Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston Game Matchup

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Sam Houston Bearkats

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Sam Houston 23 - Middle Tennessee: 20 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Middle Tennessee -0.5 (SP+ -4)
PPG only: MTSU: 19 - SHSU: 29 (48)
MTSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 637 miles

Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Middle Tennessee at Alabama	+39.5	52.0	L 7 - 56
Sat 9/9	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+21.0	47.5	L 19 - 23
Sat 9/16	Middle Tennessee vs Murray State	-34.5	51.0	W 35 - 14
Sat 9/23	Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State	-3.5	50.0	L 23 - 31
Thu 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+6.5	61.0	L 10 - 31
Wed 10/4	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 45
Tue 10/10	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 23
Tue 10/17	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+16.0	56.5	L 35 - 42
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+3.0	55.5	L 7 - 13
Sat 11/11	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	50.5	W 40 - 6
Sat 11/18	Middle Tennessee vs UTEP	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 30
Sat 11/25	Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston	-3.5	49.5	L 20 - 23

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Sam Houston at BYU	+19.0	46.5	L 0 - 14
Sat 9/9	Sam Houston vs Air Force	+13.5	36.5	L 3 - 13
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Sam Houston at Houston	+11.5	37.0	L 7 - 38
Thu 9/28	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State	+6.5	36.5	L 28 - 35
Thu 10/5	Sam Houston at Liberty	+21.0	46.5	L 16 - 21
Wed 10/11	Sam Houston at New Mexico State	+4.5	43.0	L 13 - 27
Wed 10/18	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-6.0	42.0	L 27 - 33
Wed 10/25	Sam Houston vs UTEP	-4.0	38.5	L 34 - 37
Sat 11/4	Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech	+8.5	49.5	W 42 - 27
Sat 11/18	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky	+12.5	52.0	L 23 - 28
Sat 11/25	Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	49.5	W 23 - 20

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart vs SHSU's DC Clayton Carlin SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen vs MTSU's DC Scott Shafer

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	40%	18.1	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	34.3	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8
SHSU		35%	23.8	41%	2.69	0	30%	0	2.55	.06	35%	20.5	36%	35%	2.98	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	18.1	14.2	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14
SHSU Defense	1	20.5	15.2	35%	2.98	0	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	36%	35%	2884%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	34.3	35.8	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1
SHSU Offense	1	23.8	21	35.3%	2.55	0	0	0	0	0	0	49%	51%	41%	30%	1398%

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8
Sam Houston	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1
SHSU Defense	1	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.36	70%	2882%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95
SHSU Offense	1	49%	41%	0	0	0	0	.08	2.69	71%	1396%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9
SHSU Defense	1	54%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.22	2%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2
SHSU Offense	1	51%	30%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.6	36%	28%	.26	2%	2.2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -7.24 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Middle Tennessee's SP+ Ratings
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -7.24 Sam Houston: -7.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -9.4 Sam Houston: -13.5

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -7.92 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Sam Houston's SP+ Ratings
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Sam Houston 29
Middle Tennessee 19

Projected Total Points: 48

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	Sam Houston	23	Middle Tennessee	20	Sam Houston	Middle Tennessee -3.5	Sam Houston	49.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Sam Houston	1	1	0 Overs
Middle Tennessee	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#101) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.24 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90

Middle Tennessee Ratings Matchup Sam Houston

Power #101

#118

Off #109

#113

Def #69

#57

Talent #124

#129

SP+ #100

#112

SP+ Off #92

#120

SP+ Def #89

#82

Rematch from Week 13
Middle Tennessee 3.5 (49.5)
Sam Houston won vs Middle Tennessee this year (23-20)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | SHSU
Depth Chart: MTSU | SHSU
Rosters: MTSU | SHSU

(#118) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.92 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD