Arkansas at Ole Miss Game Matchup
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Ole Miss RebelsOle Miss logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -13 (61.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 27 - Arkansas: 20  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ole Miss -10    (SP+ -13)
PPG only: ARK: 23 - MISS: 32 (55)
MISS Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ARK Travel: 287 miles
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs Western Carolina-38.061.0W 56 - 13
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Kent State-38.057.5W 28 - 6
Sat 9/16 Arkansas vs BYU-9.048.0L 31 - 38
Sat 9/23 Arkansas at LSU+17.555.0L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.553.5L 22 - 34
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+13.061.5L 20 - 27
Sat 10/14 Arkansas at Alabama+19.045.0L 21 - 24
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-6.546.5L 3 - 7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at Florida+4.550.0W 39 - 36
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.546.5L 10 - 48
Sat 11/18 Arkansas vs Florida International-27.549.5W 44 - 20
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs Missouri+9.553.5L 14 - 48
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ARK's OC Kenny Guiton vs MISS's DC Pete Golding     MISS's OC John David Baker vs ARK's DC Travis Williams

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK.2646%30.948%3.2323743%2344.18.2543%2545%41%3.6555.61.41.7
MISS.2748%38.649%3.1125745%2404.04.1644%14.444%44%3.7263.21.52.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1330.933.545.6%4.181.4244712372345.160%40%48%43%15%.26
MISS Defense1314.410.643.9%3.722.3 - - - - - 51%49%44%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense132526.542.5%3.651.7 - - - - - 48%52%45%41%16%.25
MISS Offense1338.639.647.5%4.041.5254962572405.460%40%49%45%16%.27

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1330:2223.946%45%6.455.61.41.75.63131.8
Ole Miss1326:2325.247%49%6.863.21.52.35.72.5027.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1360%48%46.6237.35.127.143.2371%11%0.98
MISS Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.2274%10%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1348%45% - - - - .223.0476%10%1.08
MISS Offense1360%49%47.2256.55.433.273.1174%10%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1340%43%17.727.4233.98.513.2267.461.930%36%.515%2.1
MISS Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 8.241.529%30%.226%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 9.321.834%34%.56%2.3
MISS Offense1340%45%18.429.7239.88.113.12211.31.629%36%.335%1.9

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Arkansas's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 3.28   Ole Miss: 13.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.7   Ole Miss: 16.0




Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 13.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Ole Miss's SP+ Ratings
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 32
Arkansas 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Arkansas31Ole Miss63Ole MissOle Miss -8Ole Miss54.0Over
202310/07Ole Miss27Arkansas20Ole MissOle Miss -13Arkansas61.5Under
202211/19Arkansas42Ole Miss27ArkansasOle Miss -0.0Arkansas67.5Over
202110/09Ole Miss52Arkansas51Ole MissOle Miss -5Arkansas67.0Over
202010/17Arkansas33Ole Miss21ArkansasArkansas -1.0Arkansas77.5Under
201909/07Ole Miss31Arkansas17Ole MissOle Miss -5Ole Miss50.5Under
201810/13Arkansas33Ole Miss37Ole MissOle Miss -6.5Arkansas66.5Over
201710/28Ole Miss37Arkansas38ArkansasOle Miss -2.5Arkansas62.0Over
201610/15Arkansas34Ole Miss30ArkansasOle Miss -6.5Arkansas65.0Under
201511/07Ole Miss52Arkansas53ArkansasOle Miss -11Arkansas55.0Over
201411/22Arkansas30Ole Miss0ArkansasOle Miss -2Arkansas0
201311/09Ole Miss34Arkansas24Ole MissOle Miss -17Arkansas0
201210/27Arkansas27Ole Miss30Ole Miss
201110/22Ole Miss24Arkansas29Arkansas
201010/23Arkansas38Ole Miss24Arkansas
200910/24Ole Miss30Arkansas17Ole Miss
200810/25Arkansas21Ole Miss23Ole Miss
200710/20Ole Miss8Arkansas44Arkansas
200610/21Arkansas38Ole Miss3Arkansas
200511/12Ole Miss17Arkansas28Arkansas
200411/13Arkansas35Ole Miss3Arkansas
200310/25Ole Miss19Arkansas7Ole Miss
200210/26Arkansas48Ole Miss28Arkansas
200111/03Ole Miss56Arkansas58Arkansas
200011/03Arkansas24Ole Miss38Ole Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ole Miss1126 Overs
Arkansas14104 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 146 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Arkansas     Ratings Matchup     Ole Miss
Power #47
#18
Off #65
#22
Def #55
#47
Talent #28
#34
SP+ #58
#14
SP+ Off #57
#21
SP+ Def #69
#21

Rematch from Week 6
Ole Miss -13.0 (61.5)
Ole Miss won vs Arkansas this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Arkansas last year (63-31)
Ole Miss beat Arkansas in 2023 (27-20)
Arkansas beat Ole Miss in 2022 (42-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ARK | MISS
Depth Chart: ARK | MISS
Rosters: ARK | MISS
(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36 #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90





  
Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton
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Ole Miss's OC John David Baker
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Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
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Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
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