USC Trojans at Oregon Ducks
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (10:30 PM EST)
Oregon -12.5 (78.5) (-1050) Open: -2.0
Oregon 36 - USC: 27 (Pac-12)
Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Oregon -18.5 (SP+ -17)
PPG only: USC: 25 - ORE: 30 (55)
ORE Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
USC Travel: 740 miles
Our Line: Oregon -18.5 (SP+ -17)
PPG only: USC: 25 - ORE: 30 (55)
ORE Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
USC Travel: 740 miles
Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| USC's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 8/26 | USC vs San José State | -31.5 | 66.0 | W 56 - 28 | |
| Sat 9/2 | USC vs Nevada | -37.5 | 63.5 | W 66 - 14 | |
| Sat 9/9 | USC vs Stanford | -28.5 | 70.5 | W 56 - 10 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 9/23 | USC at Arizona State | -34.5 | 62.0 | W 42 - 28 | |
| Sat 9/30 | USC at Colorado | -22.0 | 74.5 | W 48 - 41 | |
| Sat 10/7 | USC vs Arizona | -21.0 | 69.5 | W 43 - 41 | |
| Sat 10/14 | USC at Notre Dame | +3.0 | 61.0 | L 20 - 48 | |
| Sat 10/21 | USC vs Utah | -7.5 | 51.5 | L 32 - 34 | |
| Sat 10/28 | USC at California | -10.5 | 67.5 | W 50 - 49 | |
| Sat 11/4 | USC vs Washington | +3.0 | 76.0 | L 42 - 52 | |
| Sat 11/11 | USC at Oregon | +12.5 | 78.5 | L 27 - 36 | |
| Sat 11/18 | USC vs UCLA | -6.0 | 65.5 | L 20 - 38 | |
| Wed 12/27 | USC vs Louisville | +4.5 | 58.0 | W 42 - 28 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Oregon's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Oregon vs Portland State | -48.0 | 64.5 | W 81 - 7 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Oregon at Texas Tech | -4.5 | 70.0 | W 38 - 30 | |
| Sat 9/16 | Oregon vs Hawai'i | -38.5 | 67.5 | W 55 - 10 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Oregon vs Colorado | -21.0 | 70.0 | W 42 - 6 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Oregon at Stanford | -27.0 | 59.5 | W 42 - 6 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/14 | Oregon at Washington | +3.0 | 67.0 | L 33 - 36 | |
| Sat 10/21 | Oregon vs Washington State | -19.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 24 | |
| Sat 10/28 | Oregon at Utah | -6.5 | 47.5 | W 35 - 6 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Oregon vs California | -26.5 | 61.5 | W 63 - 19 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Oregon vs USC | -12.5 | 78.5 | W 36 - 27 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Oregon at Arizona State | -21.5 | 52.5 | W 49 - 13 | |
| Fri 11/24 | Oregon vs Oregon State | -14.0 | 61.5 | W 31 - 7 | |
| Fri 12/1 | Oregon vs Washington | -9.0 | 67.0 | L 31 - 34 | |
| Mon 1/1 | Oregon vs Liberty | -18.5 | 71.5 | W 45 - 6 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
USC's OC Josh Henson vs ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi ORE's OC Will Stein vs USC's DC Alex Grinch
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | .4 | 51% | 30.2 | 53% | 3.52 | 171 | 50% | 335 | 4.68 | .29 | 48% | 24.1 | 53% | 46% | 4.54 | 58 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| ORE | .38 | 56% | 34.9 | 58% | 3.59 | 216 | 54% | 285 | 4.4 | .22 | 45% | 19.4 | 45% | 46% | 4.15 | 57.2 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| ORE | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Offense | 14 | 30.2 | 21.8 | 51.3% | 4.68 | 0.5 | 26 | 506 | 171 | 335 | 5.1 | 44% | 56% | 53% | 50% | 11% | .4 |
| ORE Defense | 13 | 19.4 | 19.6 | 45.3% | 4.15 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 56% | 45% | 46% | 15% | .22 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Defense | 14 | 24.1 | 23.8 | 48.4% | 4.54 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 53% | 46% | 17% | .29 |
| ORE Offense | 13 | 34.9 | 35.7 | 55.9% | 4.4 | 0.9 | 26 | 501 | 216 | 285 | 5.5 | 53% | 47% | 58% | 54% | 11% | .38 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 14 | 31:54 | 25.7 | 54% | 68% | 6.3 | 58 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 3 | 28.2 |
| Oregon | 13 | 31:21 | 26.2 | 46% | 63% | 6.8 | 57.2 | 0.9 | 2 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 29.5 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Offense | 14 | 44% | 53% | 33.8 | 171.1 | 5.1 | 30 | .3 | 3.52 | 83% | 7% | 0.97 |
| ORE Defense | 13 | 43% | 45% | - | - | - | - | .18 | 3.02 | 68% | 8% | 1 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Defense | 14 | 44% | 53% | - | - | - | - | .36 | 3.45 | 78% | 10% | 1.14 |
| ORE Offense | 13 | 53% | 58% | 39.1 | 215.7 | 5.5 | 34 | .37 | 3.59 | 83% | 6% | 0.95 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Offense | 14 | 56% | 50% | 24.6 | 36.7 | 335.3 | 9.1 | 13.7 | 43 | 5 | .48 | 1.6 | 28% | 36% | .49 | 4% | 2.2 |
| ORE Defense | 13 | 56% | 46% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | .28 | 1.4 | 30% | 37% | .48 | 7% | 2.1 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Defense | 14 | 55% | 46% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 19 | .27 | 1.5 | 29% | 36% | .42 | 7% | 2 |
| ORE Offense | 13 | 47% | 54% | 23.7 | 33.2 | 284.8 | 8.6 | 12 | 30 | 9 | .4 | 1.4 | 25% | 38% | .48 | 4% | 1.9 |
USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.81 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
USC's Power Rating: 9.81 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
USC's SP+ Ratings
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.81 Oregon: 28.3
SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 7.9 Oregon: 25.0
USC: 9.81 Oregon: 28.3
SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 7.9 Oregon: 25.0
Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.3 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's SP+ Ratings
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.3 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's SP+ Ratings
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8
USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8
USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 30
USC 25
Projected Total Points: 55
Oregon 30
USC 25
Projected Total Points: 55
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6
Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6
Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/11 | Oregon | 36 | USC | 27 | Oregon | Oregon -12.5 | USC | 78.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/18 | USC | 24 | Oregon | 31 | Oregon | USC -3 | Oregon | 65.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/02 | USC | 24 | Oregon | 56 | Oregon | Oregon -3.5 | Oregon | 59.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/05 | USC | 45 | Oregon | 20 | USC | USC -14 | USC | 76.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Oregon | 48 | USC | 28 | Oregon | Oregon -2.5 | Oregon | 72.0 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/03 | USC | 51 | Oregon | 62 | Oregon | ||||
| 2011 | 11/19 | Oregon | 35 | USC | 38 | USC | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | USC | 32 | Oregon | 53 | Oregon | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Oregon | 47 | USC | 20 | Oregon | ||||
| 2008 | 10/04 | USC | 44 | Oregon | 10 | USC | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | Oregon | 24 | USC | 17 | Oregon | ||||
| 2006 | 11/11 | USC | 35 | Oregon | 10 | USC | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | Oregon | 13 | USC | 45 | USC | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Oregon | 33 | USC | 44 | USC | ||||
| 2001 | 09/22 | Oregon | 24 | USC | 22 | Oregon | ||||
| 2000 | 10/13 | USC | 17 | Oregon | 28 | Oregon |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 10 | 3 | 2 Overs |
| USC | 6 | 2 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 8 | 2 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 8 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 0 | 2 - 2 |
(#23) USC Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.81 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.81 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Power #23
#2Off #7
#2Def #119
#18Talent #33
#9SP+ #38
#5SP+ Off #3
#1SP+ Def #109
#19(#2) Oregon Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.3 #2
Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 28.3 #2
Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|