App State at North Carolina Game Matchup

App State Mountaineers at North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (5:15 PM EDT)
North Carolina -18 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
North Carolina 40 - App State: 34

Mountaineers (9 - 5) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (28 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ -7)
PPG only: APP: 27 - UNC: 32 (59)
UNC Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 149 miles

Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	App State vs Gardner-Webb	-22.5	51.0	W 45 - 24
Sat 9/9	App State at North Carolina	+18.0	58.0	L 34 - 40
Sat 9/16	App State vs East Carolina	-7.5	48.5	W 43 - 28
Sat 9/23	App State at Wyoming	+3.0	45.0	L 19 - 22
Sat 9/30	App State at UL Monroe	-13.5	50.5	W 41 - 40
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/10	App State vs Coastal Carolina	-4.5	59.0	L 24 - 27
Sat 10/21	App State at Old Dominion	-6.0	56.0	L 21 - 28
Sat 10/28	App State vs Southern Miss	-16.0	55.5	W 48 - 38
Sat 11/4	App State vs Marshall	-3.0	57.5	W 31 - 9
Sat 11/11	App State at Georgia State	+2.5	62.5	W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18	App State at James Madison	+10.0	56.5	W 26 - 23
Sat 11/25	App State vs Georgia Southern	-7.5	62.5	W 55 - 27
Sat 12/2	App State at Troy	+6.5	51.5	L 23 - 49
Sat 12/16	App State vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	41.0	W 13 - 9

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Sat 9/2	North Carolina vs South Carolina	+2.5	63.5	W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9	North Carolina vs App State	-18.0	58.0	W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16	North Carolina vs Minnesota	-7.0	51.0	W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23	North Carolina at Pittsburgh	-7.0	49.5	W 41 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	North Carolina vs Syracuse	-9.5	59.0	W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14	North Carolina vs Miami	-2.5	57.5	W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21	North Carolina vs Virginia	-24.0	58.0	L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28	North Carolina at Georgia Tech	-12.0	65.5	L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4	North Carolina vs Campbell	-45.5	68.5	W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11	North Carolina vs Duke	-9.5	52.5	W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18	North Carolina at Clemson	+7.5	58.0	L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25	North Carolina at NC State	-2.0	55.0	L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27	North Carolina vs West Virginia	+4.5	62.0	L 10 - 30

APP's OC Frank Ponce vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs APP's DC Scott Sloan

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	.25	45%	26.6	48%	3.37	205	42%	250	4.17	.22	41%	32.9	40%	43%	4.1	50.3	0.9	2.1
UNC	.3	46%	30.9	45%	3.18	153	47%	309	4.47	.29	48%	28.1	49%	48%	4.51	55.3	1	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	12	26.6	24.3	45.2%	4.17	0.9	23	455	205	250	5.2	54%	46%	48%	42%	11%	.25
UNC Defense	14	28.1	33.4	48.3%	4.51	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	48%	12%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	12	32.9	39.7	41.4%	4.1	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	40%	43%	17%	.22
UNC Offense	14	30.9	36	46.2%	4.47	1	25	463	153	309	4.2	45%	55%	45%	47%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	12	30:35	23	39%	49%	5.5	50.3	0.9	2.1	5.7	2.4	1	32.1
North Carolina	14	29:55	24.6	46%	71%	6.1	55.3	1	1.1	3.4	1.2	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	12	54%	48%	39.5	204.9	5.2	27	.24	3.37	69%	7%	0.99
UNC Defense	14	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.25	79%	6%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.95	71%	11%	1.07
UNC Offense	14	45%	45%	36.4	153.4	4.2	24	.18	3.18	72%	10%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	12	46%	42%	18.8	29.8	250.4	8.4	13.3	28	6	.31	1.7	29%	30%	.34	4%	2.2
UNC Defense	14	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.41	1.6	28%	31%	.4	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.6	33%	31%	.43	6%	2.3
UNC Offense	14	55%	47%	24.6	37.5	309.3	8.3	12.6	38	7	.41	1.6	32%	40%	.5	4%	1.9

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: #NR
App State's Offense Rating: #NR
App State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
App State's 2023 Expected Record: -
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

App State's SP+ Ratings
App State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 3.0 North Carolina: 10.2

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Carolina 32
App State 27

Projected Total Points: 59

North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	North Carolina	40	App State	34	North Carolina	North Carolina -18	App State	58.0	Over
2022	09/03	App State	61	North Carolina	63	North Carolina	Appalachian State -3	North Carolina	56.0	Over
2019	09/21	North Carolina	31	App State	34	App State	North Carolina -1.5	App State	58.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Carolina	2	1	3 Overs
App State	1	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	3 - 0	0 - 0	3 - 0

(#NR) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 592.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

App State Ratings Matchup North Carolina

Power #NR

#NR

Off #NR

#NR

Def #NR

#NR

Talent #75

#16

SP+ #55

#27

SP+ Off #24

#13

SP+ Def #102

#71

Rematch from Week 2
North Carolina -18.0 (58.0)
North Carolina won vs App State this year (40-34)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat App State in 2023 (40-34)
North Carolina beat App State in 2022 (63-61)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 74°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | UNC
Depth Chart: APP | UNC
Rosters: APP | UNC

(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD