Stanford at USC Game Matchup

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -28.5 (70.5) (0) Open: 0.0
USC 56 - Stanford: 10 (Pac-12)

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

STAN 2nd straight Road Game
USC 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: USC -25.5 (SP+ -20)
PPG only: STAN: 24 - USC: 32 (56)
USC Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
STAN Travel: 321 miles

Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 9/1	Stanford at Hawai'i	-2.0	54.0	W 37 - 24
Sat 9/9	Stanford at USC	+28.5	70.5	L 10 - 56
Sat 9/16	Stanford vs Sacramento State	-7.0	60.5	L 23 - 30
Sat 9/23	Stanford vs Arizona	+13.0	60.0	L 20 - 21
Sat 9/30	Stanford vs Oregon	+27.0	59.5	L 6 - 42
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Stanford at Colorado	+13.0	59.0	W 46 - 43
Sat 10/21	Stanford vs UCLA	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 42
Sat 10/28	Stanford vs Washington	+27.5	62.0	L 33 - 42
Sat 11/4	Stanford at Washington State	+13.0	59.5	W 10 - 7
Sat 11/11	Stanford at Oregon State	+21.5	51.5	L 17 - 62
Sat 11/18	Stanford vs California	+6.5	52.5	L 15 - 27
Sat 11/25	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+26.0	50.5	L 23 - 56

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

USC's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/26	USC vs San José State	-31.5	66.0	W 56 - 28
Sat 9/2	USC vs Nevada	-37.5	63.5	W 66 - 14
Sat 9/9	USC vs Stanford	-28.5	70.5	W 56 - 10
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	USC at Arizona State	-34.5	62.0	W 42 - 28
Sat 9/30	USC at Colorado	-22.0	74.5	W 48 - 41
Sat 10/7	USC vs Arizona	-21.0	69.5	W 43 - 41
Sat 10/14	USC at Notre Dame	+3.0	61.0	L 20 - 48
Sat 10/21	USC vs Utah	-7.5	51.5	L 32 - 34
Sat 10/28	USC at California	-10.5	67.5	W 50 - 49
Sat 11/4	USC vs Washington	+3.0	76.0	L 42 - 52
Sat 11/11	USC at Oregon	+12.5	78.5	L 27 - 36
Sat 11/18	USC vs UCLA	-6.0	65.5	L 20 - 38
Wed 12/27	USC vs Louisville	+4.5	58.0	W 42 - 28

STAN's OC Troy Taylor vs USC's DC Alex Grinch USC's OC Josh Henson vs STAN's DC Bobby April

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	.14	42%	22.8	45%	2.84	107	40%	254	4.16	.29	48%	33.7	54%	41%	4.05	41.3	1.8	1
USC	.4	51%	30.2	53%	3.52	171	50%	335	4.68	.29	48%	24.1	53%	46%	4.54	58	0.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	12	22.8	21.2	42%	4.16	1.8	21	362	107	254	3.4	41%	59%	45%	40%	18%	.14
USC Defense	14	24.1	23.8	48.4%	4.54	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	53%	46%	17%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	12	33.7	38.3	47.6%	4.05	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	54%	41%	15%	.29
USC Offense	14	30.2	36.8	51.3%	4.68	0.5	26	506	171	335	5.1	44%	56%	53%	50%	11%	.4

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	12	29:53	20.8	38%	52%	4.6	41.3	1.8	1	5.4	1.8	0	24.8
USC	14	31:54	25.7	54%	68%	6.3	58	0.5	2.1	5.5	2.9	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	12	41%	45%	31.3	107.3	3.4	14	.02	2.84	85%	11%	0.84
USC Defense	14	44%	53%	-	-	-	-	.36	3.45	78%	10%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	12	51%	54%	-	-	-	-	.39	3.68	83%	10%	1.11
USC Offense	14	44%	53%	33.8	171.1	5.1	30	.3	3.52	83%	7%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	12	59%	40%	22.9	37.3	254.3	6.8	11.1	15	8	.25	1.5	31%	29%	.28	6%	2
USC Defense	14	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.27	1.5	29%	36%	.42	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	29%	31%	.36	5%	2.1
USC Offense	14	56%	50%	24.6	36.7	335.3	9.1	13.7	43	5	.48	1.6	28%	36%	.49	4%	2.2

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -13.77 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Stanford's SP+ Ratings
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -13.77 USC: 11.81

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -12.3 USC: 7.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.81 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
USC 32
Stanford 24

Projected Total Points: 56

USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	USC	56	Stanford	10	USC	USC -28.5	USC	70.5	Under
2022	09/10	Stanford	28	USC	41	USC	USC -9.5	USC	66.5	Over
2021	09/11	USC	28	Stanford	42	Stanford	USC -17	Stanford	53.0	Over
2019	09/07	USC	45	Stanford	20	USC	USC -3	USC	43.0	Over
2018	09/08	Stanford	17	USC	3	Stanford	Stanford -4.5	Stanford	54.5	Under
2017	12/01	USC	31	Stanford	28	USC	USC -3.5	Stanford	58.5	Over
2017	09/09	USC	42	Stanford	24	USC	USC -4	USC	54.5	Over
2016	09/17	Stanford	27	USC	10	Stanford	Stanford -6.5	Stanford	48.5	Under
2015	09/19	USC	31	Stanford	41	Stanford	USC -8	Stanford	51.0	Over
2015	12/05	Stanford	41	USC	22	Stanford	Stanford -4	Stanford	59.0	Over
2014	09/06	Stanford	10	USC	13	USC	Stanford -4	USC	0
2013	11/16	USC	20	Stanford	17	USC	Stanford -3	USC	0
2012	09/15	Stanford	21	USC	14	Stanford
2011	10/29	USC	48	Stanford	56	Stanford
2010	10/09	Stanford	37	USC	35	Stanford
2009	11/14	USC	21	Stanford	55	Stanford
2008	11/15	Stanford	23	USC	45	USC
2007	10/06	USC	23	Stanford	24	Stanford
2006	11/04	Stanford	0	USC	42	USC
2005	11/05	USC	51	Stanford	21	USC
2004	09/25	Stanford	28	USC	31	USC
2003	10/11	USC	44	Stanford	21	USC
2002	11/09	Stanford	17	USC	49	USC
2001	09/29	USC	16	Stanford	21	Stanford
2000	10/20	Stanford	32	USC	30	Stanford

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	13	6	7 Overs
Stanford	12	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	7 - 5	6 - 4	1 - 1
Road Teams	12 - 13	5 - 7	1 - 1	4 - 6

(#129) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.77 #129
Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #36
Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60

Stanford Ratings Matchup USC

Power #129

#23

Off #107

Def #133

#119

Talent #17

#33

SP+ #109

#38

SP+ Off #94

SP+ Def #117

#109

Rematch from Week 2
USC -28.5 (70.5)
USC won vs Stanford this year (56-10)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Stanford in 2023 (56-10)
USC beat Stanford in 2022 (41-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: STAN | USC
Depth Chart: STAN | USC
Rosters: STAN | USC

(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.81 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

USC's OC Josh Henson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Stanford's DC Bobby April

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USC's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD