Colorado State at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Colorado State 31 - Middle Tennessee: 23

 
Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CSU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Colorado State -2    (SP+ -0.5)
PPG only: CSU: 29 - MTSU: 22 (51)
MTSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 1065 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Colorado State vs Washington State+9.554.0L 24 - 50
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Colorado State at Colorado+23.063.0L 35 - 43
Sat 9/23 Colorado State at Middle Tennessee+3.550.0W 31 - 23
Sat 9/30 Colorado State vs Utah Tech W 41 - 20
Sat 10/7 Colorado State at Utah State-3.062.0L 24 - 44
Sat 10/14 Colorado State vs Boise State+7.560.0W 31 - 30
Sat 10/21 Colorado State at UNLV+6.560.0L 23 - 25
Sat 10/28 Colorado State vs Air Force+14.547.0L 13 - 30
Fri 11/3 Colorado State at Wyoming+6.041.0L 15 - 24
Sat 11/11 Colorado State vs San Diego State-3.546.5W 22 - 19
Sat 11/18 Colorado State vs Nevada-12.545.5W 30 - 20
Sat 11/25 Colorado State at Hawai'i-6.054.0L 24 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Middle Tennessee at Alabama+39.552.0L 7 - 56
Sat 9/9 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+21.047.5L 19 - 23
Sat 9/16 Middle Tennessee vs Murray State-34.551.0W 35 - 14
Sat 9/23 Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State-3.550.0L 23 - 31
Thu 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+6.561.0L 10 - 31
Wed 10/4 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State-2.552.0L 30 - 45
Tue 10/10 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-3.053.5W 31 - 23
Tue 10/17 Middle Tennessee at Liberty+16.056.5L 35 - 42
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+3.055.5L 7 - 13
Sat 11/11 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-10.550.5W 40 - 6
Sat 11/18 Middle Tennessee vs UTEP-8.548.5W 34 - 30
Sat 11/25 Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston-3.549.5L 20 - 23
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

CSU's OC Matt Mumme vs MTSU's DC Scott Shafer     MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart vs CSU's DC Freddie Banks

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU.0534%24.436%2.918932%1971.96.1643%25.844%43%4.2460.41.61.7
MTSU.1440%18.140%2.6910941%2653.45.141%34.340%43%3.6358.81.42.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1224.422.433.7%1.961.615286891972.846%54%36%32%24%.05
MTSU Defense1334.332.840.9%3.632.8 - - - - - 41%58%40%43%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1225.830.643.1%4.241.7 - - - - - 52%47%44%43%17%.16
MTSU Offense1318.120.340.3%3.451.4203741092653.240%59%40%41%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1229:2814.723%39%6.960.41.61.75.41.8228.7
Middle Tennessee1328:4220.234%58%6.658.81.42.86.42.7631.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1246%36%32.1892.84.042.9161%18%1.01
MTSU Defense1341%40% - - - - .042.6455%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1252%44% - - - - .153.177%10%1.02
MTSU Offense1340%40%34.7109.53.220.12.6976%12%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1254%32%16.926.8196.87.311.61211.081.839%23%.216%2.4
MTSU Defense1358%43% - - - - - - 20.251.633%35%.369%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1247%43% - - - - - - 8.221.431%30%.257%2
MTSU Offense1359%41%26.239.4264.86.710.12111.211.533%32%.335%1.9

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.44 #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
2023 Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101

Colorado State's SP+ Ratings
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -3.44   Middle Tennessee: -5.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -9.1   Middle Tennessee: -9.4




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -5.24 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 29
Middle Tennessee 22

Projected Total Points: 51
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Middle Tennessee23Colorado State31Colorado StateMiddle Tennessee -3.5Colorado State50.0Over
202209/10Colorado State19Middle Tennessee34Middle TennesseeColorado State -13.5Middle Tennessee58.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee111 Overs
Colorado State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#83) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.44 #83
Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101
Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30

Colorado State     Ratings Matchup     Middle Tennessee
Power #83
#101
Off #78
#109
Def #62
#69
Talent #72
#124
SP+ #99
#100
SP+ Off #93
#92
SP+ Def #101
#89

Rematch from Week 4
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (50.0)
Colorado State won at Middle Tennessee this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (31-23)
Middle Tennessee beat Colorado State in 2022 (34-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CSU | MTSU
Depth Chart: CSU | MTSU
Rosters: CSU | MTSU
(#101) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.24 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90





  
Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
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Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart
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Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks
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Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer
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