NC State at Duke Game Matchup
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Duke -3.5 (44.0) (-180)  Open: -3.5 | 48.0
Duke 24 - NC State: 3  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE coming off BYE
Our Line: Duke -0.5    (SP+ -0)
PPG only: NCST: 27 - DUKE: 28 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 NC State at UConn-14.547.5W 24 - 14
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Notre Dame+7.049.5L 24 - 45
Sat 9/16 NC State vs VMI-42.551.0W 45 - 7
Fri 9/22 NC State at Virginia-8.547.5W 24 - 21
Fri 9/29 NC State vs Louisville+3.556.5L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7 NC State vs Marshall-6.544.0W 48 - 41
Sat 10/14 NC State at Duke+3.544.0L 3 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State vs Clemson+9.544.5W 24 - 17
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Miami+6.544.0W 20 - 6
Sat 11/11 NC State at Wake Forest+0.542.5W 26 - 6
Sat 11/18 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.540.5W 35 - 28
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina+2.055.0W 39 - 20
Thu 12/28 NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

NCST's OC Robert Anae vs DUKE's DC Tyler Santucci     DUKE's OC Kevin Johns vs NCST's DC Tony Gibson

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.1339%28.540%2.8111438%2263.52.135%30.233%37%3.3957.81.21.7
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1328.530.838.8%3.521.2203401142263.444%55%40%38%16%.13
DUKE Defense1324.519.344%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1330.235.535.1%3.391.7 - - - - - 42%57%33%37%19%.1
DUKE Offense1326.325.744.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1331:2320.436%40%7.357.81.21.76.52.2231.6
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1344%40%34113.83.48.022.8171%10%0.82
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1342%33% - - - - .012.5153%11%1.04
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1355%38%20.736.2226.16.210.9238.251.535%27%.326%2.1
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 19.21.638%30%.368%2
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.66 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.66   Duke: 6.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4   Duke: 9.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.24 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 28
NC State 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09NC State19Duke29DukeNC State -3.5Duke51.5Under
202310/14Duke24NC State3DukeDuke -3.5Duke44.0Under
202010/17NC State31Duke20NC StateNC State -3.5NC State59.5Under
201311/09Duke38NC State20DukeDuke -9Duke0
200910/10NC State28Duke49Duke
200811/08Duke17NC State27NC State
200310/25Duke21NC State28NC State
200210/19NC State24Duke22NC State
200111/03Duke31NC State55NC State
200011/10NC State35Duke31NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke430 Overs
NC State613 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 53 - 13 - 10 - 0
Road Teams5 - 51 - 30 - 01 - 3

(#34) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.66 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

NC State     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #34
#40
Off #83
#48
Def #17
#59
Talent #58
#48
SP+ #30
#29
SP+ Off #69
#53
SP+ Def #16
#25

Rematch from Week 7
Duke -3.5 (44.0)
Duke won vs NC State this year (24-3)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat NC State last year (29-19)
Duke beat NC State in 2023 (24-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | DUKE
Depth Chart: NCST | DUKE
Rosters: NCST | DUKE
(#40) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.24 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00





  
NC State's OC Robert Anae
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duke's OC Kevin Johns
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

NC State's DC Tony Gibson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD