Middle Tennessee at Missouri Game Matchup
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -21 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 23 - Middle Tennessee: 19

 
Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -21.5    (SP+ -27)
PPG only: MTSU: 19 - MIZ: 32 (51)
MIZ Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
MTSU Travel: 391 miles
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Middle Tennessee at Alabama+39.552.0L 7 - 56
Sat 9/9 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+21.047.5L 19 - 23
Sat 9/16 Middle Tennessee vs Murray State-34.551.0W 35 - 14
Sat 9/23 Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State-3.550.0L 23 - 31
Thu 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+6.561.0L 10 - 31
Wed 10/4 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State-2.552.0L 30 - 45
Tue 10/10 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-3.053.5W 31 - 23
Tue 10/17 Middle Tennessee at Liberty+16.056.5L 35 - 42
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+3.055.5L 7 - 13
Sat 11/11 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-10.550.5W 40 - 6
Sat 11/18 Middle Tennessee vs UTEP-8.548.5W 34 - 30
Sat 11/25 Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston-3.549.5L 20 - 23
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart vs MIZ's DC Blake Baker     MIZ's OC Kirby Moore vs MTSU's DC Scott Shafer

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1440%18.140%2.6910941%2653.45.141%34.340%43%3.6358.81.42.8
MIZ.1641%28.941%2.8915641%2134.26.1538%20.437%39%3.863.71.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1318.114.240.3%3.451.4203741092653.240%59%40%41%18%.14
MIZ Defense1320.415.637.7%3.81.8 - - - - - 49%51%37%39%21%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1334.335.840.9%3.632.8 - - - - - 41%58%40%43%20%.1
MIZ Offense1328.932.140.6%4.261.5193701562134.151%48%41%41%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1328:4220.234%58%6.658.81.42.86.42.7631.8
Missouri1331:0518.540%50%7.863.71.51.872.7328.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1340%40%34.7109.53.220.12.6976%12%1
MIZ Defense1349%37% - - - - .12.7267%14%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1341%40% - - - - .042.6455%10%0.95
MIZ Offense1351%41%37.9156.54.121.112.8970%13%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1359%41%26.239.4264.86.710.12111.211.533%32%.335%1.9
MIZ Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 11.221.634%28%.228%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1358%43% - - - - - - 20.251.633%35%.369%2
MIZ Offense1348%41%1930.1213.27.111.2139.251.634%33%.344%2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -7.24 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -7.24   Missouri: 14.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -9.4   Missouri: 17.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 14.43 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Missouri's SP+ Ratings
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 32
Middle Tennessee 19

Projected Total Points: 51
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Missouri23Middle Tennessee19MissouriMissouri -21Middle Tennessee47.5Under
201610/22Missouri45Middle Tennessee51Middle TennesseeMissouri -4Middle Tennessee72.0Over
200309/20Missouri41Middle Tennessee40Missouri
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri201 Overs
Middle Tennessee121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#101) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.24 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90

Middle Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Missouri
Power #101
#14
Off #109
#15
Def #69
#38
Talent #124
#37
SP+ #100
#12
SP+ Off #92
#11
SP+ Def #89
#23

Rematch from Week 2
Missouri -21.0 (47.5)
Missouri won vs Middle Tennessee this year (23-19)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (23-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | MIZ
Depth Chart: MTSU | MIZ
Rosters: MTSU | MIZ
(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.43 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60





  
Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart
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Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
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Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Missouri's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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