Miami at North Carolina Game Matchup
Miami logo Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -2.5 (57.5) (-185)  Open: -4.0 | 56.0
North Carolina 41 - Miami: 31  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (41 - 31 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -1.5)
PPG only: MIAMI: 36 - UNC: 28 (64)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MIAMI Travel: 691 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Miami vs Miami (OH)-16.545.0W 38 - 3
Sat 9/9 Miami vs Texas A&M+3.050.5W 48 - 33
Thu 9/14 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.063.5W 48 - 7
Sat 9/23 Miami at Temple-23.046.5W 41 - 7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Miami vs Georgia Tech-19.057.0L 20 - 23
Sat 10/14 Miami at North Carolina+2.557.5L 31 - 41
Sat 10/21 Miami vs Clemson+3.048.5W 28 - 20
Sat 10/28 Miami vs Virginia-18.548.0W 29 - 26
Sat 11/4 Miami at NC State-6.544.0L 6 - 20
Sat 11/11 Miami at Florida State+14.550.5L 20 - 27
Sat 11/18 Miami vs Louisville-1.546.5L 31 - 38
Fri 11/24 Miami at Boston College-13.550.5W 45 - 20
Thu 12/28 Miami vs Rutgers+3.041.0L 24 - 31
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI.1344%43.948%3.0912842%2403.5.1541%25.343%40%3.7659.62.12.1
UNC.346%30.945%3.1815347%3094.47.2948%28.149%48%4.5155.311.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1243.940.544.3%3.52.1213681282403.745%54%48%42%17%.13
UNC Defense1428.133.448.3%4.511.1 - - - - - 51%49%49%48%12%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1225.330.841.3%3.762.1 - - - - - 52%47%43%40%21%.15
UNC Offense1430.93646.2%4.471254631533094.245%55%45%47%14%.3

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1230:4221.240%41%759.62.12.16.93.1328.2
North Carolina1429:5524.646%71%6.155.311.13.41.2129.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1245%48%34.5128.13.712.093.0970%11%0.78
UNC Defense1451%49% - - - - .183.2579%6%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1252%43% - - - - .122.8168%14%0.96
UNC Offense1445%45%36.4153.44.224.183.1872%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1254%42%21.334.4239.9711.31812.21.531%32%.297%1.8
UNC Defense1449%48% - - - - - - 9.411.628%31%.46%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1247%40% - - - - - - 13.211.832%34%.297%1.9
UNC Offense1455%47%24.637.5309.38.312.6387.411.632%40%.54%1.9

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: #NR
Miami's Offense Rating: #NR
Miami's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 11.7   North Carolina: 10.2




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 36
North Carolina 28

Projected Total Points: 64
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14North Carolina41Miami31North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina57.5Over
202210/08Miami24North Carolina27North CarolinaMiami -4North Carolina67.5Under
202110/16North Carolina45Miami42North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7.5Miami63.5Over
202012/12Miami26North Carolina62North CarolinaMiami -3.0North Carolina72.5Over
201909/07North Carolina28Miami25North CarolinaMiami -5North Carolina46.0Over
201809/27Miami47North Carolina10MiamiMiami -17.5Miami56.0Over
201710/28North Carolina19Miami24MiamiMiami -21North Carolina56.0Under
201610/15Miami13North Carolina20North CarolinaMiami -7North Carolina67.0Under
201511/14North Carolina59Miami21North CarolinaNorth Carolina -12.5North Carolina68.5Over
201411/01Miami47North Carolina20MiamiMiami -11Miami0
201310/17North Carolina23Miami27MiamiMiami -7.5North Carolina0
201210/13Miami14North Carolina18North Carolina
201110/15North Carolina24Miami30Miami
201010/23Miami33North Carolina10Miami
200911/14North Carolina33Miami24North Carolina
200809/27Miami24North Carolina28North Carolina
200710/06North Carolina33Miami27North Carolina
200610/07Miami27North Carolina7Miami
200510/29Miami34North Carolina16Miami
200410/30North Carolina31Miami28North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1286 Overs
Miami833 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 87 - 44 - 43 - 0
Road Teams8 - 124 - 70 - 34 - 4

(#NR) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Miami     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #15
#16
SP+ #22
#27
SP+ Off #32
#13
SP+ Def #36
#71

Rematch from Week 7
North Carolina -2.5 (57.5)
North Carolina won vs Miami this year (41-31)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Miami in 2023 (41-31)
North Carolina beat Miami in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62°

Team Information
Injuries: MIAMI | UNC
Depth Chart: MIAMI | UNC
Rosters: MIAMI | UNC
(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
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North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
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Miami's DC Lance Guidry
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North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik
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