Jacksonville State at Sam Houston Game Matchup
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston logo
Thursday, September 28th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Jacksonville State -6.5 (36.5) (-258)  Open: -6.5 | 36.5
Jacksonville State 35 - Sam Houston: 28  (Conference USA)

 
Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Jacksonville State -5.5    (SP+ -13)
PPG only: JVST: 28 - SHSU: 25 (53)
JVST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
JVST Travel: 610 miles
Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Jacksonville State vs UTEP+1.554.5W 17 - 14
Sat 9/2 Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State-20.055.0W 49 - 3
Sat 9/9 Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina+13.561.0L 16 - 30
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan-6.551.0W 21 - 0
Thu 9/28 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston-6.536.5W 35 - 28
Wed 10/4 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee+2.552.0W 45 - 30
Tue 10/10 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+7.059.5L 13 - 31
Tue 10/17 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+7.560.5W 20 - 17
Wed 10/25 Jacksonville State at Florida International-9.048.0W 41 - 16
Sat 11/4 Jacksonville State at South Carolina+15.555.0L 28 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech-8.553.5W 56 - 17
Sat 11/25 Jacksonville State at New Mexico State+2.048.5L 17 - 20
Sat 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana-3.558.5W 34 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Sam Houston at BYU+19.046.5L 0 - 14
Sat 9/9 Sam Houston vs Air Force+13.536.5L 3 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Sam Houston at Houston+11.537.0L 7 - 38
Thu 9/28 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+6.536.5L 28 - 35
Thu 10/5 Sam Houston at Liberty+21.046.5L 16 - 21
Wed 10/11 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+4.543.0L 13 - 27
Wed 10/18 Sam Houston vs Florida International-6.042.0L 27 - 33
Wed 10/25 Sam Houston vs UTEP-4.038.5L 34 - 37
Sat 11/4 Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+8.549.5W 42 - 27
Sat 11/18 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+12.552.0L 23 - 28
Sat 11/25 Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee+3.549.5W 23 - 20
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

JVST's OC Rod Smith vs SHSU's DC Clayton Carlin     SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen vs JVST's DC Zac Alley

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST.3247%3652%3.32042%04.2.1338%26.139%38%3.52000
SHSU35%23.841%2.69030%02.55.0635%20.536%35%2.98000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense13633.847.2%4.200000062%36%52%42%2047%.32
SHSU Defense120.515.235%2.980 - - - - - 45%54%36%35%2884%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense126.131.237.9%3.520 - - - - - 57%42%39%38%3950%.13
SHSU Offense123.82135.3%2.5500000049%51%41%30%1398%

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State10:000NAN%0%000000031.3
Sam Houston10:000NAN%0%000000030.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense162%52%0000.363.3276%2046%1.15
SHSU Defense145%36% - - - - -.042.3670%2882%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense157%39% - - - - .072.8469%3949%1.08
SHSU Offense149%41%0000.082.6971%1396%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense136%42%0000000.351.928%36%.511%2.2
SHSU Defense154%35% - - - - - - 0.181.737%25%.222%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense142%38% - - - - - - 0.281.834%27%.211%2.3
SHSU Offense151%30%0000000-.071.636%28%.262%2.2

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Jacksonville State's SP+ Ratings
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -2.40   Sam Houston: -7.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -0.7   Sam Houston: -13.5




Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -7.92 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Sam Houston's SP+ Ratings
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 28
Sam Houston 25


Projected Total Points: 53
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Jacksonville State21Sam Houston11Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -5.5Jacksonville State57.5Under
202309/28Sam Houston28Jacksonville State35Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -6.5Jacksonville State36.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Sam Houston001 Overs
Jacksonville State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#79) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Jacksonville State     Ratings Matchup     Sam Houston
Power #79
#118
Off #93
#113
Def #13
#57
Talent #133
#129
SP+ #67
#112
SP+ Off #77
#120
SP+ Def #51
#82

Rematch from Week 5
Jacksonville State 6.5 (36.5)
Jacksonville State won at Sam Houston this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Sam Houston last year (21-11)
Jacksonville State beat Sam Houston in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 88° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: JVST | SHSU
Depth Chart: JVST | SHSU
Rosters: JVST | SHSU
(#118) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.92 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40





  
Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith
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Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen
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Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin
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