New Mexico State at Auburn Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Auburn -25.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 31 - Auburn: 10

 
Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Auburn -8.5    (SP+ -7)
PPG only: NMSU: 22 - AUB: 32 (54)
AUB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
NMSU Travel: 1237 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.045.5L 30 - 41
Sat 9/2 New Mexico State vs Western Illinois-21.055.0W 58 - 21
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at Liberty+9.054.5L 17 - 33
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State at New Mexico+2.552.0W 27 - 17
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+4.054.5L 17 - 20
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 New Mexico State vs Florida International-6.549.5W 34 - 17
Wed 10/11 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-4.543.0W 27 - 13
Wed 10/18 New Mexico State at UTEP-3.048.5W 28 - 7
Tue 10/24 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+3.055.0W 27 - 24
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.055.5W 13 - 7
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+4.555.5W 38 - 29
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Auburn+25.548.5W 31 - 10
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State-2.048.5W 20 - 17
Fri 12/1 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.554.0L 35 - 49
Sat 12/16 New Mexico State vs Fresno State-3.052.5L 10 - 37
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NMSU's OC Tim Beck vs AUB's DC Ron Roberts     AUB's OC Philip Montgomery vs NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1838%21.640%2.8816236%1694.18.1643%36.347%40%3.8657.41.41.2
AUB.239%27.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%21.349%36%4.5757.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1321.612.637.7%4.181.4173311621694.656%43%40%36%19%.18
AUB Defense1221.320.842.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1336.338.443%3.861.2 - - - - - 53%46%47%40%17%.16
AUB Offense1227.833.139%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1328:5116.639%73%6.557.41.41.25.52.1128.7
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1356%40%34.9161.64.624.132.8884%11%1.08
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1353%47% - - - - .173.1178%11%0.9
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1343%36%12.223.5169.27.213.81813.251.935%30%.328%2
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 7.211.530%30%.376%2
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 0.03 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 0.03   Auburn: 8.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0   Auburn: 8.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 8.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Auburn's SP+ Ratings
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 32
New Mexico State 22

Projected Total Points: 54
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Auburn10New Mexico State31New Mexico StateAuburn -25.5New Mexico State48.5Under
201211/03Auburn42New Mexico State7Auburn
200709/22Auburn55New Mexico State20Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn200 Overs
New Mexico State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#60) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.03 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60

New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Auburn
Power #60
#32
Off #17
#70
Def #77
#44
Talent #128
#23
SP+ #62
#36
SP+ Off #75
#65
SP+ Def #46
#24

Rematch from Week 12
Auburn -25.5 (48.5)
New Mexico State won at Auburn this year (31-10)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Auburn in 2023 (31-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | AUB
Depth Chart: NMSU | AUB
Rosters: NMSU | AUB
(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70





  
New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck
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Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
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New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
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