Minnesota at North Carolina Game Matchup

Minnesota Golden Gophers at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -7 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 31 - Minnesota: 13

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Carolina -15.5 (SP+ -12)
PPG only: MINN: 27 - UNC: 24 (51)
UNC Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 971 miles, 1 hrs behind

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+2.5	63.5	W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9	North Carolina vs App State	-18.0	58.0	W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16	North Carolina vs Minnesota	-7.0	51.0	W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-7.0	49.5	W 41 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9.5	59.0	W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-2.5	57.5	W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21	North Carolina vs Virginia	-24.0	58.0	L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-12.0	65.5	L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4	North Carolina vs Campbell	-45.5	68.5	W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11	North Carolina vs Duke	-9.5	52.5	W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18	North Carolina at Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25	North Carolina at NC State	-2.0	55.0	L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs MINN's DC Nick Monroe

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.24	48%	26.2	49%	3.3	207	48%	182	4.36	.12	37%	16.9	38%	36%	2.84	31.8	1	1.6
UNC	.3	46%	30.9	45%	3.18	153	47%	309	4.47	.29	48%	28.1	49%	48%	4.51	55.3	1	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	26.2	22.6	47.8%	4.36	1	22	390	207	182	4.6	64%	35%	49%	48%	12%	.24
UNC Defense	14	28.1	33.4	48.3%	4.51	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	48%	12%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	16.9	18.8	36.7%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	36%	13%	.12
UNC Offense	14	30.9	36	46.2%	4.47	1	25	463	153	309	4.2	45%	55%	45%	47%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	34:28	21.5	52%	55%	3.5	31.8	1	1.6	3.3	1.5	1	29.6
North Carolina	14	29:55	24.6	46%	71%	6.1	55.3	1	1.1	3.4	1.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	64%	49%	44.8	207.4	4.6	33	.22	3.3	85%	7%	0.9
UNC Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.25	79%	6%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.99	76%	7%	0.99
UNC Offense	14	45%	45%	36.4	153.4	4.2	24	.18	3.18	72%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	35%	48%	13.2	21.6	182.2	8.4	13.8	12	9	.37	1.5	28%	40%	.45	5%	1.7
UNC Defense	14	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.6	28%	31%	.4	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.5	37%	25%	.21	6%	1.8
UNC Offense	14	55%	47%	24.6	37.5	309.3	8.3	12.6	38	7	.41	1.6	32%	40%	.5	4%	1.9

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Minnesota's SP+ Ratings
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -4.18 North Carolina: 11.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -1.3 North Carolina: 10.2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 11.47 #25
North Carolina's Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
North Carolina's Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 27
North Carolina 24

Projected Total Points: 51

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/29	Minnesota	17	North Carolina	19	North Carolina	North Carolina -2.0	NA	52.5	Under
2023	09/16	North Carolina	31	Minnesota	13	North Carolina	North Carolina -7	North Carolina	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	2	1	0 Overs
Minnesota	0	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#88) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Minnesota Ratings Matchup North Carolina

Power #88

#25

Off #108

#20

Def #99

#81

Talent #30

#16

SP+ #69

#27

SP+ Off #105

#13

SP+ Def #37

#71

Rematch from Week 3
North Carolina -7.0 (51.0)
North Carolina won vs Minnesota this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Minnesota last year (19-17)
North Carolina beat Minnesota in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | UNC
Depth Chart: MINN | UNC
Rosters: MINN | UNC

(#25) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.47 #25
Offense Rating: 22.89 #20
Defense Rating: 10.64 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #18
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD