NC State at UConn Game Matchup
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Thursday, August 31st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
NC State -14.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 24 - UConn: 14

 
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: NC State -13    (SP+ -25.5)
PPG only: NCST: 26 - CONN: 31 (57)
NCST Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 526 miles
Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 NC State at UConn-14.547.5W 24 - 14
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Notre Dame+7.049.5L 24 - 45
Sat 9/16 NC State vs VMI-42.551.0W 45 - 7
Fri 9/22 NC State at Virginia-8.547.5W 24 - 21
Fri 9/29 NC State vs Louisville+3.556.5L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7 NC State vs Marshall-6.544.0W 48 - 41
Sat 10/14 NC State at Duke+3.544.0L 3 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State vs Clemson+9.544.5W 24 - 17
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Miami+6.544.0W 20 - 6
Sat 11/11 NC State at Wake Forest+0.542.5W 26 - 6
Sat 11/18 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.540.5W 35 - 28
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina+2.055.0W 39 - 20
Thu 12/28 NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
UConn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 UConn vs NC State+14.547.5L 14 - 24
Sat 9/9 UConn at Georgia State+3.054.5L 14 - 35
Sat 9/16 UConn vs Florida International-7.043.0L 17 - 24
Sat 9/23 UConn vs Duke+22.045.0L 7 - 41
Sat 9/30 UConn vs Utah State+4.050.5L 33 - 34
Sat 10/7 UConn at Rice+10.047.5W 38 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UConn vs South Florida-1.057.0L 21 - 24
Sat 10/28 UConn at Boston College+14.549.0L 14 - 21
Sat 11/4 UConn at Tennessee+35.055.5L 3 - 59
Sat 11/11 UConn at James Madison+24.547.5L 6 - 44
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Sacred Heart-25.540.5W 31 - 3
Sat 11/25 UConn at Massachusetts+2.551.0W 31 - 18
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NCST's OC Robert Anae vs CONN's DC Lou Spanos     CONN's OC Nick Charlton vs NCST's DC Tony Gibson

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.1339%28.540%2.8111438%2263.52.135%30.233%37%3.3957.81.21.7
CONN.1138%31.943%3.0319132%1123.67.1947%23.149%46%3.6960.81.62.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.530.838.8%3.521.2203401142263.444%55%40%38%16%.13
CONN Defense1323.116.347.2%3.692.3 - - - - - 52%47%49%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1330.235.535.1%3.391.7 - - - - - 42%57%33%37%19%.1
CONN Offense1331.936.938.2%3.671.6163031911124.762%36%43%32%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1331:2320.436%40%7.357.81.21.76.52.2231.6
UConn1330:1716.237%39%7.160.81.62.34.21.8029.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1344%40%34113.83.48.022.8171%10%0.82
CONN Defense1352%49% - - - - .213.2683%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1342%33% - - - - .012.5153%11%1.04
CONN Offense1362%43%40.4190.94.720.213.0364%13%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1355%38%20.736.2226.16.210.9238.251.535%27%.326%2.1
CONN Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 13.211.327%31%.216%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 19.21.638%30%.368%2
CONN Offense1336%32%12.121.21125.39.31010.11.635%26%.165%2.1

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.66 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.66   UConn: -7.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4   UConn: -16.0




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -7.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

UConn's SP+ Ratings
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 31
NC State 26

Projected Total Points: 57
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202308/31UConn14NC State24NC StateNC State -14.5UConn47.5Under
202209/24NC State41UConn10NC StateNC State -38.5UConn48.0Over
201209/08UConn7NC State10NC State
200310/11NC State31UConn24NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn021 Overs
NC State401 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#34) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.66 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

NC State     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #34
#115
Off #83
#102
Def #17
#109
Talent #58
#111
SP+ #30
#122
SP+ Off #69
#118
SP+ Def #16
#97

Rematch from Week 1
NC State 14.5 (47.5)
NC State won at UConn this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat UConn in 2023 (24-14)
NC State beat UConn in 2022 (41-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NCST | CONN
Depth Chart: NCST | CONN
Rosters: NCST | CONN
(#115) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.25 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40





  
NC State's OC Robert Anae
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UConn's OC Nick Charlton
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NC State's DC Tony Gibson
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UConn's DC Lou Spanos
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