Minnesota at Purdue Game Matchup
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Minnesota -1.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Purdue 49 - Minnesota: 30  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Purdue -3.5    (SP+ -6)
PPG only: MINN: 33 - PUR: 16 (49)
MINN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 448 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.543.0W 13 - 10
Sat 9/9 Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan-19.548.0W 25 - 6
Sat 9/16 Minnesota at North Carolina+7.051.0L 13 - 31
Sat 9/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-11.539.5L 34 - 37
Sat 9/30 Minnesota vs Louisiana-9.549.0W 35 - 24
Sat 10/7 Minnesota vs Michigan+18.546.0L 10 - 52
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Minnesota at Iowa+3.030.5W 12 - 10
Sat 10/28 Minnesota vs Michigan State-6.541.5W 27 - 12
Sat 11/4 Minnesota vs Illinois-1.543.0L 26 - 27
Sat 11/11 Minnesota at Purdue-1.548.5L 30 - 49
Sat 11/18 Minnesota at Ohio State+27.551.5L 3 - 37
Sat 11/25 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+1.542.0L 14 - 28
Tue 12/26 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-2.545.0W 30 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. vs PUR's DC Kevin Kane     PUR's OC Graham Harrell vs MINN's DC Nick Monroe

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN.2448%26.249%3.320748%1824.36.1237%16.938%36%2.8431.811.6
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.647.8%4.361223902071824.664%35%49%48%12%.24
PUR Defense1439.93440.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.836.7%2.841.6 - - - - - 47%52%38%36%13%.12
PUR Offense1415.81643.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1334:2821.552%55%3.531.811.63.31.5129.6
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1364%49%44.8207.44.633.223.385%7%0.9
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1347%38% - - - - .092.9976%7%0.99
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1335%48%13.221.6182.28.413.8129.371.528%40%.455%1.7
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1352%36% - - - - - - 14.171.537%25%.216%1.8
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Minnesota's SP+ Ratings
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -4.18   Purdue: -0.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -1.3   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Purdue's SP+ Ratings
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 33
Purdue 16


Projected Total Points: 49
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Purdue49Minnesota30PurdueMinnesota -1.5Purdue48.5Over
202210/01Minnesota10Purdue20PurdueMinnesota -9.0Purdue53.0Under
202110/02Purdue13Minnesota20MinnesotaPurdue -2Minnesota46.0Under
202011/20Minnesota34Purdue31MinnesotaPurdue -2.5Minnesota60.5Over
201909/28Purdue31Minnesota38MinnesotaPurdue -2Minnesota57.0Over
201811/10Minnesota41Purdue10MinnesotaPurdue -10.5Minnesota58.0Under
201710/07Purdue31Minnesota17PurduePurdue -3.5Purdue45.5Over
201611/05Minnesota44Purdue31MinnesotaMinnesota -16.5Purdue54.0Over
201510/10Purdue13Minnesota41MinnesotaMinnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Over
201410/18Minnesota39Purdue38MinnesotaMinnesota -14.5Purdue0
201210/27Minnesota44Purdue28Minnesota
201110/08Purdue45Minnesota17Purdue
201010/16Purdue28Minnesota17Purdue
200910/10Minnesota35Purdue20Minnesota
200810/25Purdue6Minnesota17Minnesota
200709/22Minnesota31Purdue45Purdue
200609/23Purdue27Minnesota21Purdue
200509/24Minnesota42Purdue35Minnesota
200209/28Purdue28Minnesota15Purdue
200109/29Minnesota28Purdue35Purdue
200009/22Purdue38Minnesota24Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1056 Overs
Minnesota1153 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 74 - 61 - 53 - 1
Road Teams7 - 146 - 41 - 35 - 1

(#88) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Minnesota     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #88
#81
Off #108
#90
Def #99
#83
Talent #30
#65
SP+ #69
#90
SP+ Off #105
#89
SP+ Def #37
#72

Rematch from Week 11
Minnesota 1.5 (48.5)
Purdue won vs Minnesota this year (49-30)

Previous Matchups
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2023 (49-30)
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2022 (20-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MINN | PUR
Depth Chart: MINN | PUR
Rosters: MINN | PUR
(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30





  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
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Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
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Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe
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Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
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