Utah State at UConn Game Matchup

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Utah State -4 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah State 34 - UConn: 33

Aggies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Blake Anderson (18 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 38 (25 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: UConn -0.5 (SP+ -7.5)
PPG only: USU: 28 - CONN: 35 (63)
USU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USU Travel: 2002 miles, 2 hrs behind

Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Utah State at Iowa	+24.0	43.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 9/9	Utah State vs Idaho State	-24.0	61.0	W 78 - 28
Fri 9/15	Utah State at Air Force	+9.0	45.5	L 21 - 39
Sat 9/23	Utah State vs James Madison	+5.5	53.5	L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30	Utah State at UConn	-4.0	50.5	W 34 - 33
Sat 10/7	Utah State vs Colorado State	+3.0	62.0	W 44 - 24
Fri 10/13	Utah State vs Fresno State	+5.5	56.0	L 32 - 37
Sat 10/21	Utah State at San José State	+4.0	65.0	L 21 - 42
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Utah State at San Diego State	-2.0	56.5	W 32 - 24
Sat 11/11	Utah State vs Nevada	-14.5	54.5	W 41 - 24
Sat 11/18	Utah State vs Boise State	+5.5	62.5	L 10 - 45
Fri 11/24	Utah State at New Mexico	-4.5	58.5	W 44 - 41
Sat 12/23	Utah State vs Georgia State	-2.0	58.0	L 22 - 45

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UConn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	UConn vs NC State	+14.5	47.5	L 14 - 24
Sat 9/9	UConn at Georgia State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 35
Sat 9/16	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	43.0	L 17 - 24
Sat 9/23	UConn vs Duke	+22.0	45.0	L 7 - 41
Sat 9/30	UConn vs Utah State	+4.0	50.5	L 33 - 34
Sat 10/7	UConn at Rice	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 31
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UConn vs South Florida	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 24
Sat 10/28	UConn at Boston College	+14.5	49.0	L 14 - 21
Sat 11/4	UConn at Tennessee	+35.0	55.5	L 3 - 59
Sat 11/11	UConn at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 44
Sat 11/18	UConn vs Sacred Heart	-25.5	40.5	W 31 - 3
Sat 11/25	UConn at Massachusetts	+2.5	51.0	W 31 - 18

USU's OC Kyle Cefalo vs CONN's DC Lou Spanos CONN's OC Nick Charlton vs USU's DC Joe Cauthen

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.07	38%	31.9	39%	3.13	159	38%	195	3.15	.17	41%	37.8	44%	39%	4.05	77.5	2.1	1.7
CONN	.11	38%	31.9	43%	3.03	191	32%	112	3.67	.19	47%	23.1	49%	46%	3.69	60.8	1.6	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	13	31.9	25.2	37.9%	3.15	2.1	20	354	159	195	3.8	55%	44%	39%	38%	17%	.07
CONN Defense	13	23.1	16.3	47.2%	3.69	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	46%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	13	37.8	45.2	41.2%	4.05	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	44%	39%	17%	.17
CONN Offense	13	31.9	36.9	38.2%	3.67	1.6	16	303	191	112	4.7	62%	36%	43%	32%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	13	28:47	19.8	33%	53%	8.5	77.5	2.1	1.7	5.8	2.7	3	30.4
UConn	13	30:17	16.2	37%	39%	7.1	60.8	1.6	2.3	4.2	1.8	0	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	13	55%	39%	42.2	159.3	3.8	14	.08	3.13	72%	9%	0.92
CONN Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.26	83%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	13	55%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3	71%	11%	1.1
CONN Offense	13	62%	43%	40.4	190.9	4.7	20	.21	3.03	64%	13%	1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	13	44%	38%	17.7	30.6	195.2	6.4	11	18	21	.13	1.5	32%	26%	.08	8%	1.7
CONN Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.3	27%	31%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.7	31%	29%	.24	6%	2.2
CONN Offense	13	36%	32%	12.1	21.2	112	5.3	9.3	10	10	.1	1.6	35%	26%	.16	5%	2.1

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Utah State's Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Utah State's Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
2023 Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Utah State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Utah State's SP+ Ratings
Utah State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -7.91 UConn: -7.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: -8.5 UConn: -16.0

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -7.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

UConn's SP+ Ratings
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.2

Utah State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 35
Utah State 28

Projected Total Points: 63

UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	UConn	33	Utah State	34	Utah State	Utah State -4	UConn	50.5	Over
2022	08/27	Utah State	31	UConn	20	Utah State	Utah State -24	UConn	59.0	Under
2001	11/10	UConn	31	Utah State	38	Utah State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UConn	0	2	1 Overs
Utah State	3	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#107) Utah State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.91 #107
Offense Rating: 15.84 #72
Defense Rating: 13.07 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #129
Talent Rating: 374.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Utah State Ratings Matchup UConn

Power #107

#115

Off #72

#102

Def #103

#109

Talent #119

#111

SP+ #97

#122

SP+ Off #49

#118

SP+ Def #129

#97

Rematch from Week 5
Utah State 4.0 (50.5)
Utah State won at UConn this year (34-33)

Previous Matchups
Utah State beat UConn in 2023 (34-33)
Utah State beat UConn in 2022 (31-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USU | CONN
Depth Chart: USU | CONN
Rosters: USU | CONN

(#115) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.25 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Utah State's OC Kyle Cefalo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

UConn's OC Nick Charlton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Utah State's DC Joe Cauthen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UConn's DC Lou Spanos

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD