New Mexico State at Hawai'i Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (11:59 PM EDT)
Hawai'i -4 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Hawai'i 20 - New Mexico State: 17

 
Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 21.9 MPHNMSU 3rd straight Road Game
Our Line: New Mexico State -11    (SP+ -17.5)
PPG only: NMSU: 24 - HAW: 29 (53)
HAW Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 3210 miles, 4 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.045.5L 30 - 41
Sat 9/2 New Mexico State vs Western Illinois-21.055.0W 58 - 21
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at Liberty+9.054.5L 17 - 33
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State at New Mexico+2.552.0W 27 - 17
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+4.054.5L 17 - 20
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 New Mexico State vs Florida International-6.549.5W 34 - 17
Wed 10/11 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-4.543.0W 27 - 13
Wed 10/18 New Mexico State at UTEP-3.048.5W 28 - 7
Tue 10/24 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+3.055.0W 27 - 24
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.055.5W 13 - 7
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+4.555.5W 38 - 29
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Auburn+25.548.5W 31 - 10
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State-2.048.5W 20 - 17
Fri 12/1 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.554.0L 35 - 49
Sat 12/16 New Mexico State vs Fresno State-3.052.5L 10 - 37
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Hawai'i at Vanderbilt+17.054.5L 28 - 35
Fri 9/1 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.054.0L 24 - 37
Sat 9/9 Hawai'i vs UAlbany-10.558.5W 31 - 20
Sat 9/16 Hawai'i at Oregon+38.567.5L 10 - 55
Sat 9/23 Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-4.054.5W 20 - 17
Sat 9/30 Hawai'i at UNLV+10.558.5L 20 - 44
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+6.051.5L 34 - 41
Sat 10/21 Hawai'i at New Mexico-1.560.0L 21 - 42
Sat 10/28 Hawai'i vs San José State+10.557.0L 0 - 35
Sat 11/4 Hawai'i at Nevada+3.550.5W 27 - 14
Sat 11/11 Hawai'i vs Air Force+22.547.5W 27 - 13
Sat 11/18 Hawai'i at Wyoming+13.545.5L 9 - 42
Sat 11/25 Hawai'i vs Colorado State+6.054.0W 27 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NMSU's OC Tim Beck vs HAW's DC Jacob Yoro     HAW's OC Roman Sapolu vs NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1838%21.640%2.8816236%1694.18.1643%36.347%40%3.8657.41.41.2
HAW.0840%22.349%3.413734%2063.03.2846%2648%45%4.2450.21.50.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1321.612.637.7%4.181.4173311621694.656%43%40%36%19%.18
HAW Defense132619.646%4.240.9 - - - - - 53%46%48%45%12%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1336.338.443%3.861.2 - - - - - 53%46%47%40%17%.16
HAW Offense1322.327.139.8%3.031.5193431372064.443%56%49%34%16%.08

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1328:5116.639%73%6.557.41.41.25.52.1128.7
Hawai'i1328:1618.835%53%5.650.21.50.94.21.4128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1356%40%34.9161.64.624.132.8884%11%1.08
HAW Defense1353%48% - - - - .233.5173%7%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1353%47% - - - - .173.1178%11%0.9
HAW Offense1343%49%31.2137.24.416.143.478%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1343%36%12.223.5169.27.213.81813.251.935%30%.328%2
HAW Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 10.41.630%39%.445%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 7.211.530%30%.376%2
HAW Offense1356%34%20.137.7205.55.510.21312.061.532%22%.047%2.1

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 0.03 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 0.03   Hawai'i: -10.94

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0   Hawai'i: -16.7




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -10.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60

Hawai'i's SP+ Ratings
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 29
New Mexico State 24

Projected Total Points: 53
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Hawai'i20New Mexico State17Hawai'iHawai'i -4New Mexico State54.5Under
202209/24New Mexico State45Hawai'i26New Mexico StateNew Mexico State -4.5New Mexico State53.0Over
202110/23Hawai'i48New Mexico State34Hawai'iHawai'i -18New Mexico State62.5Over
202109/25New Mexico State21Hawai'i41Hawai'iHawai'i -17Hawai'i63.0Under
201110/23Hawai'i45New Mexico State34Hawai'i
201011/27New Mexico State24Hawai'i59Hawai'i
200911/14Hawai'i24New Mexico State6Hawai'i
200811/08New Mexico State30Hawai'i42Hawai'i
200710/28Hawai'i50New Mexico State13Hawai'i
200610/21New Mexico State30Hawai'i49Hawai'i
200510/16Hawai'i49New Mexico State28Hawai'i
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i1012 Overs
New Mexico State132 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 41 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 73 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#60) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.03 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60

New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Hawai'i
Power #60
#127
Off #17
#103
Def #77
#118
Talent #128
#126
SP+ #62
#123
SP+ Off #75
#111
SP+ Def #46
#121

Rematch from Week 4
Hawai'i -4.0 (54.5)
Hawai'i won vs New Mexico State this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat New Mexico State in 2023 (20-17)
New Mexico State beat Hawai'i in 2022 (45-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 22 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | HAW
Depth Chart: NMSU | HAW
Rosters: NMSU | HAW
(#127) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.94 #127
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121
Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60





  
New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck
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Hawai'i's OC Roman Sapolu
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New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling
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Hawai'i's DC Jacob Yoro
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