Massachusetts Minutemen at Liberty Flames
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (1:00 PM EST)
Liberty -26.5 (64.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Liberty 49 - Massachusetts: 25
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 3rd straight Home Game
UMASS coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -20 (SP+ -30)
PPG only: UMASS: 23 - LIB: 32 (55)
LIB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
UMASS Travel: 494 miles
UMASS coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -20 (SP+ -30)
PPG only: UMASS: 23 - LIB: 32 (55)
LIB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
UMASS Travel: 494 miles
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 8/26 | Massachusetts at New Mexico State | +7.0 | 45.5 | W 41 - 30 | |
| Sat 9/2 | Massachusetts at Auburn | +35.0 | 52.0 | L 14 - 59 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Massachusetts vs Miami (OH) | +7.0 | 45.0 | L 28 - 41 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan | +7.0 | 50.0 | L 17 - 19 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Massachusetts vs New Mexico | -3.5 | 48.5 | L 31 - 34 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Massachusetts vs Arkansas State | -2.5 | 55.5 | L 28 - 52 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Massachusetts vs Toledo | +19.0 | 55.5 | L 24 - 41 | |
| Sat 10/14 | Massachusetts at Penn State | +42.0 | 55.0 | L 0 - 63 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/28 | Massachusetts at Army | +10.0 | 49.5 | W 21 - 14 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Massachusetts vs Merrimack | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 31 - 21 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 11/18 | Massachusetts at Liberty | +26.5 | 64.5 | L 25 - 49 | |
| Sat 11/25 | Massachusetts vs UConn | -2.5 | 51.0 | L 18 - 31 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Liberty's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Liberty vs Bowling Green | -8.5 | 48.5 | W 34 - 24 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Liberty vs New Mexico State | -9.0 | 54.5 | W 33 - 17 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Liberty at Buffalo | -2.5 | 54.0 | W 55 - 27 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Liberty at Florida International | -10.0 | 54.0 | W 38 - 6 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Thu 10/5 | Liberty vs Sam Houston | -21.0 | 46.5 | W 21 - 16 | |
| Tue 10/10 | Liberty at Jacksonville State | -7.0 | 59.5 | W 31 - 13 | |
| Tue 10/17 | Liberty vs Middle Tennessee | -16.0 | 56.5 | W 42 - 35 | |
| Tue 10/24 | Liberty at Western Kentucky | -4.0 | 61.5 | W 42 - 29 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Liberty vs Louisiana Tech | -16.5 | 58.0 | W 56 - 30 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Liberty vs Old Dominion | -13.5 | 58.5 | W 38 - 10 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Liberty vs Massachusetts | -26.5 | 64.5 | W 49 - 25 | |
| Sat 11/25 | Liberty at UTEP | -18.0 | 54.5 | W 42 - 28 | |
| Fri 12/1 | Liberty vs New Mexico State | -10.5 | 54.0 | W 49 - 35 | |
| Mon 1/1 | Liberty vs Oregon | +18.5 | 71.5 | L 6 - 45 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs LIB's DC Jack Curtis LIB's OC Newland Isaac vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS | .01 | 32% | 22.5 | 34% | 2.8 | 150 | 31% | 117 | 2.26 | .2 | 40% | 35.5 | 42% | 38% | 3.6 | 66.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| LIB | .15 | 41% | 28.8 | 46% | 3.22 | 172 | 38% | 217 | 3.61 | .1 | 36% | 23.5 | 38% | 36% | 3.57 | 53.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| LIB | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 22.5 | 17.8 | 32.4% | 2.26 | 1.6 | 15 | 267 | 150 | 117 | 3.5 | 60% | 39% | 34% | 31% | 20% | .01 |
| LIB Defense | 13 | 23.5 | 22.3 | 36.2% | 3.57 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 38% | 36% | 20% | .1 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 35.5 | 38.8 | 40.1% | 3.6 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 39% | 42% | 38% | 20% | .2 |
| LIB Offense | 13 | 28.8 | 32.3 | 41.4% | 3.61 | 2.1 | 20 | 389 | 172 | 217 | 4.6 | 50% | 48% | 46% | 38% | 19% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 12 | 31:55 | 14.6 | 28% | 48% | 7.6 | 66.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 27.5 |
| Liberty | 13 | 28:37 | 20.4 | 37% | 48% | 6.2 | 53.5 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.3 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 60% | 34% | 43.3 | 150.3 | 3.5 | 10 | .03 | 2.8 | 69% | 14% | 0.93 |
| LIB Defense | 13 | 51% | 38% | - | - | - | - | .08 | 2.59 | 75% | 14% | 1.06 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 60% | 42% | - | - | - | - | .18 | 3.17 | 70% | 13% | 1.14 |
| LIB Offense | 13 | 50% | 46% | 37.8 | 172.4 | 4.6 | 24 | .17 | 3.22 | 68% | 13% | 1.05 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Offense | 12 | 39% | 31% | 11.3 | 23.1 | 116.9 | 5.1 | 10.3 | 4 | 14 | .01 | 1.6 | 37% | 19% | .1 | 6% | 2.1 |
| LIB Defense | 13 | 47% | 36% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | .19 | 1.7 | 36% | 27% | .26 | 7% | 2 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMASS Defense | 12 | 39% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 | .29 | 1.9 | 33% | 28% | .28 | 7% | 2.3 |
| LIB Offense | 13 | 48% | 38% | 17.6 | 30.4 | 216.5 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 21 | 15 | .22 | 1.6 | 31% | 26% | .23 | 6% | 2.2 |
Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Massachusetts's SP+ Ratings
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 638.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09 Liberty: 8.67
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7 Liberty: 11.8
Massachusetts: -11.09 Liberty: 8.67
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7 Liberty: 11.8
Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 8.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's SP+ Ratings
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Liberty's Power Rating: 8.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's SP+ Ratings
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8
Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8
Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 32
Massachusetts 23
Projected Total Points: 55
Liberty 32
Massachusetts 23
Projected Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3
Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Massachusetts | 34 | Liberty | 35 | Liberty | Liberty -17 | Massachusetts | 53.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Liberty | 49 | Massachusetts | 25 | Liberty | Liberty -26.5 | Massachusetts | 64.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Massachusetts | 24 | Liberty | 42 | Liberty | Liberty -22.5 | Massachusetts | 45.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Liberty | 62 | Massachusetts | 17 | Liberty | Liberty -35.5 | Liberty | 56.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/27 | Liberty | 45 | Massachusetts | 0 | Liberty | Liberty -35 | Liberty | 57.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | Massachusetts | 21 | Liberty | 63 | Liberty | Liberty -23.5 | Liberty | 72.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Massachusetts | 62 | Liberty | 59 | Massachusetts | Liberty -1.5 | Massachusetts | 66.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 6 | 3 | 6 Overs |
| Massachusetts | 1 | 4 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 4 | 2 - 5 | 1 - 3 | 1 - 2 |
(#121) Massachusetts Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Power #121
#30Off #59
#3Def #129
#42Talent #108
#114SP+ #125
#21SP+ Off #99
#9SP+ Def #124
#51Rematch from Week 12
Liberty -26.5 (64.5)
Liberty won vs Massachusetts this year (49-25)
Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Massachusetts last year (35-34)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2023 (49-25)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2022 (42-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67° - Wind: 9 mph
Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | LIB
Depth Chart: UMASS | LIB
Rosters: UMASS | LIB
(#30) Liberty Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|