Penn State at Northwestern Game Matchup
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -27 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 41 - Northwestern: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -19    (SP+ -27.5)
PPG only: PSU: 30 - NW: 17 (47)
PSU Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
PSU Travel: 517 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich vs NW's DC Vacant     NW's OC Mike Bajakian vs PSU's DC Manny Diaz

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.2643%33.141%3.0318146%2534.61.0838%16.543%36%3.3948.31.12.7
NW.0137%17.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%26.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1333.13443.4%4.611.1214341812534.851%49%41%46%13%.26
NW Defense1226.326.345.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1316.51838.5%3.392.7 - - - - - 41%59%43%36%25%.08
NW Offense1217.817.837.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1330:3321.238%70%5.348.31.12.77.83.2230.1
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1351%41%37.6181.14.828.183.0375%8%1.17
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1341%43% - - - - .132.6672%15%0.99
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1349%46%20.832.5252.57.812.2297.341.630%33%.425%2.1
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1359%36% - - - - - - 14.061.537%29%.2911%2.1
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 20.44 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57% #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Penn State's SP+ Ratings
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 20.44   Northwestern: 1.44

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 26.0   Northwestern: -1.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.44 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90

Northwestern's SP+ Ratings
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 30
Northwestern 17

Projected Total Points: 47
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Northwestern13Penn State41Penn StatePenn State -27Penn State48.0Over
202210/01Penn State17Northwestern7Penn StatePenn State -25.5Northwestern50.0Under
201710/07Northwestern7Penn State31Penn StatePenn State -14.5Penn State51.5Under
201511/07Northwestern23Penn State21NorthwesternNorthwestern -2Push41.0Over
201409/27Penn State6Northwestern29NorthwesternPenn State -9Northwestern0
201210/06Penn State39Northwestern28Penn State
201110/22Northwestern24Penn State34Penn State
201011/06Penn State35Northwestern21Penn State
200910/31Northwestern13Penn State34Penn State
200609/30Penn State33Northwestern7Penn State
200509/24Northwestern29Penn State34Penn State
200411/06Penn State7Northwestern14Northwestern
200311/08Northwestern17Penn State7Northwestern
200210/19Penn State49Northwestern0Penn State
200110/20Northwestern35Penn State38Penn State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern422 Overs
Penn State1122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 80 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams8 - 74 - 02 - 02 - 0

(#5) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.44 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57% #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Penn State     Ratings Matchup     Northwestern
Power #5
#66
Off #31
#79
Def #2
#66
Talent #11
#54
SP+ #4
#71
SP+ Off #26
#104
SP+ Def #4
#30

Rematch from Week 5
Penn State 27.0 (48.0)
Penn State won at Northwestern this year (41-13)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Northwestern in 2023 (41-13)
Penn State beat Northwestern in 2022 (17-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 76° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: PSU | NW
Depth Chart: PSU | NW
Rosters: PSU | NW
(#66) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.44 #66
Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30
Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90





  
Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
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Northwestern's OC Mike Bajakian
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Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
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Northwestern's DC Vacant
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