New Mexico State at UTEP Game Matchup

Wednesday, October 18th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -3 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 28 - UTEP: 7 (Conference USA)

Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: New Mexico State -9.5 (SP+ -17)
PPG only: NMSU: 27 - UTEP: 28 (55)
NMSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NMSU Travel: 38 miles

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/26	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	45.5	L 30 - 41
Sat 9/2	New Mexico State vs Western Illinois	-21.0	55.0	W 58 - 21
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at Liberty	+9.0	54.5	L 17 - 33
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+2.5	52.0	W 27 - 17
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+4.0	54.5	L 17 - 20
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	New Mexico State vs Florida International	-6.5	49.5	W 34 - 17
Wed 10/11	New Mexico State vs Sam Houston	-4.5	43.0	W 27 - 13
Wed 10/18	New Mexico State at UTEP	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 7
Tue 10/24	New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 27 - 24
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee	-3.0	55.5	W 13 - 7
Sat 11/11	New Mexico State at Western Kentucky	+4.5	55.5	W 38 - 29
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Auburn	+25.5	48.5	W 31 - 10
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 17
Fri 12/1	New Mexico State at Liberty	+10.5	54.0	L 35 - 49
Sat 12/16	New Mexico State vs Fresno State	-3.0	52.5	L 10 - 37

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42

NMSU's OC Tim Beck vs UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara vs NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.18	38%	21.6	40%	2.88	162	36%	169	4.18	.16	43%	36.3	47%	40%	3.86	57.4	1.4	1.2
UTEP	.15	41%	19.5	44%	3.39	167	40%	219	2.9	.22	43%	32.3	43%	43%	4.03	55.8	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	13	21.6	12.6	37.7%	4.18	1.4	17	331	162	169	4.6	56%	43%	40%	36%	19%	.18
UTEP Defense	12	32.3	28.8	42.8%	4.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	43%	19%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	13	36.3	38.4	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	47%	40%	17%	.16
UTEP Offense	12	19.5	26.2	41.4%	2.9	1.8	21	386	167	219	4.3	51%	48%	44%	40%	15%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	13	28:51	16.6	39%	73%	6.5	57.4	1.4	1.2	5.5	2.1	1	28.7
UTEP	12	33:46	21	39%	57%	6.5	55.8	1.8	1.9	5.8	2.3	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	13	56%	40%	34.9	161.6	4.6	24	.13	2.88	84%	11%	1.08
UTEP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.12	64%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.11	78%	11%	0.9
UTEP Offense	12	51%	44%	38.6	167.2	4.3	14	.17	3.39	73%	9%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	13	43%	36%	12.2	23.5	169.2	7.2	13.8	18	13	.25	1.9	35%	30%	.32	8%	2
UTEP Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.42	1.9	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.21	1.5	30%	30%	.37	6%	2
UTEP Offense	12	48%	40%	16.9	31.7	218.8	6.9	12.9	15	12	.17	1.7	34%	29%	.18	7%	2.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 0.03 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 0.03 UTEP: -9.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0 UTEP: -15.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -9.53 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

UTEP's SP+ Ratings
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UTEP 28
New Mexico State 27

Projected Total Points: 55

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	New Mexico State	35	UTEP	42	UTEP	New Mexico State -3.5	UTEP	51.5	Over
2023	10/18	UTEP	7	New Mexico State	28	New Mexico State	New Mexico State -3	New Mexico State	48.5	Under
2022	09/10	UTEP	20	New Mexico State	13	UTEP	UTEP -17	New Mexico State	46.5	Under
2021	08/28	New Mexico State	3	UTEP	30	UTEP	UTEP -9.5	UTEP	59.0	Under
2019	11/23	New Mexico State	44	UTEP	35	New Mexico State	New Mexico State -8	New Mexico State	56.0	Over
2018	09/22	UTEP	20	New Mexico State	27	New Mexico State	New Mexico State -4.5	New Mexico State	50.5	Under
2017	09/23	New Mexico State	41	UTEP	14	New Mexico State	New Mexico State -17.5	New Mexico State	59.0	Under
2016	09/03	UTEP	38	New Mexico State	22	UTEP	UTEP -3.5	UTEP	58.0	Over
2015	09/19	New Mexico State	47	UTEP	50	UTEP	UTEP -4	New Mexico State	59.5	Over
2014	09/13	UTEP	42	New Mexico State	24	UTEP	UTEP -11	UTEP	0
2013	09/14	New Mexico State	21	UTEP	42	UTEP	UTEP -6.5	UTEP	0
2012	09/15	UTEP	41	New Mexico State	28	UTEP
2011	09/17	New Mexico State	10	UTEP	16	UTEP
2010	09/18	UTEP	42	New Mexico State	10	UTEP
2009	09/19	New Mexico State	12	UTEP	38	UTEP
2008	09/20	UTEP	33	New Mexico State	34	New Mexico State
2007	09/15	New Mexico State	29	UTEP	24	New Mexico State
2006	09/30	UTEP	44	New Mexico State	38	UTEP
2005	09/03	New Mexico State	17	UTEP	34	UTEP
2004	10/02	UTEP	45	New Mexico State	0	UTEP
2002	10/05	New Mexico State	49	UTEP	14	New Mexico State
2000	09/29	UTEP	41	New Mexico State	31	UTEP

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	15	5	4 Overs
New Mexico State	7	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 10	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 12	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4

(#60) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.03 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60

New Mexico State Ratings Matchup UTEP

Power #60

#123

Off #17

#77

Def #77

#116

Talent #128

#130

SP+ #62

#120

SP+ Off #75

#116

SP+ Def #46

#100

Rematch from Week 8
New Mexico State 3.0 (48.5)
New Mexico State won at UTEP this year (28-7)

Previous Matchups
UTEP beat New Mexico State last year (42-35)
New Mexico State beat UTEP in 2023 (28-7)
UTEP beat New Mexico State in 2022 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | UTEP
Depth Chart: NMSU | UTEP
Rosters: NMSU | UTEP

(#123) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.53 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD