Western Michigan at Mississippi State Game Matchup

Western Michigan Broncos at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Mississippi State -21.5 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 41 - Western Michigan: 28

Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Mississippi State -7 (SP+ -16)
PPG only: WMU: 32 - MSST: 29 (61)
MSST Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 634 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-14.0	58.0	W 35 - 17
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Syracuse	+24.5	56.5	L 7 - 48
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan at Iowa	+28.5	43.5	L 10 - 41
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	+21.5	52.5	L 31 - 49
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-1.5	50.0	W 42 - 24
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Mississippi State	+21.5	54.5	L 28 - 41
Sat 10/14	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+7.5	46.0	L 21 - 34
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Ohio	+16.5	52.0	L 17 - 20
Sat 10/28	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	50.0	W 45 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	57.5	W 38 - 28
Tue 11/14	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	55.5	L 0 - 24
Tue 11/21	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+2.0	54.5	L 10 - 34

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana	-31.5	59.5	W 48 - 7
Sat 9/9	Mississippi State vs Arizona	-9.0	60.0	W 31 - 24
Sat 9/16	Mississippi State vs LSU	+9.5	54.0	L 14 - 41
Sat 9/23	Mississippi State at South Carolina	+6.0	46.5	L 30 - 37
Sat 9/30	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+16.5	45.0	L 17 - 40
Sat 10/7	Mississippi State vs Western Michigan	-21.5	54.5	W 41 - 28
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+6.5	46.5	W 7 - 3
Sat 10/28	Mississippi State at Auburn	+6.5	40.0	L 13 - 27
Sat 11/4	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	+5.5	44.5	L 3 - 24
Sat 11/11	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+16.5	40.5	L 10 - 51
Sat 11/18	Mississippi State vs Southern Miss	-18.5	47.5	W 41 - 20
Thu 11/23	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+11.0	56.0	L 7 - 17

WMU's OC Billy Cosh vs MSST's DC Matt Brock MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs WMU's DC Lou Esposito

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.06	34%	28.9	34%	2.87	136	35%	166	2.79	.19	44%	31.3	47%	42%	3.38	62.9	1.8	2.3
MSST	.19	46%	25.8	45%	2.96	82	47%	310	4.23	.09	39%	34.1	41%	38%	3.53	60.8	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	12	28.9	22	34.1%	2.79	1.8	17	302	136	166	3.5	52%	46%	34%	35%	23%	.06
MSST Defense	13	34.1	34.9	39.2%	3.53	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	41%	38%	18%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	12	31.3	34.4	43.8%	3.38	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	42%	21%	.19
MSST Offense	13	25.8	30.7	46.2%	4.23	1.5	23	393	82	310	3.6	30%	70%	45%	47%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	12	30:25	16.6	31%	48%	6.7	62.9	1.8	2.3	6.7	2.6	3	28.7
Mississippi State	13	29:58	22.8	39%	52%	6.3	60.8	1.5	1.9	6.4	2.4	5	31.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	12	52%	34%	38.8	136.3	3.5	14	.03	2.87	68%	15%	1.02
MSST Defense	13	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.79	59%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	12	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.13	79%	14%	0.87
MSST Offense	13	30%	45%	22.8	82.4	3.6	12	.12	2.96	60%	8%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	12	46%	35%	13.9	27.9	165.7	5.9	11.9	10	13	.18	1.7	39%	23%	.25	9%	2.3
MSST Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.1	1.6	34%	28%	.09	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	31%	31%	.26	7%	2
MSST Offense	13	70%	47%	32.8	48.8	310.4	6.4	9.5	36	9	.22	1.2	27%	30%	.31	8%	2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Western Michigan's SP+ Ratings
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 506.5
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -8.28 Mississippi State: -1.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -15.9 Mississippi State: -0.4

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 32
Mississippi State 29

Projected Total Points: 61

Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Mississippi State	41	Western Michigan	28	Mississippi State	Mississippi State -21.5	Western Michigan	54.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Mississippi State	1	0	1 Overs
Western Michigan	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#110) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 512.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Western Michigan Ratings Matchup Mississippi State

Power #110

#84

Off #73

#120

Def #105

#85

Talent #86

#31

SP+ #120

#66

SP+ Off #111

#78

SP+ Def #106

#55

Rematch from Week 6
Mississippi State -21.5 (54.5)
Mississippi State won vs Western Michigan this year (41-28)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Western Michigan in 2023 (41-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | MSST
Depth Chart: WMU | MSST
Rosters: WMU | MSST

(#84) Mississippi State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Mississippi State's OC Kevin Barbay

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Mississippi State's DC Matt Brock

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD