Missouri at Vanderbilt Game Matchup
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -14 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 38 - Vanderbilt: 21  (SEC)

 
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -22    (SP+ -31.5)

PPG only: MIZ: 26 - VAN: 24 (50)
MIZ Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MIZ Travel: 359 miles
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (30 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore vs VAN's DC Nick Howell     VAN's OC Joey Lynch vs MIZ's DC Blake Baker

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ.1641%28.941%2.8915641%2134.26.1538%20.437%39%3.863.71.51.8
VAN.1640%27.340%2.9816042%1873.73.3145%23.442%49%4.1446.11.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1328.924.840.6%4.261.5193701562134.151%48%41%41%17%.16
VAN Defense1223.423.945.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 48%52%42%49%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1320.426.437.7%3.81.8 - - - - - 49%51%37%39%21%.15
VAN Offense1227.329.640.3%3.731.3183471601874.356%43%40%42%18%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1331:0518.540%50%7.863.71.51.872.7328.9
Vanderbilt1231:3617.537%38%5.346.11.31.84.71.4028.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1351%41%37.9156.54.121.112.8970%13%1
VAN Defense1248%42% - - - - .083.2454%9%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1349%37% - - - - .12.7267%14%1.14
VAN Offense1256%40%37.1159.94.313.12.9873%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1348%41%1930.1213.27.111.2139.251.634%33%.344%2
VAN Defense1252%49% - - - - - - 6.551.729%33%.495%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 11.221.634%28%.228%2
VAN Offense1243%42%16.728.8187.36.511.2226.291.733%27%.328%2.3

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Missouri's SP+ Ratings
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 12.43   Vanderbilt: -9.51

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: 17.8   Vanderbilt: -13.7




Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -9.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Vanderbilt's SP+ Ratings
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 26
Vanderbilt 24


Projected Total Points: 50
Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.9

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Missouri30Vanderbilt27MissouriMissouri -17.5Vanderbilt52.0Over
202309/30Vanderbilt21Missouri38MissouriMissouri -14Missouri53.5Over
202210/22Missouri17Vanderbilt14MissouriMissouri -14Vanderbilt49.0Under
202110/30Vanderbilt28Missouri37MissouriMissouri -16Vanderbilt62.5Over
202011/28Missouri41Vanderbilt0MissouriVanderbilt -2Missouri52.5Under
201910/19Vanderbilt21Missouri14VanderbiltMissouri -21Vanderbilt56.5Under
201811/10Missouri33Vanderbilt28MissouriMissouri -13.5Vanderbilt65.0Under
201711/18Vanderbilt17Missouri45MissouriMissouri -8.5Missouri65.0Under
201611/12Missouri26Vanderbilt17MissouriMissouri -1Missouri53.0Under
201510/24Vanderbilt10Missouri3VanderbiltMissouri -2Vanderbilt34.0Under
201410/25Missouri24Vanderbilt14MissouriMissouri -24Vanderbilt0
201310/05Vanderbilt28Missouri51MissouriVanderbilt -2.5Missouri0
201210/06Missouri15Vanderbilt19Vanderbilt
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Vanderbilt373 Overs
Missouri1057 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 55 - 71 - 54 - 2
Road Teams5 - 87 - 52 - 45 - 1

(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.43 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23% #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Missouri     Ratings Matchup     Vanderbilt
Power #14
#122
Off #15
#122
Def #38
#124
Talent #37
#19
SP+ #12
#113
SP+ Off #11
#84
SP+ Def #23
#125

Rematch from Week 5
Missouri 14.0 (53.5)
Missouri won at Vanderbilt this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Vanderbilt last year (30-27)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-21)
Missouri beat Vanderbilt in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MIZ | VAN
Depth Chart: MIZ | VAN
Rosters: MIZ | VAN
(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20





  
Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
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Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
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Missouri's DC Blake Baker
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Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
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