LSU at Ole Miss Game Matchup
LSU logo LSU Tigers at Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
LSU -3 (67.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 55 - LSU: 49  (SEC)

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: LSU -4    (SP+ -2.5)
PPG only: LSU: 23 - MISS: 32 (55)
LSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
LSU Travel: 289 miles
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/3 LSU vs Florida State-2.056.5L 24 - 45
Sat 9/9 LSU vs Grambling-56.561.5W 72 - 10
Sat 9/16 LSU at Mississippi State-9.554.0W 41 - 14
Sat 9/23 LSU vs Arkansas-17.555.0W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 LSU at Ole Miss-3.067.0L 49 - 55
Sat 10/7 LSU at Missouri-6.063.5W 49 - 39
Sat 10/14 LSU vs Auburn-11.060.0W 48 - 18
Sat 10/21 LSU vs Army-33.060.0W 62 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 LSU at Alabama+3.061.5L 28 - 42
Sat 11/11 LSU vs Florida-14.068.5W 52 - 35
Sat 11/18 LSU vs Georgia State-32.573.5W 56 - 14
Sat 11/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-10.567.5W 42 - 30
Mon 1/1 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.559.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock vs MISS's DC Pete Golding     MISS's OC John David Baker vs LSU's DC Matt House

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.3351%30.555%3.6318448%2694.6.1641%24.345%37%3.3452.11.42
MISS.2748%38.649%3.1125745%2404.04.1644%14.444%44%3.7263.21.52.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1430.527.351.3%4.61.425453184269547%53%55%48%13%.33
MISS Defense1314.410.643.9%3.722.3 - - - - - 51%49%44%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1424.32740.8%3.342 - - - - - 49%51%45%37%15%.16
MISS Offense1338.639.647.5%4.041.5254962572405.460%40%49%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1431:0124.649%50%652.11.424.81.9227.8
Ole Miss1326:2325.247%49%6.863.21.52.35.72.5027.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1447%55%37183.8539.353.6380%9%0.99
MISS Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.2274%10%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1449%45% - - - - .142.974%10%0.93
MISS Offense1360%49%47.2256.55.433.273.1174%10%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1453%48%2334.3269.37.911.7237.321.427%35%.434%2
MISS Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 8.241.529%30%.226%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1451%37% - - - - - - 9.171.732%32%.385%2.2
MISS Offense1340%45%18.429.7239.88.113.12211.31.629%36%.335%1.9

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

LSU's SP+ Ratings
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 17.07   Ole Miss: 13.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7   Ole Miss: 16.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 13.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Ole Miss's SP+ Ratings
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 32
LSU 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12LSU29Ole Miss26LSUOle Miss -3.5LSU64.5Under
202309/30Ole Miss55LSU49Ole MissLSU -3Ole Miss67.0Over
202210/22LSU45Ole Miss20LSUOle Miss -0.0LSU64.0Over
202110/23Ole Miss31LSU17Ole MissOle Miss -9.0Ole Miss76.5Under
202012/19LSU53Ole Miss48LSUOle Miss -0.0LSU74.5Over
201911/16Ole Miss37LSU58LSULSU -21NA66.0Over
201809/29LSU45Ole Miss16LSULSU -10.5LSU61.0Push
201710/21Ole Miss24LSU40LSULSU -6.5LSU59.0Over
201610/22LSU38Ole Miss21LSULSU -4.5LSU59.0Push
201511/21Ole Miss38LSU17Ole MissOle Miss -4.5Ole Miss58.5Under
201410/25LSU10Ole Miss7LSUOle Miss -3LSU0
201310/19Ole Miss27LSU24Ole MissLSU -8Ole Miss0
201211/17LSU41Ole Miss35LSU
201111/19Ole Miss3LSU52LSU
201011/20LSU43Ole Miss36LSU
200911/21Ole Miss25LSU23Ole Miss
200811/22LSU13Ole Miss31Ole Miss
200711/17Ole Miss24LSU41LSU
200611/18LSU23Ole Miss20LSU
200511/19Ole Miss7LSU40LSU
200411/20LSU27Ole Miss24LSU
200311/22Ole Miss14LSU17LSU
200110/27LSU24Ole Miss35Ole Miss
200011/10Ole Miss9LSU20LSU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss745 Overs
LSU1773 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 910 - 16 - 04 - 1
Road Teams9 - 151 - 101 - 40 - 6

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

LSU     Ratings Matchup     Ole Miss
Power #8
#18
Off #1
#22
Def #122
#47
Talent #6
#34
SP+ #10
#14
SP+ Off #2
#21
SP+ Def #55
#21

Rematch from Week 5
LSU 3.0 (67.0)
Ole Miss won vs LSU this year (55-49)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Ole Miss last year (29-26)
Ole Miss beat LSU in 2023 (55-49)
LSU beat Ole Miss in 2022 (45-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | MISS
Depth Chart: LSU | MISS
Rosters: LSU | MISS
(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90





  
LSU's OC Mike Denbrock
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Ole Miss's OC John David Baker
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LSU's DC Matt House
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Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
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