Penn State at Illinois Game Matchup
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -14 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 30 - Illinois: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 18 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -28.5)
PPG only: PSU: 27 - ILL: 22 (49)
PSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
PSU Travel: 548 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Illinois vs Toledo-7.045.5W 30 - 28
Fri 9/8 Illinois at Kansas+3.557.5L 23 - 34
Sat 9/16 Illinois vs Penn State+14.047.5L 13 - 30
Sat 9/23 Illinois vs Florida Atlantic-16.045.5W 23 - 17
Sat 9/30 Illinois at Purdue+1.054.0L 19 - 44
Fri 10/6 Illinois vs Nebraska-3.543.0L 7 - 20
Sat 10/14 Illinois at Maryland+13.552.0W 27 - 24
Sat 10/21 Illinois vs Wisconsin+3.040.5L 21 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Illinois at Minnesota+1.543.0W 27 - 26
Sat 11/11 Illinois vs Indiana-4.543.5W 48 - 45
Sat 11/18 Illinois at Iowa+2.533.5L 13 - 15
Sat 11/25 Illinois vs Northwestern-5.046.5L 43 - 45
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry     ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs PSU's DC Manny Diaz

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.2643%33.141%3.0318146%2534.61.0838%16.543%36%3.3948.31.12.7
ILL.1544%28.343%3.0716845%2093.37-.0233%21.730%36%2.259.11.22.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1333.13443.4%4.611.1214341812534.851%49%41%46%13%.26
ILL Defense1321.717.632.8%2.22.5 - - - - - 45%53%30%36%22%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1316.51838.5%3.392.7 - - - - - 41%59%43%36%25%.08
ILL Offense1328.33243.8%3.371.221377168209454%46%43%45%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1330:3321.238%70%5.348.31.12.77.83.2230.1
Illinois1332:4121.238%48%6.459.11.22.56.12.1130.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1351%41%37.6181.14.828.183.0375%8%1.17
ILL Defense1345%30% - - - - -.032.6450%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1341%43% - - - - .132.6672%15%0.99
ILL Offense1354%43%41.9167.7418.083.0772%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1349%46%20.832.5252.57.812.2297.341.630%33%.425%2.1
ILL Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 24.071.436%23%.0511%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1359%36% - - - - - - 14.061.537%29%.2911%2.1
ILL Offense1346%45%2130.2209.46.910155.251.430%32%.242%1.7

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: #NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: #NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Illinois: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 26.0   Illinois: -2.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: #NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: -

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 27
Illinois 22


Projected Total Points: 49
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Penn State21Illinois7Penn StatePenn State -19.5Illinois48.0Under
202309/16Illinois13Penn State30Penn StatePenn State -14Penn State47.5Under
202110/23Penn State18Illinois20IllinoisPenn State -24.5Illinois46.0Under
202012/19Penn State56Illinois21Penn StatePenn State -16Penn State53.5Over
201809/21Illinois24Penn State63Penn StatePenn State -26.5Penn State61.0Over
201510/31Penn State39Illinois0Penn StatePenn State -4Penn State44.5Under
201411/22Illinois16Penn State14IllinoisPenn State -4.5Illinois0
201311/02Penn State24Illinois17Penn StatePenn State -10Illinois0
201209/29Illinois7Penn State35Penn State
201110/29Penn State10Illinois7Penn State
201010/09Penn State13Illinois33Illinois
200910/03Illinois17Penn State35Penn State
200809/27Penn State38Illinois24Penn State
200709/29Illinois27Penn State20Illinois
200610/21Penn State26Illinois12Penn State
200510/22Illinois10Penn State63Penn State
200211/02Penn State18Illinois7Penn State
200111/10Illinois33Penn State28Illinois
200010/20Penn State39Illinois25Penn State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois542 Overs
Penn State1444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 73 - 52 - 31 - 2
Road Teams7 - 125 - 32 - 13 - 2

(#NR) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Penn State     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #11
#62
SP+ #4
#75
SP+ Off #26
#90
SP+ Def #4
#49

Rematch from Week 3
Penn State 14.0 (47.5)
Penn State won at Illinois this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Illinois last year (21-7)
Penn State beat Illinois in 2023 (30-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: PSU | ILL
Depth Chart: PSU | ILL
Rosters: PSU | ILL
(#NR) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
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Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
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Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
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Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
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