Arkansas at LSU Game Matchup

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
LSU -17.5 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
LSU 34 - Arkansas: 31 (SEC)

Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: LSU -16 (SP+ -16)
PPG only: ARK: 28 - LSU: 28 (56)
LSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ARK Travel: 427 miles

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Arkansas vs Western Carolina	-38.0	61.0	W 56 - 13
Sat 9/9	Arkansas vs Kent State	-38.0	57.5	W 28 - 6
Sat 9/16	Arkansas vs BYU	-9.0	48.0	L 31 - 38
Sat 9/23	Arkansas at LSU	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	53.5	L 22 - 34
Sat 10/7	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+13.0	61.5	L 20 - 27
Sat 10/14	Arkansas at Alabama	+19.0	45.0	L 21 - 24
Sat 10/21	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-6.5	46.5	L 3 - 7
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Arkansas at Florida	+4.5	50.0	W 39 - 36
Sat 11/11	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	46.5	L 10 - 48
Sat 11/18	Arkansas vs Florida International	-27.5	49.5	W 44 - 20
Fri 11/24	Arkansas vs Missouri	+9.5	53.5	L 14 - 48

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31

ARK's OC Kenny Guiton vs LSU's DC Matt House LSU's OC Mike Denbrock vs ARK's DC Travis Williams

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	.26	46%	30.9	48%	3.23	237	43%	234	4.18	.25	43%	25	45%	41%	3.65	55.6	1.4	1.7
LSU	.33	51%	30.5	55%	3.63	184	48%	269	4.6	.16	41%	24.3	45%	37%	3.34	52.1	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	13	30.9	33.5	45.6%	4.18	1.4	24	471	237	234	5.1	60%	40%	48%	43%	15%	.26
LSU Defense	14	24.3	21.4	40.8%	3.34	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	37%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	13	25	26.5	42.5%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	41%	16%	.25
LSU Offense	14	30.5	31.9	51.3%	4.6	1.4	25	453	184	269	5	47%	53%	55%	48%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	13	30:22	23.9	46%	45%	6.4	55.6	1.4	1.7	5.6	3	1	31.8
LSU	14	31:01	24.6	49%	50%	6	52.1	1.4	2	4.8	1.9	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	13	60%	48%	46.6	237.3	5.1	27	.14	3.23	71%	11%	0.98
LSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.9	74%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.04	76%	10%	1.08
LSU Offense	14	47%	55%	37	183.8	5	39	.35	3.63	80%	9%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	13	40%	43%	17.7	27.4	233.9	8.5	13.2	26	7	.46	1.9	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1
LSU Defense	14	51%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	32%	32%	.38	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	34%	34%	.5	6%	2.3
LSU Offense	14	53%	48%	23	34.3	269.3	7.9	11.7	23	7	.32	1.4	27%	35%	.43	4%	2

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Arkansas's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 3.28 LSU: 19.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.7 LSU: 18.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 19.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

LSU's SP+ Ratings
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 28
LSU 28

Projected Total Points: 56

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Arkansas	10	LSU	34	LSU	LSU -3	LSU	57.0	Under
2023	09/23	LSU	34	Arkansas	31	LSU	LSU -17.5	Arkansas	55.0	Over
2022	11/12	Arkansas	10	LSU	13	LSU	LSU -5	Arkansas	59.0	Under
2021	11/13	LSU	13	Arkansas	16	Arkansas	Arkansas -3	NA	59.5	Under
2020	11/21	Arkansas	24	LSU	27	LSU	LSU -1.5	LSU	64.5	Under
2019	11/23	LSU	56	Arkansas	20	LSU	LSU -42	Arkansas	69.5	Over
2018	11/10	Arkansas	17	LSU	24	LSU	LSU -12.5	Arkansas	49.5	Under
2017	11/11	LSU	33	Arkansas	10	LSU	LSU -19	LSU	54.5	Under
2016	11/12	Arkansas	10	LSU	38	LSU	LSU -7	LSU	46.5	Over
2015	11/14	LSU	14	Arkansas	31	Arkansas	LSU -9	Arkansas	54.0	Under
2014	11/15	Arkansas	17	LSU	0	Arkansas	Arkansas -1.5	Arkansas	0
2013	11/29	LSU	31	Arkansas	27	LSU	LSU -24.5	Arkansas	0
2012	11/23	Arkansas	13	LSU	20	LSU
2011	11/25	LSU	41	Arkansas	17	LSU
2010	11/27	Arkansas	31	LSU	23	Arkansas
2009	11/28	LSU	33	Arkansas	30	LSU
2008	11/28	Arkansas	31	LSU	30	Arkansas
2007	11/23	LSU	48	Arkansas	50	Arkansas
2006	11/24	Arkansas	26	LSU	31	LSU
2005	11/25	LSU	19	Arkansas	17	LSU
2004	11/26	Arkansas	14	LSU	43	LSU
2003	11/28	LSU	55	Arkansas	24	LSU
2001	11/23	LSU	41	Arkansas	38	LSU
2000	11/23	Arkansas	14	LSU	3	Arkansas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	17	4	3 Overs
Arkansas	7	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 11	4 - 7	2 - 4	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 13	7 - 4	3 - 2	4 - 2

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Arkansas Ratings Matchup LSU

Power #47

Off #65

Def #55

#122

Talent #28

SP+ #58

#10

SP+ Off #57

SP+ Def #69

#55

Rematch from Week 4
LSU -17.5 (55.0)
LSU won vs Arkansas this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 87° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | LSU
Depth Chart: ARK | LSU
Rosters: ARK | LSU

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Arkansas's DC Travis Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LSU's DC Matt House

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD