Illinois at Purdue Game Matchup
Illinois logo Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Purdue -1.0 (54.0) (0)  Open: -1.5
Purdue 44 - Illinois: 19  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Illinois -0.5    (SP+ -5)
PPG only: ILL: 34 - PUR: 19 (53)
PUR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
ILL Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Illinois vs Toledo-7.045.5W 30 - 28
Fri 9/8 Illinois at Kansas+3.557.5L 23 - 34
Sat 9/16 Illinois vs Penn State+14.047.5L 13 - 30
Sat 9/23 Illinois vs Florida Atlantic-16.045.5W 23 - 17
Sat 9/30 Illinois at Purdue+1.054.0L 19 - 44
Fri 10/6 Illinois vs Nebraska-3.543.0L 7 - 20
Sat 10/14 Illinois at Maryland+13.552.0W 27 - 24
Sat 10/21 Illinois vs Wisconsin+3.040.5L 21 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Illinois at Minnesota+1.543.0W 27 - 26
Sat 11/11 Illinois vs Indiana-4.543.5W 48 - 45
Sat 11/18 Illinois at Iowa+2.533.5L 13 - 15
Sat 11/25 Illinois vs Northwestern-5.046.5L 43 - 45
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs PUR's DC Kevin Kane     PUR's OC Graham Harrell vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.1544%28.343%3.0716845%2093.37-.0233%21.730%36%2.259.11.22.5
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1328.321.343.8%3.371.221377168209454%46%43%45%13%.15
PUR Defense1439.93440.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1321.728.532.8%2.22.5 - - - - - 45%53%30%36%22%-.02
PUR Offense1415.81643.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1332:4121.238%48%6.459.11.22.56.12.1130.1
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1354%43%41.9167.7418.083.0772%10%0.85
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1345%30% - - - - -.032.6450%11%1.1
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1346%45%2130.2209.46.910155.251.430%32%.242%1.7
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 24.071.436%23%.0511%2
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -0.29   Purdue: -0.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -2.6   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Purdue's SP+ Ratings
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 34
Purdue 19

Projected Total Points: 53
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49IllinoisIllinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19PurduePurdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31PurdueIllinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9PurduePurdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31PurduePurdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24IllinoisPurdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46PurduePurdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10PurduePurdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34PurdueIllinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48IllinoisIllinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38PurdueIllinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20IllinoisIllinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20Purdue
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14Purdue
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10Illinois
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14Purdue
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42Purdue
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3Purdue
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38Purdue
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10Purdue
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31Illinois
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1585 Overs
Illinois734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 123 - 82 - 61 - 2
Road Teams12 - 108 - 32 - 16 - 2

(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Illinois     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #63
#81
Off #47
#90
Def #104
#83
Talent #62
#65
SP+ #75
#90
SP+ Off #90
#89
SP+ Def #49
#72

Rematch from Week 5
Purdue -1.0 (54.0)
Purdue won vs Illinois this year (44-19)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2022 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ILL | PUR
Depth Chart: ILL | PUR
Rosters: ILL | PUR
(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30





  
Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
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Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
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Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
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Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
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