Duke at Florida State Game Matchup
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Florida State SeminolesFlorida State logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -14.0 (49.0) (-650)  Open: -13.5 | 48.5
Florida State 38 - Duke: 20  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -14)
PPG only: DUKE: 27 - FSU: 20 (47)
FSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
DUKE Travel: 493 miles
Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Florida State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/3 Florida State vs LSU+2.056.5W 45 - 24
Sat 9/9 Florida State vs Southern Miss-31.054.0W 66 - 13
Sat 9/16 Florida State at Boston College-25.548.0W 31 - 29
Sat 9/23 Florida State at Clemson-2.055.5W 31 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-23.552.5W 39 - 17
Sat 10/14 Florida State vs Syracuse-18.553.5W 41 - 3
Sat 10/21 Florida State vs Duke-14.049.0W 38 - 20
Sat 10/28 Florida State at Wake Forest-21.053.5W 41 - 16
Sat 11/4 Florida State at Pittsburgh-21.550.0W 24 - 7
Sat 11/11 Florida State vs Miami-14.550.5W 27 - 20
Sat 11/18 Florida State vs North Alabama W 58 - 13
Sat 11/25 Florida State at Florida-6.051.0W 24 - 15
Sat 12/2 Florida State vs Louisville-3.551.0W 16 - 6
Sat 12/30 Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

DUKE's OC Kevin Johns vs FSU's DC Adam Fuller     FSU's OC Alex Atkins vs DUKE's DC Tyler Santucci

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
FSU.3649%15.452%3.3321446%2704.32.1541%2844%38%4.0857.91.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.444.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24
FSU Defense132822.741.4%4.081.4 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52644%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
FSU Offense1315.416.449%4.321.1244842142705.551%48%52%46%15%.36

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
Florida State1331:0124.251%35%6.657.91.11.462.9133.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06
FSU Defense1356%44% - - - - .163.2773%11%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
FSU Offense1351%52%39.2214.15.533.333.3365%10%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3
FSU Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 8.171.634%28%.36%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
FSU Offense1348%46%19.230.4270.28.914.1287.411.729%39%.515%2.2

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: #NR
Duke's Offense Rating: #NR
Duke's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Florida State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.5   Florida State: 23.7




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: #NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: -

Florida State's SP+ Ratings
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 27
Florida State 20

Projected Total Points: 47
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/18Duke23Florida State16DukeDuke -2.5Duke43.0Under
202310/21Florida State38Duke20Florida StateFlorida State -14.0Florida State49.0Over
202012/12Florida State56Duke35Florida StateFlorida State -3Florida State56.5Over
201710/14Duke10Florida State17Florida StateFlorida State -7NA45.5Under
201312/07Florida State45Duke7Florida StateFlorida State -27.5Florida State0
201210/27Florida State48Duke7Florida State
201110/15Duke16Florida State41Florida State
200710/27Florida State25Duke6Florida State
200610/14Duke24Florida State51Florida State
200510/22Duke24Florida State55Florida State
200411/06Florida State29Duke7Florida State
200309/27Duke7Florida State56Florida State
200209/21Florida State48Duke17Florida State
200109/01Duke13Florida State55Florida State
200010/13Florida State63Duke14Florida State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1432 Overs
Duke112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 64 - 04 - 00 - 0
Road Teams6 - 90 - 40 - 00 - 4

(#NR) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Duke     Ratings Matchup     Florida State
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #48
#24
SP+ #29
#7
SP+ Off #53
#16
SP+ Def #25
#7

Rematch from Week 8
Florida State -14.0 (49.0)
Florida State won vs Duke this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Florida State last year (23-16)
Florida State beat Duke in 2023 (38-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | FSU
Depth Chart: DUKE | FSU
Rosters: DUKE | FSU
(#NR) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Duke's OC Kevin Johns
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Florida State's OC Alex Atkins
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Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Florida State's DC Adam Fuller
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