Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Mississippi State -18.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 41 - Southern Miss: 20
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Mississippi State -8.5 (SP+ -15)
PPG only: USM: 25 - MSST: 32 (57)
MSST Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
USM Travel: 150 miles
Our Line: Mississippi State -8.5 (SP+ -15)
PPG only: USM: 25 - MSST: 32 (57)
MSST Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
USM Travel: 150 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Greg Knox (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Southern Miss vs Alcorn State | -24.0 | 47.5 | W 40 - 14 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Southern Miss at Florida State | +31.0 | 54.0 | L 13 - 66 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Southern Miss vs Tulane | +8.0 | 47.5 | L 3 - 21 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Southern Miss at Arkansas State | -7.0 | 46.5 | L 37 - 44 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Southern Miss vs Texas State | +6.5 | 60.0 | L 36 - 50 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Southern Miss vs Old Dominion | -3.0 | 56.5 | L 13 - 17 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Tue 10/17 | Southern Miss at South Alabama | +18.5 | 51.0 | L 3 - 55 | |
| Sat 10/28 | Southern Miss at App State | +16.0 | 55.5 | L 38 - 48 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Southern Miss vs UL Monroe | -3.0 | 56.0 | W 24 - 7 | |
| Thu 11/9 | Southern Miss at Louisiana | +8.5 | 51.5 | W 34 - 31 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Southern Miss at Mississippi State | +18.5 | 47.5 | L 20 - 41 | |
| Sat 11/25 | Southern Miss vs Troy | +16.5 | 48.5 | L 17 - 35 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana | -31.5 | 59.5 | W 48 - 7 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Mississippi State vs Arizona | -9.0 | 60.0 | W 31 - 24 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Mississippi State vs LSU | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 14 - 41 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Mississippi State at South Carolina | +6.0 | 46.5 | L 30 - 37 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Mississippi State vs Alabama | +16.5 | 45.0 | L 17 - 40 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Mississippi State vs Western Michigan | -21.5 | 54.5 | W 41 - 28 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/21 | Mississippi State at Arkansas | +6.5 | 46.5 | W 7 - 3 | |
| Sat 10/28 | Mississippi State at Auburn | +6.5 | 40.0 | L 13 - 27 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Mississippi State vs Kentucky | +5.5 | 44.5 | L 3 - 24 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Mississippi State at Texas A&M | +16.5 | 40.5 | L 10 - 51 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Mississippi State vs Southern Miss | -18.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 20 | |
| Thu 11/23 | Mississippi State vs Ole Miss | +11.0 | 56.0 | L 7 - 17 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
USM's OC Sam Gregg vs MSST's DC Matt Brock MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs USM's DC Dan O'Brien
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | .11 | 39% | 15.3 | 40% | 2.8 | 142 | 39% | 208 | 3.69 | .1 | 36% | 37.8 | 37% | 37% | 3.86 | 59.5 | 2 | 1.8 |
| MSST | .19 | 46% | 25.8 | 45% | 2.96 | 82 | 47% | 310 | 4.23 | .09 | 39% | 34.1 | 41% | 38% | 3.53 | 60.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| MSST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 13 | 15.3 | 11 | 38.6% | 3.69 | 2 | 18 | 349 | 142 | 208 | 3.9 | 53% | 45% | 40% | 39% | 19% | .11 |
| MSST Defense | 13 | 34.1 | 34.9 | 39.2% | 3.53 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 41% | 38% | 18% | .09 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 13 | 37.8 | 42.5 | 36.4% | 3.86 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 48% | 37% | 37% | 18% | .1 |
| MSST Offense | 13 | 25.8 | 30.7 | 46.2% | 4.23 | 1.5 | 23 | 393 | 82 | 310 | 3.6 | 30% | 70% | 45% | 47% | 16% | .19 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | 13 | 28:38 | 17.9 | 34% | 63% | 6.7 | 59.5 | 2 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 3 | 3 | 32.3 |
| Mississippi State | 13 | 29:58 | 22.8 | 39% | 52% | 6.3 | 60.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 5 | 31.7 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 13 | 53% | 40% | 36.6 | 141.7 | 3.9 | 15 | .06 | 2.8 | 60% | 13% | 0.97 |
| MSST Defense | 13 | 46% | 41% | - | - | - | - | .14 | 2.79 | 59% | 11% | 1.04 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 13 | 50% | 37% | - | - | - | - | .08 | 2.79 | 74% | 13% | 1.03 |
| MSST Offense | 13 | 30% | 45% | 22.8 | 82.4 | 3.6 | 12 | .12 | 2.96 | 60% | 8% | 0.89 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Offense | 13 | 45% | 39% | 14.7 | 26.6 | 207.5 | 7.8 | 14.1 | 20 | 14 | .25 | 1.7 | 33% | 26% | .26 | 6% | 2.2 |
| MSST Defense | 13 | 53% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | .1 | 1.6 | 34% | 28% | .09 | 6% | 1.9 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Defense | 13 | 48% | 37% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | .18 | 1.7 | 36% | 27% | .21 | 6% | 2.1 |
| MSST Offense | 13 | 70% | 47% | 32.8 | 48.8 | 310.4 | 6.4 | 9.5 | 36 | 9 | .22 | 1.2 | 27% | 30% | .31 | 8% | 2 |
Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Southern Miss's SP+ Ratings
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Southern Miss's SP+ Ratings
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -10.22 Mississippi State: -1.49
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -15.2 Mississippi State: -0.4
Southern Miss: -10.22 Mississippi State: -1.49
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -15.2 Mississippi State: -0.4
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Mississippi State's Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
2023 Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5
Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5
Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 32
Southern Miss 25
Projected Total Points: 57
Mississippi State 32
Southern Miss 25
Projected Total Points: 57
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 34.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.9
Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/18 | Mississippi State | 41 | Southern Miss | 20 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -18.5 | Mississippi State | 47.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 09/07 | Mississippi State | 38 | Southern Miss | 15 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -16.5 | Mississippi State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 09/05 | Southern Miss | 16 | Mississippi State | 34 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -13 | Mississippi State | 62.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 08/30 | Mississippi State | 49 | Southern Miss | 0 | Mississippi State | Mississippi State -26 | Mississippi State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 4 | 4 | 2 Overs |
| Southern Miss | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 1 | 3 - 1 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 3 | 1 - 3 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 3 |
(#119) Southern Miss Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Power #119
#84Off #116
#120Def #102
#85Talent #111
#31SP+ #118
#66SP+ Off #85
#78SP+ Def #125
#55Rematch from Week 12
Mississippi State -18.5 (47.5)
Mississippi State won vs Southern Miss this year (41-20)
Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Southern Miss in 2023 (41-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: USM | MSST
Depth Chart: USM | MSST
Rosters: USM | MSST
(#84) Mississippi State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.49 #84
Offense Rating: 10.46 #120
Defense Rating: 10.96 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 784.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #32
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|