Wisconsin at Illinois Game Matchup
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -3 (40.5) (-155)  Open: -5.0 | 43.0
Wisconsin 25 - Illinois: 21  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 25.5 MPHOur Line: Wisconsin -6    (SP+ -12.5)
PPG only: WIS: 22 - ILL: 26 (48)
WIS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WIS Travel: 214 miles
Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Illinois vs Toledo-7.045.5W 30 - 28
Fri 9/8 Illinois at Kansas+3.557.5L 23 - 34
Sat 9/16 Illinois vs Penn State+14.047.5L 13 - 30
Sat 9/23 Illinois vs Florida Atlantic-16.045.5W 23 - 17
Sat 9/30 Illinois at Purdue+1.054.0L 19 - 44
Fri 10/6 Illinois vs Nebraska-3.543.0L 7 - 20
Sat 10/14 Illinois at Maryland+13.552.0W 27 - 24
Sat 10/21 Illinois vs Wisconsin+3.040.5L 21 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Illinois at Minnesota+1.543.0W 27 - 26
Sat 11/11 Illinois vs Indiana-4.543.5W 48 - 45
Sat 11/18 Illinois at Iowa+2.533.5L 13 - 15
Sat 11/25 Illinois vs Northwestern-5.046.5L 43 - 45
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

WIS's OC Phil Longo vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry     ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs WIS's DC Colin Hitschler

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
ILL.1544%28.343%3.0716845%2093.37-.0233%21.730%36%2.259.11.22.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1322.624.542.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16
ILL Defense1321.717.632.8%2.22.5 - - - - - 45%53%30%36%22%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1323.132.836.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
ILL Offense1328.33243.8%3.371.221377168209454%46%43%45%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Illinois1332:4121.238%48%6.459.11.22.56.12.1130.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96
ILL Defense1345%30% - - - - -.032.6450%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
ILL Offense1354%43%41.9167.7418.083.0772%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2
ILL Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 24.071.436%23%.0511%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
ILL Offense1346%45%2130.2209.46.910155.251.430%32%.242%1.7

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Wisconsin's SP+ Ratings
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.64   Illinois: 1.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 9.9   Illinois: -2.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 1.71 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 26
Wisconsin 22

Projected Total Points: 48
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Illinois21Wisconsin25WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin40.5Over
202210/01Wisconsin10Illinois34IllinoisWisconsin -6.5Illinois43.0Over
202110/09Illinois0Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Wisconsin42.0Under
202010/23Wisconsin45Illinois7WisconsinWisconsin -20.5Wisconsin51.5Over
201910/19Illinois24Wisconsin23IllinoisWisconsin -28.5Illinois52.0Under
201810/20Wisconsin49Illinois20WisconsinWisconsin -24Wisconsin53.5Over
201710/28Illinois10Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -28.5Illinois51.0Under
201611/12Wisconsin48Illinois3WisconsinWisconsin -26.5Wisconsin42.0Over
201510/24Illinois13Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -7Wisconsin46.5Under
201410/11Wisconsin38Illinois28WisconsinWisconsin -24Illinois0
201310/19Illinois32Wisconsin56WisconsinWisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201210/06Wisconsin31Illinois14Wisconsin
201111/19Illinois17Wisconsin28Wisconsin
200810/25Wisconsin27Illinois17Wisconsin
200710/06Illinois31Wisconsin26Illinois
200610/28Wisconsin30Illinois24Wisconsin
200510/29Illinois24Wisconsin41Wisconsin
200410/02Wisconsin24Illinois7Wisconsin
200309/27Illinois20Wisconsin38Wisconsin
200211/09Wisconsin20Illinois37Illinois
200110/20Illinois42Wisconsin35Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois545 Overs
Wisconsin1674 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 105 - 63 - 22 - 4
Road Teams10 - 116 - 54 - 22 - 3

(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Wisconsin     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #28
#63
Off #67
#47
Def #26
#104
Talent #29
#62
SP+ #28
#75
SP+ Off #90
#90
SP+ Def #6
#49

Rematch from Week 8
Wisconsin 3.0 (40.5)
Wisconsin won at Illinois this year (25-21)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Illinois in 2023 (25-21)
Illinois beat Wisconsin in 2022 (34-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 26 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WIS | ILL
Depth Chart: WIS | ILL
Rosters: WIS | ILL
(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.71 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80





  
Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
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Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
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Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
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Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
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