USC at California Game Matchup

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
USC -10.5 (67.5) (-410) Open: -10.5 | 67.0
USC 50 - California: 49 (Pac-12)

Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CAL coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ -7)
PPG only: USC: 26 - CAL: 25 (51)
USC Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
USC Travel: 347 miles

Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

USC's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 8/26	USC vs San José State	-31.5	66.0	W 56 - 28
Sat 9/2	USC vs Nevada	-37.5	63.5	W 66 - 14
Sat 9/9	USC vs Stanford	-28.5	70.5	W 56 - 10
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	USC at Arizona State	-34.5	62.0	W 42 - 28
Sat 9/30	USC at Colorado	-22.0	74.5	W 48 - 41
Sat 10/7	USC vs Arizona	-21.0	69.5	W 43 - 41
Sat 10/14	USC at Notre Dame	+3.0	61.0	L 20 - 48
Sat 10/21	USC vs Utah	-7.5	51.5	L 32 - 34
Sat 10/28	USC at California	-10.5	67.5	W 50 - 49
Sat 11/4	USC vs Washington	+3.0	76.0	L 42 - 52
Sat 11/11	USC at Oregon	+12.5	78.5	L 27 - 36
Sat 11/18	USC vs UCLA	-6.0	65.5	L 20 - 38
Wed 12/27	USC vs Louisville	+4.5	58.0	W 42 - 28

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

California's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	California at North Texas	-5.0	53.5	W 58 - 21
Sat 9/9	California vs Auburn	+5.0	55.5	L 10 - 14
Sat 9/16	California vs Idaho	-14.5	52.5	W 31 - 17
Sat 9/23	California at Washington	+21.0	55.5	L 32 - 59
Sat 9/30	California vs Arizona State	-13.0	47.5	W 24 - 21
Sat 10/7	California vs Oregon State	+7.5	51.0	L 40 - 52
Sat 10/14	California at Utah	+9.0	42.5	L 14 - 34
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	California vs USC	+10.5	67.5	L 49 - 50
Sat 11/4	California at Oregon	+26.5	61.5	L 19 - 63
Sat 11/11	California vs Washington State	-1.5	58.5	W 42 - 39
Sat 11/18	California at Stanford	-6.5	52.5	W 27 - 15
Sat 11/25	California at UCLA	+9.5	50.5	W 33 - 7
Sat 12/16	California vs Texas Tech	+3.5	54.5	L 14 - 34

USC's OC Josh Henson vs CAL's DC Peter Sirmon CAL's OC Jake Spavital vs USC's DC Alex Grinch

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC	.4	51%	30.2	53%	3.52	171	50%	335	4.68	.29	48%	24.1	53%	46%	4.54	58	0.5	2.1
CAL	.19	39%	25.1	40%	2.93	97	38%	268	3.81	.2	50%	22.3	51%	49%	3.95	44.6	1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Offense	14	30.2	21.8	51.3%	4.68	0.5	26	506	171	335	5.1	44%	56%	53%	50%	11%	.4
CAL Defense	12	22.3	21	49.7%	3.95	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	51%	49%	13%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Defense	14	24.1	23.8	48.4%	4.54	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	53%	46%	17%	.29
CAL Offense	12	25.1	30.9	38.6%	3.81	1	19	365	97	268	3.6	37%	62%	40%	38%	16%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
USC	14	31:54	25.7	54%	68%	6.3	58	0.5	2.1	5.5	2.9	3	28.2
California	12	28:43	19.3	35%	55%	5.3	44.6	1	2	4.4	1.3	1	25.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Offense	14	44%	53%	33.8	171.1	5.1	30	.3	3.52	83%	7%	0.97
CAL Defense	12	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.42	77%	8%	0.77

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Defense	14	44%	53%	-	-	-	-	.36	3.45	78%	10%	1.14
CAL Offense	12	37%	40%	26.5	96.5	3.6	10	.12	2.93	63%	11%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Offense	14	56%	50%	24.6	36.7	335.3	9.1	13.7	43	5	.48	1.6	28%	36%	.49	4%	2.2
CAL Defense	12	53%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.32	1.4	28%	28%	.25	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Defense	14	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.27	1.5	29%	36%	.42	7%	2
CAL Offense	12	62%	38%	24.3	38.8	268.1	6.9	11.1	23	9	.27	1.6	36%	29%	.37	6%	2.2

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: #NR
USC's Offense Rating: #NR
USC's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
USC's 2023 Expected Record: -
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: California: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 7.9 California: 1.1

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2 #NR
California's Offense Rating: #NR
California's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
California's 2023 Expected Record: -

California's SP+ Ratings
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
USC 26
California 25

Projected Total Points: 51

California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	California	49	USC	50	USC	USC -10.5	California	67.5	Over
2022	11/05	USC	41	California	35	USC	USC -21.5	California	60.5	Over
2021	12/04	California	24	USC	14	California	California -4.5	California	57.5	Under
2019	11/16	California	17	USC	41	USC	USC -4.5	USC	47.5	Over
2018	11/10	USC	14	California	15	California	USC -5.5	California	45.5	Under
2017	09/23	California	20	USC	30	USC	USC -17	California	63.0	Under
2016	10/27	USC	45	California	24	USC	USC -14.5	USC	73.0	Under
2015	10/31	California	21	USC	27	USC	USC -4	USC	69.0	Under
2014	11/13	USC	38	California	30	USC	USC -12	California	0
2013	11/09	California	28	USC	62	USC	USC -17	USC	0
2012	09/22	USC	27	California	9	USC
2011	10/13	California	9	USC	30	USC
2010	10/16	USC	48	California	14	USC
2009	10/03	California	3	USC	30	USC
2008	11/08	USC	17	California	3	USC
2007	11/10	California	17	USC	24	USC
2006	11/18	USC	23	California	9	USC
2005	11/12	California	10	USC	35	USC
2004	10/09	USC	23	California	17	USC
2003	09/27	California	34	USC	31	California
2002	10/12	USC	30	California	28	USC
2001	11/10	California	14	USC	55	USC
2000	10/27	USC	16	California	28	California

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	4	6	3 Overs
USC	19	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	4 - 6	2 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	12 - 11	6 - 4	3 - 2	3 - 2

(#NR) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

USC Ratings Matchup California

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #33

#61

SP+ #38

#61

SP+ Off #3

#32

SP+ Def #109

#85

Rematch from Week 9
USC 10.5 (67.5)
USC won at California this year (50-49)

Previous Matchups
USC beat California in 2023 (50-49)
USC beat California in 2022 (41-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: USC | CAL
Depth Chart: USC | CAL
Rosters: USC | CAL

(#NR) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

USC's OC Josh Henson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

California's OC Jake Spavital

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

USC's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

California's DC Peter Sirmon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD