Ole Miss at Auburn Game Matchup
Ole Miss logo Ole Miss Rebels at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -6.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 28 - Auburn: 21  (SEC)

 
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (35 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -3    (SP+ -8)
PPG only: MISS: 30 - AUB: 21 (51)
MISS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 263 miles
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MISS's OC John David Baker vs AUB's DC Ron Roberts     AUB's OC Philip Montgomery vs MISS's DC Pete Golding

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.2748%38.649%3.1125745%2404.04.1644%14.444%44%3.7263.21.52.3
AUB.239%27.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%21.349%36%4.5757.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1338.634.647.5%4.041.5254962572405.460%40%49%45%16%.27
AUB Defense1221.320.842.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1314.418.643.9%3.722.3 - - - - - 51%49%44%44%16%.16
AUB Offense1227.833.139%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1326:2325.247%49%6.863.21.52.35.72.5027.3
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1360%49%47.2256.55.433.273.1174%10%1.1
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.2274%10%0.86
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1340%45%18.429.7239.88.113.12211.31.629%36%.335%1.9
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1349%44% - - - - - - 8.241.529%30%.226%1.8
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Ole Miss's SP+ Ratings
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.28   Auburn: 8.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0   Auburn: 8.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 8.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Auburn's SP+ Ratings
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 30
Auburn 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Auburn21Ole Miss28Ole MissOle Miss -6.5Ole Miss55.5Under
202210/15Ole Miss48Auburn34Ole MissOle Miss -15.5Auburn55.5Over
202110/30Auburn31Ole Miss20AuburnAuburn -3Auburn67.5Under
202010/24Ole Miss28Auburn35AuburnAuburn -3.5Auburn74.0Under
201911/02Auburn20Ole Miss14AuburnAuburn -17Ole Miss53.5Under
201810/20Ole Miss16Auburn31AuburnAuburn -5Auburn64.0Under
201710/07Auburn44Ole Miss23AuburnAuburn -21.5Ole Miss55.5Over
201610/29Ole Miss29Auburn40AuburnAuburn -2Auburn65.5Over
201510/31Auburn19Ole Miss27Ole MissOle Miss -6Ole Miss57.5Under
201411/01Ole Miss31Auburn35AuburnOle Miss -3Auburn0
201310/05Auburn30Ole Miss22AuburnOle Miss -2Auburn0
201210/13Ole Miss41Auburn20Ole Miss
201110/29Auburn41Ole Miss23Auburn
201010/30Ole Miss31Auburn51Auburn
200910/31Auburn33Ole Miss20Auburn
200811/01Ole Miss17Auburn7Ole Miss
200710/27Auburn17Ole Miss3Auburn
200610/28Ole Miss17Auburn23Auburn
200510/29Auburn27Ole Miss3Auburn
200410/30Ole Miss14Auburn35Auburn
200311/08Auburn20Ole Miss24Ole Miss
200211/02Ole Miss24Auburn31Auburn
200109/08Auburn27Ole Miss21Auburn
200009/08Ole Miss27Auburn35Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1873 Overs
Ole Miss646 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 122 - 91 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 25 - 14 - 1

(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Ole Miss     Ratings Matchup     Auburn
Power #18
#32
Off #22
#70
Def #47
#44
Talent #34
#23
SP+ #14
#36
SP+ Off #21
#65
SP+ Def #21
#24

Rematch from Week 8
Ole Miss 6.5 (55.5)
Ole Miss won at Auburn this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2023 (28-21)
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2022 (48-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 67° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MISS | AUB
Depth Chart: MISS | AUB
Rosters: MISS | AUB
(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70





  
Ole Miss's OC John David Baker
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Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
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Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
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Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
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