Ohio State at Purdue Game Matchup
Ohio State logo Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -17.5 (53.0) (-1200)  Open: -21.0 | 51.5
Ohio State 41 - Purdue: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Ohio State -24    (SP+ -34)
PPG only: OSU: 38 - PUR: 14 (52)
OSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
OSU Travel: 208 miles
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Ohio State at Indiana-30.059.0W 23 - 3
Sat 9/9 Ohio State vs Youngstown State-45.556.0W 35 - 7
Sat 9/16 Ohio State vs Western Kentucky-29.565.0W 63 - 10
Sat 9/23 Ohio State at Notre Dame-3.055.5W 17 - 14
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio State vs Maryland-17.056.5W 37 - 17
Sat 10/14 Ohio State at Purdue-17.553.0W 41 - 7
Sat 10/21 Ohio State vs Penn State-4.047.0W 20 - 12
Sat 10/28 Ohio State at Wisconsin-14.548.0W 24 - 10
Sat 11/4 Ohio State at Rutgers-19.042.5W 35 - 16
Sat 11/11 Ohio State vs Michigan State-30.548.5W 38 - 3
Sat 11/18 Ohio State vs Minnesota-27.551.5W 37 - 3
Sat 11/25 Ohio State at Michigan+3.047.0L 24 - 30
Fri 12/29 Ohio State vs Missouri-4.051.0L 3 - 14
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (Int) vs PUR's DC Kevin Kane     PUR's OC Graham Harrell vs OSU's DC Jim Knowles

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.3953%35.753%3.619253%2985.18.1136%12.935%37%4.02480.81.5
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1335.729.752.8%5.180.8244911922985.450%50%53%53%12%.39
PUR Defense1439.93440.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense1312.917.335.7%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%50%35%37%19%.11
PUR Offense1415.81643.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1330:4523.845%71%5.6480.81.56.52.6231.2
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1350%53%35.8192.45.430.263.663%7%0.95
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1350%35% - - - - .052.5258%12%1.1
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1350%53%21.131.5298.39.514.2426.511.624%34%.515%2.2
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.181.733%24%.276%2.5
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 1152.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Ohio State's SP+ Ratings
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40   Purdue: -0.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Purdue's SP+ Ratings
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 38
Purdue 14


Projected Total Points: 52
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Ohio State45Purdue0Ohio StateOhio State -37.5Ohio State55.5Under
202310/14Purdue7Ohio State41Ohio StateOhio State -17.5Ohio State53.0Under
202111/13Ohio State59Purdue31Ohio StateOhio State -19Ohio State65.5Over
201810/20Purdue49Ohio State20PurdueOhio State -12Purdue66.0Over
201311/02Purdue0Ohio State56Ohio StateOhio State -31Ohio State0
201210/20Ohio State29Purdue22Ohio State
201111/12Purdue26Ohio State23Purdue
201010/23Ohio State49Purdue0Ohio State
200910/17Purdue26Ohio State18Purdue
200810/11Ohio State16Purdue3Ohio State
200710/06Purdue7Ohio State23Ohio State
200411/13Purdue24Ohio State17Purdue
200311/15Ohio State16Purdue13Ohio State
200211/09Purdue6Ohio State10Ohio State
200111/10Ohio State35Purdue9Ohio State
200010/27Purdue31Ohio State27Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue512 Overs
Ohio State1142 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 43 - 22 - 01 - 2
Road Teams4 - 122 - 32 - 10 - 2

(#3) Ohio State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3
Talent Rating: 1152.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Ohio State     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #3
#81
Off #13
#90
Def #6
#83
Talent #4
#65
SP+ #3
#90
SP+ Off #25
#89
SP+ Def #3
#72

Rematch from Week 7
Ohio State 17.5 (53.0)
Ohio State won at Purdue this year (41-7)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Purdue last year (45-0)
Ohio State beat Purdue in 2023 (41-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: OSU | PUR
Depth Chart: OSU | PUR
Rosters: OSU | PUR
(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30





  
Ohio State's OC Brian Hartline (Int)
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Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
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Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles
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Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
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