Vanderbilt at Florida Game Matchup
Vanderbilt logo Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Florida -18 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida 38 - Vanderbilt: 14  (SEC)

 
Commodores (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Clark Lea (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 27 - 23 (23 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.8 - 9.2 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Florida -22    (SP+ -20)
PPG only: VAN: 25 - FLA: 26 (51)
FLA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
VAN Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 Vanderbilt vs Hawai'i-17.054.5W 35 - 28
Sat 9/2 Vanderbilt vs Alabama A&M-35.053.5W 47 - 13
Sat 9/9 Vanderbilt at Wake Forest+9.555.0L 20 - 36
Sat 9/16 Vanderbilt at UNLV-4.556.5L 37 - 40
Sat 9/23 Vanderbilt vs Kentucky+13.550.0L 28 - 45
Sat 9/30 Vanderbilt vs Missouri+14.053.5L 21 - 38
Sat 10/7 Vanderbilt at Florida+18.051.0L 14 - 38
Sat 10/14 Vanderbilt vs Georgia+32.555.0L 20 - 37
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Vanderbilt at Ole Miss+24.062.0L 7 - 33
Sat 11/4 Vanderbilt vs Auburn+12.550.0L 15 - 31
Sat 11/11 Vanderbilt at South Carolina+13.553.5L 6 - 47
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 Vanderbilt at Tennessee+27.058.0L 24 - 48
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 Florida at Utah+5.544.5L 11 - 24
Sat 9/9 Florida vs McNeese-48.555.5W 49 - 7
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee+5.057.0W 29 - 16
Sat 9/23 Florida vs Charlotte-28.048.5W 22 - 7
Sat 9/30 Florida at Kentucky+1.044.0L 14 - 33
Sat 10/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-18.051.0W 38 - 14
Sat 10/14 Florida at South Carolina-1.050.0W 41 - 39
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 20 - 43
Sat 11/4 Florida vs Arkansas-4.550.0L 36 - 39
Sat 11/11 Florida at LSU+14.068.5L 35 - 52
Sat 11/18 Florida at Missouri+12.556.5L 31 - 33
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+6.051.0L 15 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

VAN's OC Joey Lynch vs FLA's DC Austin Armstrong     FLA's OC Rob Sale vs VAN's DC Nick Howell

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN.1640%27.340%2.9816042%1873.73.3145%23.442%49%4.1446.11.31.8
FLA.2640%28.341%3.1720039%2243.65.2345%23.147%44%4.3650.11.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1227.322.640.3%3.731.3183471601874.356%43%40%42%18%.16
FLA Defense1323.12145.3%4.362 - - - - - 55%44%47%44%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1223.42245.5%4.141.8 - - - - - 48%52%42%49%15%.31
FLA Offense1328.329.339.8%3.651.1204242002245.554%46%41%39%13%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1231:3617.537%38%5.346.11.31.84.71.4028.8
Florida1329:022040%47%6.850.11.125.41.8228.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1256%40%37.1159.94.313.12.9873%10%1
FLA Defense1355%47% - - - - .213.1773%10%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1248%42% - - - - .083.2454%9%1.07
FLA Offense1354%41%36.3200.25.529.263.1780%8%1.29

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1243%42%16.728.8187.36.511.2226.291.733%27%.328%2.3
FLA Defense1344%44% - - - - - - 9.281.631%39%.464%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1252%49% - - - - - - 6.551.729%33%.495%2.3
FLA Offense1346%39%15.328.2223.8814.6189.31.835%30%.435%2.3

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
2023 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Vanderbilt's 2023 Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Vanderbilt's SP+ Ratings
Vanderbilt's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -11.51   Florida: 10.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt: -13.7   Florida: 5.9




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 10.25 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Florida's SP+ Ratings
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Vanderbilt's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 26
Vanderbilt 25

Projected Total Points: 51
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Florida38Vanderbilt14FloridaFlorida -18Florida51.0Over
202211/19Vanderbilt31Florida24VanderbiltFlorida -14Vanderbilt58.0Under
202110/09Florida42Vanderbilt0FloridaFlorida -39Florida60.5Under
202011/21Vanderbilt17Florida38FloridaFlorida -31.5Vanderbilt68.5Under
201911/09Florida56Vanderbilt0FloridaFlorida -26.5Florida50.0Over
201810/13Vanderbilt27Florida37FloridaFlorida -9.5Florida51.0Over
201709/30Florida38Vanderbilt24FloridaFlorida -9Florida39.0Over
201610/01Vanderbilt6Florida13FloridaFlorida -8.5Vanderbilt40.5Under
201511/07Florida9Vanderbilt7FloridaFlorida -19Vanderbilt38.5Under
201411/08Vanderbilt10Florida34FloridaFlorida -13.5Florida0
201311/09Florida17Vanderbilt34VanderbiltFlorida -10Vanderbilt0
201210/13Vanderbilt17Florida31Florida
201111/05Florida26Vanderbilt21Florida
201011/06Vanderbilt14Florida55Florida
200911/07Florida27Vanderbilt3Florida
200811/08Vanderbilt14Florida42Florida
200711/03Florida49Vanderbilt22Florida
200611/04Vanderbilt19Florida25Florida
200511/05Florida49Vanderbilt42Florida
200411/06Vanderbilt17Florida34Florida
200311/08Florida35Vanderbilt17Florida
200211/09Vanderbilt17Florida21Florida
200111/03Florida71Vanderbilt13Florida
200011/03Vanderbilt20Florida43Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida2264 Overs
Vanderbilt255 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 127 - 44 - 23 - 2
Road Teams12 - 124 - 72 - 32 - 4

(#122) Vanderbilt Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.51 #122
Offense Rating: 10.08 #122
Defense Rating: 17.21 #124
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Expected Record: 2.80 - 9.20

Vanderbilt     Ratings Matchup     Florida
Power #122
#26
Off #122
#19
Def #124
#90
Talent #19
#14
SP+ #113
#42
SP+ Off #84
#42
SP+ Def #125
#64

Rematch from Week 6
Florida -18.0 (51.0)
Florida won vs Vanderbilt this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-14)
Vanderbilt beat Florida in 2022 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87° - Wind: 11 mph


Team Information
Injuries: VAN | FLA
Depth Chart: VAN | FLA
Rosters: VAN | FLA
(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.25 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50





  
Vanderbilt's OC Joey Lynch
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Florida's OC Rob Sale
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Vanderbilt's DC Nick Howell
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Florida's DC Austin Armstrong
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