Arizona at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -9 (60.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 31 - Arizona: 24

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arizona -12    (SP+ -12.5)
PPG only: ARIZ: 28 - MSST: 29 (57)
MSST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ARIZ Travel: 1287 miles, 2 hrs behind
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana-31.559.5W 48 - 7
Sat 9/9 Mississippi State vs Arizona-9.060.0W 31 - 24
Sat 9/16 Mississippi State vs LSU+9.554.0L 14 - 41
Sat 9/23 Mississippi State at South Carolina+6.046.5L 30 - 37
Sat 9/30 Mississippi State vs Alabama+16.545.0L 17 - 40
Sat 10/7 Mississippi State vs Western Michigan-21.554.5W 41 - 28
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+6.546.5W 7 - 3
Sat 10/28 Mississippi State at Auburn+6.540.0L 13 - 27
Sat 11/4 Mississippi State vs Kentucky+5.544.5L 3 - 24
Sat 11/11 Mississippi State at Texas A&M+16.540.5L 10 - 51
Sat 11/18 Mississippi State vs Southern Miss-18.547.5W 41 - 20
Thu 11/23 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss+11.056.0L 7 - 17
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll vs MSST's DC Matt Brock     MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ.2948%21.853%3.3314445%3183.89.3653%31.857%51%4.48501.82.3
MSST.1946%25.845%2.968247%3104.23.0939%34.141%38%3.5360.81.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1221.817.847.7%3.891.8244621443184.941%57%53%45%16%.29
MSST Defense1334.134.939.2%3.531.9 - - - - - 46%53%41%38%18%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1231.837.453.4%4.482.3 - - - - - 50%50%57%51%13%.36
MSST Offense1325.830.746.2%4.231.523393823103.630%70%45%47%16%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1228:0324.142%43%5.4501.82.34.61.3027.5
Mississippi State1329:5822.839%52%6.360.81.51.96.42.4531.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1241%53%29.31444.919.223.3367%9%0.96
MSST Defense1346%41% - - - - .142.7959%11%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1250%57% - - - - .343.6379%9%1
MSST Offense1330%45%22.882.43.612.122.9660%8%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1257%45%23.638.3318.48.313.52613.391.829%36%.497%2.3
MSST Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 14.11.634%28%.096%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1250%51% - - - - - - 4.41.425%39%.565%2
MSST Offense1370%47%32.848.8310.46.49.5369.221.227%30%.318%2

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Arizona's SP+ Ratings
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35   Mississippi State: -1.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1   Mississippi State: -0.4




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 29
Arizona 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Mississippi State31Arizona24Mississippi StateMississippi State -9Arizona60.0Under
202209/10Arizona17Mississippi State39Mississippi StateMississippi State -11.5Mississippi State57.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State210 Overs
Arizona012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#20) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Arizona     Ratings Matchup     Mississippi State
Power #20
#84
Off #6
#120
Def #53
#85
Talent #27
#31
SP+ #20
#66
SP+ Off #15
#78
SP+ Def #41
#55

Rematch from Week 2
Mississippi State -9.0 (60.0)
Mississippi State won vs Arizona this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Arizona in 2023 (31-24)
Mississippi State beat Arizona in 2022 (39-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | MSST
Depth Chart: ARIZ | MSST
Rosters: ARIZ | MSST
(#84) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90





  
Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll
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Mississippi State's OC Kevin Barbay
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Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Mississippi State's DC Matt Brock
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