Oregon State at Arizona Game Matchup
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -3 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arizona 27 - Oregon State: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST coming off BYE
ARIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona -1    (SP+ -2.5)
PPG only: ORST: 28 - ARIZ: 26 (54)
ORST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ORST Travel: 1080 miles
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/3 Oregon State at San José State-14.056.5W 42 - 17
Sat 9/9 Oregon State vs UC Davis-24.057.0W 55 - 7
Sat 9/16 Oregon State vs San Diego State-24.548.5W 26 - 9
Sat 9/23 Oregon State at Washington State-3.058.5L 35 - 38
Fri 9/29 Oregon State vs Utah-4.043.0W 21 - 7
Sat 10/7 Oregon State at California-7.551.0W 52 - 40
Sat 10/14 Oregon State vs UCLA-3.553.5W 36 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Oregon State at Arizona-3.057.5L 24 - 27
Sat 11/4 Oregon State at Colorado-13.060.5W 26 - 19
Sat 11/11 Oregon State vs Stanford-21.551.5W 62 - 17
Sat 11/18 Oregon State vs Washington-1.562.5L 20 - 22
Fri 11/24 Oregon State at Oregon+14.061.5L 7 - 31
Fri 12/29 Oregon State vs Notre Dame+5.540.5L 8 - 40
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren vs ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen     ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll vs ORST's DC Trent Bray

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST.2548%24.351%3.4219646%2004.47.139%29.944%36%3.0954.71.41.6
ARIZ.2948%21.853%3.3314445%3183.89.3653%31.857%51%4.48501.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1324.316.648.5%4.471.4223961962004.959%40%51%46%13%.25
ARIZ Defense1231.827.753.4%4.482.3 - - - - - 50%50%57%51%13%.36
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1329.929.638.8%3.091.6 - - - - - 42%57%44%36%18%.1
ARIZ Offense1221.824.647.7%3.891.8244621443184.941%57%53%45%16%.29

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1331:5722.244%70%654.71.41.64.91.6433.7
Arizona1228:0324.142%43%5.4501.82.34.61.3027.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1359%51%40.2196.54.936.233.4278%7%0.94
ARIZ Defense1250%57% - - - - .343.6379%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1342%44% - - - - .19378%10%1.02
ARIZ Offense1241%53%29.31444.919.223.3367%9%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1340%46%15.524.8199.5812.91613.361.627%33%.365%1.9
ARIZ Defense1250%51% - - - - - - 4.41.425%39%.565%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1357%36% - - - - - - 12.061.435%28%.278%2
ARIZ Offense1257%45%23.638.3318.48.313.52613.391.829%36%.497%2.3

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Oregon State's SP+ Ratings
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 644
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 11.36   Arizona: 12.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.7   Arizona: 12.1




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 12.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Arizona's SP+ Ratings
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 28
Arizona 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Arizona27Oregon State24ArizonaOregon State -3Arizona57.5Under
201911/02Arizona38Oregon State56Oregon StateArizona -4.5Oregon State72.0Over
201809/22Oregon State14Arizona35ArizonaArizona -4Arizona72.5Under
201711/11Arizona49Oregon State28ArizonaArizona -21Push69.5Over
201611/19Oregon State42Arizona17Oregon StateOregon State -5Oregon State61.5Under
201510/10Arizona44Oregon State7ArizonaArizona -12.5Arizona66.5Under
201209/29Arizona35Oregon State38Oregon State
201110/08Oregon State37Arizona27Oregon State
201010/09Arizona27Oregon State29Oregon State
200909/26Oregon State32Arizona37Arizona
200811/22Arizona17Oregon State19Oregon State
200710/06Oregon State31Arizona16Oregon State
200610/21Arizona10Oregon State17Oregon State
200510/29Oregon State27Arizona29Arizona
200410/30Arizona14Oregon State28Oregon State
200311/01Oregon State52Arizona23Oregon State
200211/02Oregon State38Arizona3Oregon State
200110/13Oregon State38Arizona3Oregon State
200011/10Arizona9Oregon State33Oregon State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona632 Overs
Oregon State1324 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams10 - 92 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#17) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32
Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30

Oregon State     Ratings Matchup     Arizona
Power #17
#20
Off #10
#6
Def #39
#53
Talent #79
#27
SP+ #17
#20
SP+ Off #22
#15
SP+ Def #32
#41

Rematch from Week 9
Oregon State 3.0 (57.5)
Arizona won vs Oregon State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Oregon State in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | ARIZ
Depth Chart: ORST | ARIZ
Rosters: ORST | ARIZ
(#20) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.35 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90





  
Oregon State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD