Nevada at USC Game Matchup
Nevada logo Nevada Wolf Pack at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
USC -37.5 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 66 - Nevada: 14

 
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: USC -27    (SP+ -30)
PPG only: NEV: 24 - USC: 30 (54)
USC Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
NEV Travel: 392 miles
Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
USC's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 USC vs San José State-31.566.0W 56 - 28
Sat 9/2 USC vs Nevada-37.563.5W 66 - 14
Sat 9/9 USC vs Stanford-28.570.5W 56 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 USC at Arizona State-34.562.0W 42 - 28
Sat 9/30 USC at Colorado-22.074.5W 48 - 41
Sat 10/7 USC vs Arizona-21.069.5W 43 - 41
Sat 10/14 USC at Notre Dame+3.061.0L 20 - 48
Sat 10/21 USC vs Utah-7.551.5L 32 - 34
Sat 10/28 USC at California-10.567.5W 50 - 49
Sat 11/4 USC vs Washington+3.076.0L 42 - 52
Sat 11/11 USC at Oregon+12.578.5L 27 - 36
Sat 11/18 USC vs UCLA-6.065.5L 20 - 38
Wed 12/27 USC vs Louisville+4.558.0W 42 - 28
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NEV's OC Derek Sage vs USC's DC Alex Grinch     USC's OC Josh Henson vs NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.0435%23.137%2.8911933%1862.85.2643%28.844%42%3.9755.11.41.7
USC.451%30.253%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%24.153%46%4.54580.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1223.117.834.8%2.851.4173051191863.347%52%37%33%23%.04
USC Defense1424.123.848.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1228.831.342.9%3.971.7 - - - - - 53%47%44%42%19%.26
USC Offense1430.236.851.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1228:2916.935%50%655.11.41.76.32.2127.2
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1247%37%35.6118.93.319.012.8973%15%1.08
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1253%44% - - - - .193.4690%13%0.95
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1252%33%18.133.2185.65.610.378.11.638%27%.198%2.2
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.351.833%30%.446%2.4
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Nevada's SP+ Ratings
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.41   USC: 11.81

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4   USC: 7.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.81 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 30
Nevada 24

Projected Total Points: 54
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02USC66Nevada14USCUSC -37.5USC63.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC111 Overs
Nevada000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#131) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10

Nevada     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #131
#23
Off #128
#7
Def #110
#119
Talent #101
#33
SP+ #131
#38
SP+ Off #129
#3
SP+ Def #127
#109

Rematch from Week 1
USC -37.5 (63.5)
USC won vs Nevada this year (66-14)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Nevada in 2023 (66-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NEV | USC
Depth Chart: NEV | USC
Rosters: NEV | USC
(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.81 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90





  
Nevada's OC Derek Sage
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USC's OC Josh Henson
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Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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USC's DC Alex Grinch
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