New Mexico State at Western Kentucky Game Matchup

New Mexico State Aggies at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -4.5 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 38 - Western Kentucky: 29 (Conference USA)

Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2 (SP+ -2.5)
PPG only: NMSU: 23 - WKU: 31 (54)
WKU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1195 miles, 1 hrs behind

Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (26 - 14 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/26	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	45.5	L 30 - 41
Sat 9/2	New Mexico State vs Western Illinois	-21.0	55.0	W 58 - 21
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at Liberty	+9.0	54.5	L 17 - 33
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+2.5	52.0	W 27 - 17
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+4.0	54.5	L 17 - 20
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	New Mexico State vs Florida International	-6.5	49.5	W 34 - 17
Wed 10/11	New Mexico State vs Sam Houston	-4.5	43.0	W 27 - 13
Wed 10/18	New Mexico State at UTEP	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 7
Tue 10/24	New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 27 - 24
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee	-3.0	55.5	W 13 - 7
Sat 11/11	New Mexico State at Western Kentucky	+4.5	55.5	W 38 - 29
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Auburn	+25.5	48.5	W 31 - 10
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 17
Fri 12/1	New Mexico State at Liberty	+10.5	54.0	L 35 - 49
Sat 12/16	New Mexico State vs Fresno State	-3.0	52.5	L 10 - 37

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-13.5	71.5	W 41 - 24
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-41.5	64.5	W 52 - 22
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky at Ohio State	+29.5	65.0	L 10 - 63
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky at Troy	+3.5	57.0	L 24 - 27
Thu 9/28	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	61.0	W 31 - 10
Thu 10/5	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-6.0	59.0	W 35 - 28
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7.5	60.5	L 17 - 20
Tue 10/24	Western Kentucky vs Liberty	+4.0	61.5	L 29 - 42
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-9.5	54.5	W 21 - 13
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-4.5	55.5	L 29 - 38
Sat 11/18	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-12.5	52.0	W 28 - 23
Sat 11/25	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-11.5	54.0	W 41 - 28
Mon 12/18	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35

NMSU's OC Tim Beck vs WKU's DC Tyson Summers WKU's OC Drew Hollingshead vs NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.18	38%	21.6	40%	2.88	162	36%	169	4.18	.16	43%	36.3	47%	40%	3.86	57.4	1.4	1.2
WKU	.28	44%	24.9	43%	3.17	145	46%	352	3.63	.11	41%	24.6	44%	40%	4.02	57.5	1.6	2.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	13	21.6	12.6	37.7%	4.18	1.4	17	331	162	169	4.6	56%	43%	40%	36%	19%	.18
WKU Defense	14	24.6	13.5	41.4%	4.02	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	40%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	13	36.3	38.4	43%	3.86	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	47%	40%	17%	.16
WKU Offense	14	24.9	26.3	44.5%	3.63	1.6	25	497	145	352	4.9	37%	62%	43%	46%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	13	28:51	16.6	39%	73%	6.5	57.4	1.4	1.2	5.5	2.1	1	28.7
Western Kentucky	14	28:57	24.6	42%	40%	6.2	57.5	1.6	2.9	4.9	2.3	5	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	13	56%	40%	34.9	161.6	4.6	24	.13	2.88	84%	11%	1.08
WKU Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	79%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	13	53%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.11	78%	11%	0.9
WKU Offense	14	37%	43%	29.6	145.1	4.9	15	.18	3.17	71%	7%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	13	43%	36%	12.2	23.5	169.2	7.2	13.8	18	13	.25	1.9	35%	30%	.32	8%	2
WKU Defense	14	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.12	1.4	33%	25%	.14	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	13	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.21	1.5	30%	30%	.37	6%	2
WKU Offense	14	62%	46%	28.7	44.4	352.3	7.9	12.3	43	12	.39	1.7	31%	37%	.52	10%	2.4

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: #NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: #NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Western Kentucky: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0 Western Kentucky: -1.5

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: #NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: -

Western Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
New Mexico State 23

Projected Total Points: 54

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	New Mexico State	28	Western Kentucky	41	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -18.0	New Mexico State	53.5	Over
2023	11/11	Western Kentucky	29	New Mexico State	38	New Mexico State	Western Kentucky -4.5	New Mexico State	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	1	0	2 Overs
New Mexico State	1	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#NR) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

New Mexico State Ratings Matchup Western Kentucky

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #128

#125

SP+ #62

#72

SP+ Off #75

#55

SP+ Def #46

#86

Rematch from Week 11
Western Kentucky -4.5 (55.5)
New Mexico State won at Western Kentucky this year (38-29)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat New Mexico State last year (41-28)
New Mexico State beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (38-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 58° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | WKU
Depth Chart: NMSU | WKU
Rosters: NMSU | WKU

(#NR) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86
Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Western Kentucky's OC Drew Hollingshead

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD