Virginia at North Carolina Game Matchup
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
North Carolina -24 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Virginia 31 - North Carolina: 27  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 3rd straight Home Game
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -21)
PPG only: UVA: 25 - UNC: 30 (55)
UNC Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
UVA Travel: 150 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0840%22.744%3.212337%2212.81.1341%28.840%41%3.5462.22.21.7
UNC.346%30.945%3.1815347%3094.47.2948%28.149%48%4.5155.311.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1022.726.739.7%2.812.2193441232213.745%54%44%37%22%.08
UNC Defense1428.133.448.3%4.511.1 - - - - - 51%49%49%48%12%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1028.832.240.8%3.541.7 - - - - - 51%49%40%41%15%.13
UNC Offense1430.93646.2%4.471254631533094.245%55%45%47%14%.3

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1027:301932%39%762.22.21.75.13028.2
North Carolina1429:5524.646%71%6.155.311.13.41.2129.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1045%44%32.91233.713.173.272%12%1.01
UNC Defense1451%49% - - - - .183.2579%6%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1051%40% - - - - .083.2667%9%0.87
UNC Offense1445%45%36.4153.44.224.183.1872%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1054%37%18.534.22216.512712.041.536%33%.4210%2
UNC Defense1449%48% - - - - - - 9.411.628%31%.46%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1049%41% - - - - - - 5.191.430%29%.316%2
UNC Offense1455%47%24.637.5309.38.312.6387.411.632%40%.54%1.9

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: #NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: #NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3   North Carolina: 10.2




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 30
Virginia 25

Projected Total Points: 55
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Virginia14North Carolina41North CarolinaVirginia -3.5North Carolina58.5Under
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31VirginiaNorth Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41VirginiaNorth Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38VirginiaVirginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21VirginiaVirginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20VirginiaVirginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North CarolinaNorth Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28North CarolinaVirginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North CarolinaNorth Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37North Carolina
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17North Carolina
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44North Carolina
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16Virginia
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13Virginia
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22Virginia
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0Virginia
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5North Carolina
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24Virginia
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38Virginia
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27Virginia
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24North Carolina
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1263 Overs
Virginia1365 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams12 - 136 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#NR) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Virginia     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #60
#16
SP+ #106
#27
SP+ Off #95
#13
SP+ Def #99
#71

Rematch from Week 8
North Carolina -24.0 (58.0)
Virginia won at North Carolina this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Virginia last year (41-14)
Virginia beat North Carolina in 2023 (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 57° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UVA | UNC
Depth Chart: UVA | UNC
Rosters: UVA | UNC
(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD