Fresno State at Purdue Game Matchup
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -4 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Fresno State 39 - Purdue: 35

 
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Fresno State -1    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: FRES: 33 - PUR: 20 (53)
PUR Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 1780 miles, 3 hrs behind
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Fresno State at Purdue+4.047.0W 39 - 35
Sat 9/9 Fresno State vs Eastern Washington-31.563.5W 34 - 31
Sat 9/16 Fresno State at Arizona State-4.048.0W 29 - 0
Sat 9/23 Fresno State vs Kent State-27.547.5W 53 - 10
Sat 9/30 Fresno State vs Nevada-25.550.5W 27 - 9
Sat 10/7 Fresno State at Wyoming-5.543.0L 19 - 24
Fri 10/13 Fresno State at Utah State-5.556.0W 37 - 32
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Fresno State vs UNLV-10.556.0W 31 - 24
Sat 11/4 Fresno State vs Boise State-2.553.5W 37 - 30
Sat 11/11 Fresno State at San José State+2.551.5L 18 - 42
Sat 11/18 Fresno State vs New Mexico-22.558.5L 17 - 25
Sat 11/25 Fresno State at San Diego State-5.547.0L 18 - 33
Sat 12/16 Fresno State vs New Mexico State+3.052.5W 37 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

FRES's OC Pat McCann vs PUR's DC Kevin Kane     PUR's OC Graham Harrell vs FRES's DC Kevin Coyle

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2447%26.147%3.0713348%2704.22.1539%24.842%37%3.2941.111.6
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1426.121.247.1%4.22122403133270442%57%47%48%11%.24
PUR Defense1439.93440.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1424.831.239%3.291.6 - - - - - 51%48%42%37%18%.15
PUR Offense1415.81643.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1431:1621.946%50%4.541.111.65.11.6330.7
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1442%47%33.2133428.173.0777%8%0.86
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1451%42% - - - - .173.1569%9%1.04
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1457%48%23.833.7269.6811.3229.351.328%32%.363%1.8
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1448%37% - - - - - - 12.161.635%32%.329%1.9
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Fresno State's SP+ Ratings
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.07   Purdue: -0.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Purdue's SP+ Ratings
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 33
Purdue 20

Projected Total Points: 53
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Purdue35Fresno State39Fresno StatePurdue -4Fresno State47.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue001 Overs
Fresno State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#59) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Fresno State     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #59
#81
Off #53
#90
Def #45
#83
Talent #89
#65
SP+ #63
#90
SP+ Off #58
#89
SP+ Def #82
#72

Rematch from Week 1
Purdue -4.0 (47.0)
Fresno State won at Purdue this year (39-35)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Purdue in 2023 (39-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: FRES | PUR
Depth Chart: FRES | PUR
Rosters: FRES | PUR
(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30





  
Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
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Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
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Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
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Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
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