Virginia Cavaliers at Miami Hurricanes
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami -18.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Miami 29 - Virginia: 26 (ACC)
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 21.9 MPHUVA 2nd straight Road Game
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -17.5 (SP+ -22)
PPG only: UVA: 24 - MIAMI: 36 (60)
MIAMI Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
UVA Travel: 840 miles
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -17.5 (SP+ -22)
PPG only: UVA: 24 - MIAMI: 36 (60)
MIAMI Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
UVA Travel: 840 miles
Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Virginia's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Sat 9/2 | Virginia vs Tennessee | +27.5 | 56.0 | L 13 - 49 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Virginia vs James Madison | +6.0 | 40.0 | L 35 - 36 | |
| Fri 9/15 | Virginia at Maryland | +16.5 | 48.5 | L 14 - 42 | |
| Fri 9/22 | Virginia vs NC State | +8.5 | 47.5 | L 21 - 24 | |
| Sat 9/30 | Virginia at Boston College | +5.0 | 52.5 | L 24 - 27 | |
| Sat 10/7 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -10.0 | 42.0 | W 27 - 13 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/21 | Virginia at North Carolina | +24.0 | 58.0 | W 31 - 27 | |
| Sat 10/28 | Virginia at Miami | +18.5 | 48.0 | L 26 - 29 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Virginia vs Georgia Tech | -2.0 | 57.5 | L 17 - 45 | |
| Thu 11/9 | Virginia at Louisville | +20.5 | 49.5 | L 24 - 31 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Virginia vs Duke | +4.0 | 48.5 | W 30 - 27 | |
| Sat 11/25 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 17 - 55 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Miami's 2023 Schedule | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | |
| Fri 9/1 | Miami vs Miami (OH) | -16.5 | 45.0 | W 38 - 3 | |
| Sat 9/9 | Miami vs Texas A&M | +3.0 | 50.5 | W 48 - 33 | |
| Thu 9/14 | Miami vs Bethune-Cookman | -54.0 | 63.5 | W 48 - 7 | |
| Sat 9/23 | Miami at Temple | -23.0 | 46.5 | W 41 - 7 | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||
| Sat 10/7 | Miami vs Georgia Tech | -19.0 | 57.0 | L 20 - 23 | |
| Sat 10/14 | Miami at North Carolina | +2.5 | 57.5 | L 31 - 41 | |
| Sat 10/21 | Miami vs Clemson | +3.0 | 48.5 | W 28 - 20 | |
| Sat 10/28 | Miami vs Virginia | -18.5 | 48.0 | W 29 - 26 | |
| Sat 11/4 | Miami at NC State | -6.5 | 44.0 | L 6 - 20 | |
| Sat 11/11 | Miami at Florida State | +14.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 27 | |
| Sat 11/18 | Miami vs Louisville | -1.5 | 46.5 | L 31 - 38 | |
| Fri 11/24 | Miami at Boston College | -13.5 | 50.5 | W 45 - 20 | |
| Thu 12/28 | Miami vs Rutgers | +3.0 | 41.0 | L 24 - 31 | |
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs MIAMI's DC Lance Guidry MIAMI's OC Shannon Dawson vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski
Important Stats (2022)
Overall Stats 2022
Additional Stats 2022
Important Stats (2022)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | .08 | 40% | 22.7 | 44% | 3.2 | 123 | 37% | 221 | 2.81 | .13 | 41% | 28.8 | 40% | 41% | 3.54 | 62.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| MIAMI | .13 | 44% | 43.9 | 48% | 3.09 | 128 | 42% | 240 | 3.5 | .15 | 41% | 25.3 | 43% | 40% | 3.76 | 59.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| MIAMI | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 10 | 22.7 | 26.7 | 39.7% | 2.81 | 2.2 | 19 | 344 | 123 | 221 | 3.7 | 45% | 54% | 44% | 37% | 22% | .08 |
| MIAMI Defense | 12 | 25.3 | 17 | 41.3% | 3.76 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 43% | 40% | 21% | .15 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 10 | 28.8 | 32.2 | 40.8% | 3.54 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 40% | 41% | 15% | .13 |
| MIAMI Offense | 12 | 43.9 | 47.8 | 44.3% | 3.5 | 2.1 | 21 | 368 | 128 | 240 | 3.7 | 45% | 54% | 48% | 42% | 17% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2022
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 10 | 27:30 | 19 | 32% | 39% | 7 | 62.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 3 | 0 | 28.2 |
| Miami | 12 | 30:42 | 21.2 | 40% | 41% | 7 | 59.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 3 | 28.2 |
Run Game Stats (2023)
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 10 | 45% | 44% | 32.9 | 123 | 3.7 | 13 | .17 | 3.2 | 72% | 12% | 1.01 |
| MIAMI Defense | 12 | 52% | 43% | - | - | - | - | .12 | 2.81 | 68% | 14% | 0.96 |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 10 | 51% | 40% | - | - | - | - | .08 | 3.26 | 67% | 9% | 0.87 |
| MIAMI Offense | 12 | 45% | 48% | 34.5 | 128.1 | 3.7 | 12 | .09 | 3.09 | 70% | 11% | 0.78 |
Pass Game Stats (2023)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 10 | 54% | 37% | 18.5 | 34.2 | 221 | 6.5 | 12 | 7 | 12 | .04 | 1.5 | 36% | 33% | .42 | 10% | 2 |
| MIAMI Defense | 12 | 47% | 40% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | .21 | 1.8 | 32% | 34% | .29 | 7% | 1.9 |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 10 | 49% | 41% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | .19 | 1.4 | 30% | 29% | .31 | 6% | 2 |
| MIAMI Offense | 12 | 54% | 42% | 21.3 | 34.4 | 239.9 | 7 | 11.3 | 18 | 12 | .2 | 1.5 | 31% | 32% | .29 | 7% | 1.8 |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.47 Miami: 11.9
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3 Miami: 11.7
Virginia: -5.47 Miami: 11.9
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3 Miami: 11.7
Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 11.9 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Miami's Power Rating: 11.9 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's SP+ Ratings
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2
Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2
Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 36
Virginia 24
Projected Total Points: 60
Miami 36
Virginia 24
Projected Total Points: 60
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17
Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17
Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 10/28 | Miami | 29 | Virginia | 26 | Miami | Miami -18.5 | Virginia | 48.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Virginia | 12 | Miami | 14 | Miami | Miami -3 | Virginia | 48.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 09/30 | Miami | 28 | Virginia | 30 | Virginia | Miami -3.5 | Virginia | 63.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/24 | Miami | 19 | Virginia | 14 | Miami | Miami -13.5 | Virginia | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/11 | Miami | 17 | Virginia | 9 | Miami | Miami -2.5 | Miami | 44.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Virginia | 16 | Miami | 13 | Virginia | Miami -7 | Virginia | 46.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Miami | 44 | Virginia | 28 | Miami | Miami -20 | Virginia | 50.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/12 | Virginia | 14 | Miami | 34 | Miami | Miami -11 | Miami | 55.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | Miami | 27 | Virginia | 21 | Miami | Miami -7.5 | Virginia | 53.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/22 | Virginia | 30 | Miami | 13 | Virginia | Miami -7 | Virginia | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Miami | 45 | Virginia | 26 | Miami | Miami -19.5 | Virginia | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | Virginia | 41 | Miami | 40 | Virginia | ||||
| 2011 | 10/27 | Miami | 21 | Virginia | 28 | Virginia | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Virginia | 24 | Miami | 19 | Virginia | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Miami | 52 | Virginia | 17 | Miami | ||||
| 2008 | 11/01 | Virginia | 17 | Miami | 24 | Miami | ||||
| 2007 | 11/10 | Miami | 0 | Virginia | 48 | Virginia | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Virginia | 17 | Miami | 7 | Virginia | ||||
| 2005 | 11/26 | Miami | 25 | Virginia | 17 | Miami | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | Virginia | 21 | Miami | 31 | Miami |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 12 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| Virginia | 8 | 9 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 7 | 4 - 7 | 1 - 6 | 3 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 13 | 7 - 4 | 1 - 3 | 6 - 1 |
(#93) Virginia Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Power #93
#22Off #84
#42Def #114
#41Talent #60
#15SP+ #106
#22SP+ Off #95
#32SP+ Def #99
#36Rematch from Week 9
Miami -18.5 (48.0)
Miami won vs Virginia this year (29-26)
Previous Matchups
Miami beat Virginia in 2023 (29-26)
Miami beat Virginia in 2022 (14-12)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 82° - Wind: 22 mph
Team Information
Injuries: UVA | MIAMI
Depth Chart: UVA | MIAMI
Rosters: UVA | MIAMI
(#22) Miami Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.9 #22
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.9 #22
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|