14 - 17
Sat 11/25	Kentucky at Louisville	+7.5	47.5	W 38 - 31
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38

BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs UK's DC Brad White UK's OC Liam Coen vs BALL's DC Tyler Stockton

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.11	40%	25.3	41%	3.22	158	40%	228	3.7	.16	43%	40.1	45%	41%	3.56	57.6	1.8	1.4
UK	.11	40%	20.6	43%	3	116	37%	208	3.23	.07	37%	22.1	38%	37%	3.15	39.5	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	25.3	23	40.1%	3.7	1.8	21	386	158	228	4.5	43%	56%	41%	40%	19%	.11
UK Defense	13	22.1	17.6	37.2%	3.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	37%	14%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	40.1	44.9	43%	3.56	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	45%	41%	17%	.16
UK Offense	13	20.6	21.9	39.8%	3.23	1.5	18	325	116	208	3.3	51%	48%	43%	37%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	27:59	21.3	36%	32%	6.1	57.6	1.8	1.4	5.4	2.1	0	29.3
Kentucky	13	33:08	17.6	34%	62%	5.7	39.5	1.5	1.5	4	1.5	2	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	43%	41%	34.8	157.8	4.5	14	.09	3.22	76%	7%	0.88
UK Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.91	62%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	55%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.26	71%	9%	0.95
UK Offense	13	51%	43%	35.6	116.2	3.3	9	.05	3	65%	13%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	56%	40%	23.9	40.1	228.2	5.7	9.5	18	14	.18	1.3	30%	31%	.26	12%	1.9
UK Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.5	34%	26%	.18	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.23	1.4	32%	30%	.28	8%	1.9
UK Offense	13	48%	37%	17.2	26.8	208.5	7.8	12.1	21	13	.23	1.9	34%	28%	.22	6%	2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -8.44 Kentucky: 5.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Kentucky: 9.3

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 30
Ball State 24

Projected Total Points: 54

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Kentucky	44	Ball State	14	Kentucky	Kentucky -25	Kentucky	49.0	Over
2001	09/08	Kentucky	28	Ball State	20	Kentucky

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	2	1	1 Overs
Ball State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#112) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 526.00 #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Ball State Ratings Matchup Kentucky

Power #112

#43

Off #98

#60

Def #87

#72

Talent #84

#25

SP+ #116

#31

SP+ Off #131

#44

SP+ Def #61

#33

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky -25.0 (49.0)
Kentucky won vs Ball State this year (44-14)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Ball State in 2023 (44-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | UK
Depth Chart: BALL | UK
Rosters: BALL | UK

(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.64 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Ball State's OC Jared Elliott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Kentucky's OC Liam Coen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Kentucky's DC Brad White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD