LSU at Alabama Game Matchup
LSU logo LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson TideAlabama logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (7:45 PM EDT)
Alabama -3 (61.5) (-166)  Open: -7.0
Alabama 42 - LSU: 28  (SEC)

 
Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU coming off BYE
ALA coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -1.5    (SP+ -5)
PPG only: LSU: 24 - ALA: 29 (53)
ALA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
LSU Travel: 288 miles
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/3 LSU vs Florida State-2.056.5L 24 - 45
Sat 9/9 LSU vs Grambling-56.561.5W 72 - 10
Sat 9/16 LSU at Mississippi State-9.554.0W 41 - 14
Sat 9/23 LSU vs Arkansas-17.555.0W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 LSU at Ole Miss-3.067.0L 49 - 55
Sat 10/7 LSU at Missouri-6.063.5W 49 - 39
Sat 10/14 LSU vs Auburn-11.060.0W 48 - 18
Sat 10/21 LSU vs Army-33.060.0W 62 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 LSU at Alabama+3.061.5L 28 - 42
Sat 11/11 LSU vs Florida-14.068.5W 52 - 35
Sat 11/18 LSU vs Georgia State-32.573.5W 56 - 14
Sat 11/25 LSU vs Texas A&M-10.567.5W 42 - 30
Mon 1/1 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.559.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock vs ALA's DC Kevin Steele     ALA's OC Tommy Rees vs LSU's DC Matt House

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.3351%30.555%3.6318448%2694.6.1641%24.345%37%3.3452.11.42
ALA.3347%33.846%2.9519648%2824.78.0639%17.442%36%3.4968.71.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1430.527.351.3%4.61.425453184269547%53%55%48%13%.33
ALA Defense1317.413.738.9%3.491.2 - - - - - 47%53%42%36%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1424.32740.8%3.342 - - - - - 49%51%45%37%15%.16
ALA Offense1333.84146.9%4.781.2244771962825.644%56%46%48%13%.33

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1431:0124.649%50%652.11.424.81.9227.8
Alabama1329:5423.846%60%7.968.71.21.26.52.9331.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1447%55%37183.8539.353.6380%9%0.99
ALA Defense1347%42% - - - - .092.8568%11%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1449%45% - - - - .142.974%10%0.93
ALA Offense1344%46%35.2195.75.626.232.9573%9%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1453%48%2334.3269.37.911.7237.321.427%35%.434%2
ALA Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 7.061.433%26%.147%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1451%37% - - - - - - 9.171.732%32%.385%2.2
ALA Offense1356%48%21.533.7281.58.413.1378.41.730%40%.684%2.4

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

LSU's SP+ Ratings
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 17.07   Alabama: 18.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7   Alabama: 23.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.78 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Alabama's SP+ Ratings
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 29
LSU 24

Projected Total Points: 53
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09LSU13Alabama42AlabamaAlabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28AlabamaAlabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31LSUAlabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14AlabamaAlabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55AlabamaAlabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46LSUAlabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29AlabamaAlabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10AlabamaAlabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10AlabamaAlabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16AlabamaAlabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20AlabamaAlabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17AlabamaAlabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21Alabama
201111/05Alabama6LSU9LSU
201101/09LSU0Alabama21Alabama
201011/06LSU24Alabama21LSU
200911/07Alabama24LSU15Alabama
200811/08LSU21Alabama27Alabama
200711/03Alabama34LSU41LSU
200611/11LSU28Alabama14LSU
200511/12Alabama13LSU16LSU
200411/13LSU26Alabama10LSU
200311/15Alabama3LSU27LSU
200111/03Alabama21LSU35LSU
200011/03LSU30Alabama28LSU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1484 Overs
LSU1146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 144 - 83 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 118 - 45 - 13 - 3

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

LSU     Ratings Matchup     Alabama
Power #8
#9
Off #1
#25
Def #122
#21
Talent #6
#1
SP+ #10
#7
SP+ Off #2
#11
SP+ Def #55
#9

Rematch from Week 10
Alabama -3.0 (61.5)
Alabama won vs LSU this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)
LSU beat Alabama in 2022 (32-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61°

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | ALA
Depth Chart: LSU | ALA
Rosters: LSU | ALA
(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 18.78 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30





  
LSU's OC Mike Denbrock
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Alabama's OC Tommy Rees
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LSU's DC Matt House
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Alabama's DC Kevin Steele
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