Illinois at Kansas Game Matchup

Illinois Fighting Illini at Kansas Jayhawks

Friday, September 8th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kansas -3.5 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kansas 34 - Illinois: 23

Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kansas -10 (SP+ -12)
PPG only: ILL: 27 - KU: 26 (53)
KU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 382 miles

Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Illinois vs Toledo	-7.0	45.5	W 30 - 28
Fri 9/8	Illinois at Kansas	+3.5	57.5	L 23 - 34
Sat 9/16	Illinois vs Penn State	+14.0	47.5	L 13 - 30
Sat 9/23	Illinois vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	45.5	W 23 - 17
Sat 9/30	Illinois at Purdue	+1.0	54.0	L 19 - 44
Fri 10/6	Illinois vs Nebraska	-3.5	43.0	L 7 - 20
Sat 10/14	Illinois at Maryland	+13.5	52.0	W 27 - 24
Sat 10/21	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+3.0	40.5	L 21 - 25
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Illinois at Minnesota	+1.5	43.0	W 27 - 26
Sat 11/11	Illinois vs Indiana	-4.5	43.5	W 48 - 45
Sat 11/18	Illinois at Iowa	+2.5	33.5	L 13 - 15
Sat 11/25	Illinois vs Northwestern	-5.0	46.5	L 43 - 45

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Kansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 9/1	Kansas vs Missouri State	-32.5	60.5	W 48 - 17
Fri 9/8	Kansas vs Illinois	-3.5	57.5	W 34 - 23
Sat 9/16	Kansas at Nevada	-28.5	58.0	W 31 - 24
Sat 9/23	Kansas vs BYU	-9.0	55.5	W 38 - 27
Sat 9/30	Kansas at Texas	+15.5	61.0	L 14 - 40
Sat 10/7	Kansas vs UCF	+2.0	65.0	W 51 - 22
Sat 10/14	Kansas at Oklahoma State	-3.0	54.0	L 32 - 39
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+7.0	66.5	W 38 - 33
Sat 11/4	Kansas at Iowa State	+2.5	53.0	W 28 - 21
Sat 11/11	Kansas vs Texas Tech	-3.5	61.5	L 13 - 16
Sat 11/18	Kansas vs Kansas State	+7.0	60.5	L 27 - 31
Sat 11/25	Kansas at Cincinnati	-7.5	59.5	W 49 - 16
Tue 12/26	Kansas vs UNLV	-8.0	64.5	W 49 - 36

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs KU's DC Brian Borland KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	.15	44%	28.3	43%	3.07	168	45%	209	3.37	-.02	33%	21.7	30%	36%	2.2	59.1	1.2	2.5
KU	.34	45%	29.7	42%	3.18	184	49%	254	4.46	.28	47%	26	50%	45%	4.01	46.5	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	13	28.3	21.3	43.8%	3.37	1.2	21	377	168	209	4	54%	46%	43%	45%	13%	.15
KU Defense	13	26	26	47.4%	4.01	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	50%	45%	12%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	13	21.7	28.5	32.8%	2.2	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	30%	36%	22%	-.02
KU Offense	13	29.7	29.7	44.8%	4.46	1.5	20	438	184	254	5.4	52%	48%	42%	49%	13%	.34

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	13	32:41	21.2	38%	48%	6.4	59.1	1.2	2.5	6.1	2.1	1	30.1
Kansas	13	28:50	20.3	51%	47%	5.3	46.5	1.5	1.8	4.4	1.8	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	13	54%	43%	41.9	167.7	4	18	.08	3.07	72%	10%	0.85
KU Defense	13	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.49	77%	7%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	13	45%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.64	50%	11%	1.1
KU Offense	13	52%	42%	34.3	183.5	5.4	29	.2	3.18	74%	8%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	13	46%	45%	21	30.2	209.4	6.9	10	15	5	.25	1.4	30%	32%	.24	2%	1.7
KU Defense	13	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.35	1.5	29%	37%	.47	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	24	.07	1.4	36%	23%	.05	11%	2
KU Offense	13	48%	49%	18.6	28.5	254.4	8.9	13.7	32	8	.53	1.8	31%	39%	.6	5%	2.1

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -0.29 Kansas: 9.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -2.6 Kansas: 9.3

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 9.75 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40

Kansas's SP+ Ratings
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 27
Kansas 26

Projected Total Points: 53

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Illinois	23	Kansas	17	Illinois	Kansas -4.5	Illinois	58.5	Under
2023	09/08	Kansas	34	Illinois	23	Kansas	Kansas -3.5	Kansas	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas	1	1	0 Overs
Illinois	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Illinois Ratings Matchup Kansas

Power #63

#27

Off #47

Def #104

#98

Talent #62

#69

SP+ #75

#31

SP+ Off #90

#22

SP+ Def #49

#58

Rematch from Week 2
Kansas -3.5 (57.5)
Kansas won vs Illinois this year (34-23)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Kansas last year (23-17)
Kansas beat Illinois in 2023 (34-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 82° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | KU
Depth Chart: ILL | KU
Rosters: ILL | KU

(#27) Kansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.75 #27
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Kansas's OC Andy Kotelnicki

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Kansas's DC Brian Borland

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD