Louisville at NC State Game Matchup

Louisville Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack

Friday, September 29th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -3.5 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisville 13 - NC State: 10 (ACC)

Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Louisville -2.5 (SP+ -1.5)
PPG only: LOU: 33 - NCST: 26 (59)
LOU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 422 miles

Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Off Players
Def Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Fri 9/1	Louisville vs Georgia Tech	-7.0	49.5	W 39 - 34
Thu 9/7	Louisville vs Murray State	-43.5	55.5	W 56 - 0
Sat 9/16	Louisville vs Indiana	-10.0	51.0	W 21 - 14
Sat 9/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-14.0	53.0	W 56 - 28
Fri 9/29	Louisville at NC State	-3.5	56.5	W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7	Louisville vs Notre Dame	+6.5	53.0	W 33 - 20
Sat 10/14	Louisville at Pittsburgh	-7.5	44.5	L 21 - 38
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Louisville vs Duke	-5.0	47.0	W 23 - 0
Sat 11/4	Louisville vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 3
Thu 11/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-20.5	49.5	W 31 - 24
Sat 11/18	Louisville at Miami	+1.5	46.5	W 38 - 31
Sat 11/25	Louisville vs Kentucky	-7.5	47.5	L 31 - 38
Sat 12/2	Louisville vs Florida State	+3.5	51.0	L 6 - 16
Wed 12/27	Louisville vs USC	-4.5	58.0	L 28 - 42

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NC State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
Thu 8/31	NC State at UConn	-14.5	47.5	W 24 - 14
Sat 9/9	NC State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 45
Sat 9/16	NC State vs VMI	-42.5	51.0	W 45 - 7
Fri 9/22	NC State at Virginia	-8.5	47.5	W 24 - 21
Fri 9/29	NC State vs Louisville	+3.5	56.5	L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7	NC State vs Marshall	-6.5	44.0	W 48 - 41
Sat 10/14	NC State at Duke	+3.5	44.0	L 3 - 24
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	NC State vs Clemson	+9.5	44.5	W 24 - 17
Sat 11/4	NC State vs Miami	+6.5	44.0	W 20 - 6
Sat 11/11	NC State at Wake Forest	+0.5	42.5	W 26 - 6
Sat 11/18	NC State at Virginia Tech	+2.5	40.5	W 35 - 28
Sat 11/25	NC State vs North Carolina	+2.0	55.0	W 39 - 20
Thu 12/28	NC State vs Kansas State	+3.0	48.5	L 19 - 28

LOU's OC Brian Brohm vs NCST's DC Tony Gibson NCST's OC Robert Anae vs LOU's DC Ron English

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.19	41%	36.5	43%	3.18	201	41%	206	3.74	.07	40%	24.1	43%	38%	2.85	66	1.8	2.6
NCST	.13	39%	28.5	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	30.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	36.5	31.3	41.3%	3.74	1.8	20	407	201	206	5	55%	44%	43%	41%	15%	.19
NCST Defense	13	30.2	24.7	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	24.1	25.2	40.3%	2.85	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	38%	20%	.07
NCST Offense	13	28.5	31	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	29:54	20.3	38%	40%	6.9	66	1.8	2.6	7.2	3.7	3	30
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	55%	43%	39.9	201	5	25	.21	3.18	69%	10%	1.13
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.97	60%	14%	0.92
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	44%	41%	16.8	28.3	205.5	7.3	12.3	13	12	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.37	5%	2.1
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	26%	.14	6%	2.1
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Louisville's SP+ Ratings
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.32 NC State: 7.66

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.8 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.66 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 33
NC State 26

Projected Total Points: 59

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/29	NC State	10	Louisville	13	Louisville	Louisville -3.5	NC State	56.5	Under
2022	11/19	Louisville	25	NC State	10	Louisville	Louisville -4	Louisville	43.0	Under
2021	10/30	NC State	28	Louisville	13	NC State	NC State -6	NC State	57.0	Under
2019	11/16	NC State	20	Louisville	34	Louisville	Louisville -4.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2018	11/17	Louisville	10	NC State	52	NC State	NC State -16	NC State	65.0	Under
2017	10/05	NC State	39	Louisville	25	NC State	Louisville -3.5	NC State	67.0	Under
2016	10/22	Louisville	54	NC State	13	Louisville	Louisville -20	Louisville	65.0	Over
2015	10/03	NC State	13	Louisville	20	Louisville	NC State -5	Louisville	47.5	Under
2014	10/18	Louisville	30	NC State	18	Louisville	Louisville -14.5	NC State	0
2011	12/27	NC State	31	Louisville	24	NC State
2007	09/29	NC State	10	Louisville	29	Louisville

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	4	5	2 Overs
Louisville	7	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 6	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3

(#21) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50

Louisville Ratings Matchup NC State

Power #21

#34

Off #44

#83

Def #16

#17

Talent #46

#58

SP+ #24

#30

SP+ Off #40

#69

SP+ Def #26

#16

Rematch from Week 5
Louisville 3.5 (56.5)
Louisville won at NC State this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat NC State in 2023 (13-10)
Louisville beat NC State in 2022 (25-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66°

Team Information
Injuries: LOU | NCST
Depth Chart: LOU | NCST
Rosters: LOU | NCST

(#34) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.66 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

NC State's OC Robert Anae

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Louisville's DC Ron English

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NC State's DC Tony Gibson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD