Sam Houston at Liberty Game Matchup

Thursday, October 5th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -21 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Liberty 21 - Sam Houston: 16 (Conference USA)

Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -18.5 (SP+ -25)
PPG only: SHSU: 24 - LIB: 25 (49)
LIB Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
SHSU Travel: 1041 miles, 1 hrs behind

Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Sam Houston at BYU	+19.0	46.5	L 0 - 14
Sat 9/9	Sam Houston vs Air Force	+13.5	36.5	L 3 - 13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Sam Houston at Houston	+11.5	37.0	L 7 - 38
Thu 9/28	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State	+6.5	36.5	L 28 - 35
Thu 10/5	Sam Houston at Liberty	+21.0	46.5	L 16 - 21
Wed 10/11	Sam Houston at New Mexico State	+4.5	43.0	L 13 - 27
Wed 10/18	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-6.0	42.0	L 27 - 33
Wed 10/25	Sam Houston vs UTEP	-4.0	38.5	L 34 - 37
Sat 11/4	Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech	+8.5	49.5	W 42 - 27
Sat 11/18	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky	+12.5	52.0	L 23 - 28
Sat 11/25	Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	49.5	W 23 - 20

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Liberty's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Liberty vs Bowling Green	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 24
Sat 9/9	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-9.0	54.5	W 33 - 17
Sat 9/16	Liberty at Buffalo	-2.5	54.0	W 55 - 27
Sat 9/23	Liberty at Florida International	-10.0	54.0	W 38 - 6
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5	Liberty vs Sam Houston	-21.0	46.5	W 21 - 16
Tue 10/10	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-7.0	59.5	W 31 - 13
Tue 10/17	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-16.0	56.5	W 42 - 35
Tue 10/24	Liberty at Western Kentucky	-4.0	61.5	W 42 - 29
Sat 11/4	Liberty vs Louisiana Tech	-16.5	58.0	W 56 - 30
Sat 11/11	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 10
Sat 11/18	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-26.5	64.5	W 49 - 25
Sat 11/25	Liberty at UTEP	-18.0	54.5	W 42 - 28
Fri 12/1	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	54.0	W 49 - 35
Mon 1/1	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45

SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen vs LIB's DC Jack Curtis LIB's OC Newland Isaac vs SHSU's DC Clayton Carlin

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		35%	23.8	41%	2.69	0	30%	0	2.55	.06	35%	20.5	36%	35%	2.98	0	0	0
LIB	.15	41%	28.8	46%	3.22	172	38%	217	3.61	.1	36%	23.5	38%	36%	3.57	53.5	2.1	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Offense	1	23.8	24.6	35.3%	2.55	0	0	0	0	0	0	49%	51%	41%	30%	1398%
LIB Defense	13	23.5	22.3	36.2%	3.57	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Defense	1	20.5	23.6	35%	2.98	0	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	36%	35%	2884%	.06
LIB Offense	13	28.8	32.3	41.4%	3.61	2.1	20	389	172	217	4.6	50%	48%	46%	38%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sam Houston	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	30.1
Liberty	13	28:37	20.4	37%	48%	6.2	53.5	2.1	2.2	8.4	3.2	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense	1	49%	41%	0	0	0	0	.08	2.69	71%	1396%	1.06
LIB Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.59	75%	14%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense	1	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.36	70%	2882%	0.91
LIB Offense	13	50%	46%	37.8	172.4	4.6	24	.17	3.22	68%	13%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense	1	51%	30%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.6	36%	28%	.26	2%	2.2
LIB Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.7	36%	27%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense	1	54%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.22	2%	2.1
LIB Offense	13	48%	38%	17.6	30.4	216.5	7.1	12.3	21	15	.22	1.6	31%	26%	.23	6%	2.2

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Sam Houston's SP+ Ratings
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -9.92 Liberty: 8.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -13.5 Liberty: 11.8

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 8.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Liberty's SP+ Ratings
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 25
Sam Houston 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/29	Sam Houston	20	Liberty	18	Sam Houston	Liberty -2.5	Sam Houston	47.5	Under
2023	10/05	Liberty	21	Sam Houston	16	Liberty	Liberty -21	Sam Houston	46.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	1	0	0 Overs
Sam Houston	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#118) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Sam Houston Ratings Matchup Liberty

Power #118

#30

Off #113

Def #57

#42

Talent #129

#114

SP+ #112

#21

SP+ Off #120

SP+ Def #82

#51

Rematch from Week 6
Liberty -21.0 (46.5)
Liberty won vs Sam Houston this year (21-16)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Liberty last year (20-18)
Liberty beat Sam Houston in 2023 (21-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63°

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | LIB
Depth Chart: SHSU | LIB
Rosters: SHSU | LIB

(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD