Oregon State at Colorado Game Matchup

Oregon State Beavers at Colorado Buffaloes

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -13.0 (60.5) (-550) Open: -23.5 | 59.0
Oregon State 26 - Colorado: 19 (Pac-12)

Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Oregon State -11 (SP+ -20)
PPG only: ORST: 24 - COLO: 31 (55)
ORST Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 971 miles, 1 hrs behind

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sun 9/3	Oregon State at San José State	-14.0	56.5	W 42 - 17
Sat 9/9	Oregon State vs UC Davis	-24.0	57.0	W 55 - 7
Sat 9/16	Oregon State vs San Diego State	-24.5	48.5	W 26 - 9
Sat 9/23	Oregon State at Washington State	-3.0	58.5	L 35 - 38
Fri 9/29	Oregon State vs Utah	-4.0	43.0	W 21 - 7
Sat 10/7	Oregon State at California	-7.5	51.0	W 52 - 40
Sat 10/14	Oregon State vs UCLA	-3.5	53.5	W 36 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Oregon State at Arizona	-3.0	57.5	L 24 - 27
Sat 11/4	Oregon State at Colorado	-13.0	60.5	W 26 - 19
Sat 11/11	Oregon State vs Stanford	-21.5	51.5	W 62 - 17
Sat 11/18	Oregon State vs Washington	-1.5	62.5	L 20 - 22
Fri 11/24	Oregon State at Oregon	+14.0	61.5	L 7 - 31
Fri 12/29	Oregon State vs Notre Dame	+5.5	40.5	L 8 - 40

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren vs COLO's DC Charles Kelly COLO's OC Sean Lewis vs ORST's DC Trent Bray

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.25	48%	24.3	51%	3.42	196	46%	200	4.47	.1	39%	29.9	44%	36%	3.09	54.7	1.4	1.6
COLO	.01	36%	32.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	23.1	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	13	24.3	16.6	48.5%	4.47	1.4	22	396	196	200	4.9	59%	40%	51%	46%	13%	.25
COLO Defense	12	23.1	22.5	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	13	29.9	29.6	38.8%	3.09	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	44%	36%	18%	.1
COLO Offense	12	32.9	38.7	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	13	31:57	22.2	44%	70%	6	54.7	1.4	1.6	4.9	1.6	4	33.7
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	13	59%	51%	40.2	196.5	4.9	36	.23	3.42	78%	7%	0.94
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	13	42%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3	78%	10%	1.02
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	13	40%	46%	15.5	24.8	199.5	8	12.9	16	13	.36	1.6	27%	33%	.36	5%	1.9
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	13	57%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.06	1.4	35%	28%	.27	8%	2
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Oregon State's SP+ Ratings
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 644
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 11.36 Colorado: 0.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.7 Colorado: -5.4

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 0.4 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Colorado's SP+ Ratings
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 31
Oregon State 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Colorado	19	Oregon State	26	Oregon State	Oregon State -13.0	Colorado	60.5	Under
2022	10/22	Oregon State	42	Colorado	9	Oregon State	Oregon State -23	Oregon State	47.5	Over
2021	11/06	Colorado	37	Oregon State	34	Colorado	Oregon State -11.5	Colorado	55.5	Over
2018	10/27	Colorado	34	Oregon State	41	Oregon State	Colorado -26.5	Oregon State	59.5	Over
2017	10/14	Oregon State	33	Colorado	36	Colorado	Colorado -9.5	Oregon State	56.0	Over
2016	10/01	Colorado	47	Oregon State	6	Colorado	Colorado -16	Colorado	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Oregon State	13	Colorado	17	Colorado	Oregon State -3.5	Colorado	59.0	Under
2014	10/04	Colorado	31	Oregon State	36	Oregon State	Oregon State -7.5	Colorado	0
2013	09/28	Oregon State	44	Colorado	17	Oregon State	Oregon State -11	Oregon State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	4	5	4 Overs
Oregon State	5	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 5	7 - 2	3 - 2	4 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 4	2 - 7	0 - 4	2 - 3

(#17) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32
Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30

Oregon State Ratings Matchup Colorado

Power #17

#73

Off #10

#50

Def #39

#121

Talent #79

#40

SP+ #17

#83

SP+ Off #22

#45

SP+ Def #32

#116

Rematch from Week 10
Oregon State 13.0 (60.5)
Oregon State won at Colorado this year (26-19)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Colorado in 2023 (26-19)
Oregon State beat Colorado in 2022 (42-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | COLO
Depth Chart: ORST | COLO
Rosters: ORST | COLO

(#73) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.4 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Oregon State's OC Brian Lindgren

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Colorado's OC Sean Lewis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Oregon State's DC Trent Bray

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Colorado's DC Charles Kelly

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD