Florida at LSU Game Matchup

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
LSU -14 (68.5) (-850) Open: -16.5
LSU 52 - Florida: 35 (SEC)

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: LSU -11 (SP+ -13)
PPG only: FLA: 26 - LSU: 27 (53)
LSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31

FLA's OC Rob Sale vs LSU's DC Matt House LSU's OC Mike Denbrock vs FLA's DC Austin Armstrong

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.26	40%	28.3	41%	3.17	200	39%	224	3.65	.23	45%	23.1	47%	44%	4.36	50.1	1.1	2
LSU	.33	51%	30.5	55%	3.63	184	48%	269	4.6	.16	41%	24.3	45%	37%	3.34	52.1	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	13	28.3	27.5	39.8%	3.65	1.1	20	424	200	224	5.5	54%	46%	41%	39%	13%	.26
LSU Defense	14	24.3	21.4	40.8%	3.34	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	37%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	13	23.1	27.8	45.3%	4.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	44%	14%	.23
LSU Offense	14	30.5	31.9	51.3%	4.6	1.4	25	453	184	269	5	47%	53%	55%	48%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	13	29:02	20	40%	47%	6.8	50.1	1.1	2	5.4	1.8	2	28.3
LSU	14	31:01	24.6	49%	50%	6	52.1	1.4	2	4.8	1.9	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	13	54%	41%	36.3	200.2	5.5	29	.26	3.17	80%	8%	1.29
LSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.9	74%	10%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.17	73%	10%	1.05
LSU Offense	14	47%	55%	37	183.8	5	39	.35	3.63	80%	9%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	13	46%	39%	15.3	28.2	223.8	8	14.6	18	9	.3	1.8	35%	30%	.43	5%	2.3
LSU Defense	14	51%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	32%	32%	.38	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	31%	39%	.46	4%	2
LSU Offense	14	53%	48%	23	34.3	269.3	7.9	11.7	23	7	.32	1.4	27%	35%	.43	4%	2

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Florida's SP+ Ratings
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 8.25 LSU: 19.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 5.9 LSU: 18.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 19.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

LSU's SP+ Ratings
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 27
Florida 26

Projected Total Points: 53

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Florida	27	LSU	16	Florida	LSU -3	Florida	57.0	Under
2023	11/11	LSU	52	Florida	35	LSU	LSU -14	LSU	68.5	Over
2022	10/15	Florida	35	LSU	45	LSU	Florida -2	LSU	51.5	Over
2021	10/16	LSU	49	Florida	42	LSU	Florida -12.5	LSU	61.0	Over
2020	12/12	Florida	34	LSU	37	LSU	Florida -23	LSU	65.5	Over
2019	10/12	LSU	42	Florida	28	LSU	LSU -14	Push	55.5	Over
2018	10/06	Florida	27	LSU	19	Florida	LSU -1	Florida	44.0	Over
2017	10/07	Florida	16	LSU	17	LSU	LSU -1.5	Florida	44.0	Under
2016	11/19	LSU	10	Florida	16	Florida	LSU -10.5	Florida	38.0	Under
2015	10/17	LSU	35	Florida	28	LSU	LSU -6.5	LSU	43.5	Over
2014	10/11	Florida	27	LSU	30	LSU	LSU -1	LSU	0
2013	10/12	LSU	17	Florida	6	LSU	LSU -5	LSU	0
2012	10/06	Florida	14	LSU	6	Florida
2011	10/08	LSU	41	Florida	11	LSU
2010	10/09	Florida	29	LSU	33	LSU
2009	10/10	LSU	3	Florida	13	Florida
2008	10/11	Florida	51	LSU	21	Florida
2007	10/06	LSU	28	Florida	24	LSU
2006	10/07	Florida	23	LSU	10	Florida
2005	10/15	LSU	21	Florida	17	LSU
2004	10/09	Florida	21	LSU	24	LSU
2003	10/11	LSU	7	Florida	19	Florida
2002	10/12	Florida	7	LSU	36	LSU
2001	10/06	LSU	15	Florida	44	Florida
2000	10/06	Florida	41	LSU	9	Florida

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	15	7	7 Overs
Florida	10	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 11	7 - 4	3 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 14	4 - 7	1 - 4	3 - 3

(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Florida Ratings Matchup LSU

Power #26

Off #19

Def #90

#122

Talent #14

SP+ #42

#10

SP+ Off #42

SP+ Def #64

#55

Rematch from Week 11
LSU -14.0 (68.5)
LSU won vs Florida this year (52-35)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat LSU last year (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)
LSU beat Florida in 2022 (45-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | LSU
Depth Chart: FLA | LSU
Rosters: FLA | LSU

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Florida's OC Rob Sale

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Florida's DC Austin Armstrong

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LSU's DC Matt House

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD