Akron at Kentucky Game Matchup

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -25 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 35 - Akron: 3

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kentucky -19.5 (SP+ -31)
PPG only: AKR: 21 - UK: 26 (47)
UK Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
AKR Travel: 264 miles

Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Kentucky vs Ball State	-25.0	49.0	W 44 - 14
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-35.0	62.5	W 28 - 17
Sat 9/16	Kentucky vs Akron	-25.0	48.5	W 35 - 3
Sat 9/23	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 28
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Florida	-1.0	44.0	W 33 - 14
Sat 10/7	Kentucky at Georgia	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 51
Sat 10/14	Kentucky vs Missouri	-1.5	50.5	L 21 - 38
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+4.0	50.5	L 27 - 33
Sat 11/4	Kentucky at Mississippi State	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 3
Sat 11/11	Kentucky vs Alabama	+10.0	45.5	L 21 - 49
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at South Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 14 - 17
Sat 11/25	Kentucky at Louisville	+7.5	47.5	W 38 - 31
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38

AKR's OC Billy Fessler vs UK's DC Brad White UK's OC Liam Coen vs AKR's DC Tim Tibesar

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	.14	44%	20.4	46%	3.14	86	43%	260	3.16	.27	44%	32	42%	47%	4.34	54.3	1.8	0.8
UK	.11	40%	20.6	43%	3	116	37%	208	3.23	.07	37%	22.1	38%	37%	3.15	39.5	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	20.4	16.9	43.8%	3.16	1.8	21	346	86	260	3	37%	62%	46%	43%	30%	.14
UK Defense	13	22.1	17.6	37.2%	3.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	37%	14%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	32	37.3	44.1%	4.34	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	47%	20%	.27
UK Offense	13	20.6	21.9	39.8%	3.23	1.5	18	325	116	208	3.3	51%	48%	43%	37%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	27:41	21.2	34%	50%	6	54.3	1.8	0.8	4.8	1.5	1	27.4
Kentucky	13	33:08	17.6	34%	62%	5.7	39.5	1.5	1.5	4	1.5	2	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	37%	46%	29	85.5	3	15	.02	3.14	70%	20%	0.81
UK Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.91	62%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.95	71%	12%	1.02
UK Offense	13	51%	43%	35.6	116.2	3.3	9	.05	3	65%	13%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	62%	43%	24.7	38.1	260.3	6.8	10.6	13	10	.27	1.5	31%	35%	.32	10%	2.1
UK Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.5	34%	26%	.18	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	45%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	31%	30%	.4	8%	2.2
UK Offense	13	48%	37%	17.2	26.8	208.5	7.8	12.1	21	13	.23	1.9	34%	28%	.22	6%	2

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Akron's SP+ Ratings
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90 Kentucky: 5.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6 Kentucky: 9.3

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 5.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 26
Akron 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Kentucky	35	Akron	3	Kentucky	Kentucky -25	Kentucky	48.5	Under
2010	09/18	Kentucky	47	Akron	10	Kentucky

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	2	1	0 Overs
Akron	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#130) Akron Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90
Talent Rating: 390.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80

Akron Ratings Matchup Kentucky

Power #130

#43

Off #129

#60

Def #63

#72

Talent #117

#25

SP+ #128

#31

SP+ Off #132

#44

SP+ Def #90

#33

Rematch from Week 3
Kentucky -25.0 (48.5)
Kentucky won vs Akron this year (35-3)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Akron in 2023 (35-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 73° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | UK
Depth Chart: AKR | UK
Rosters: AKR | UK

(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.64 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Akron's OC Billy Fessler

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Kentucky's OC Liam Coen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Akron's DC Tim Tibesar

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Kentucky's DC Brad White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD