Virginia at Louisville Game Matchup
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Thursday, November 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Louisville -20.5 (49.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisville 31 - Virginia: 24  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -21)
PPG only: UVA: 23 - LOU: 33 (56)
LOU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
UVA Travel: 394 miles
Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Louisville's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-7.049.5W 39 - 34
Thu 9/7 Louisville vs Murray State-43.555.5W 56 - 0
Sat 9/16 Louisville vs Indiana-10.051.0W 21 - 14
Sat 9/23 Louisville vs Boston College-14.053.0W 56 - 28
Fri 9/29 Louisville at NC State-3.556.5W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7 Louisville vs Notre Dame+6.553.0W 33 - 20
Sat 10/14 Louisville at Pittsburgh-7.544.5L 21 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Louisville vs Duke-5.047.0W 23 - 0
Sat 11/4 Louisville vs Virginia Tech-9.548.5W 34 - 3
Thu 11/9 Louisville vs Virginia-20.549.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/18 Louisville at Miami+1.546.5W 38 - 31
Sat 11/25 Louisville vs Kentucky-7.547.5L 31 - 38
Sat 12/2 Louisville vs Florida State+3.551.0L 6 - 16
Wed 12/27 Louisville vs USC-4.558.0L 28 - 42
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs LOU's DC Ron English     LOU's OC Brian Brohm vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0840%22.744%3.212337%2212.81.1341%28.840%41%3.5462.22.21.7
LOU.1941%36.543%3.1820141%2063.74.0740%24.143%38%2.85661.82.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1022.726.739.7%2.812.2193441232213.745%54%44%37%22%.08
LOU Defense1324.121.340.3%2.852.6 - - - - - 51%48%43%38%20%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1028.832.240.8%3.541.7 - - - - - 51%49%40%41%15%.13
LOU Offense1336.541.841.3%3.741.820407201206555%44%43%41%15%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1027:301932%39%762.22.21.75.13028.2
Louisville1329:5420.338%40%6.9661.82.67.23.7330
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1045%44%32.91233.713.173.272%12%1.01
LOU Defense1351%43% - - - - .042.9760%14%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1051%40% - - - - .083.2667%9%0.87
LOU Offense1355%43%39.9201525.213.1869%10%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1054%37%18.534.22216.512712.041.536%33%.4210%2
LOU Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 15.161.633%26%.146%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1049%41% - - - - - - 5.191.430%29%.316%2
LOU Offense1344%41%16.828.3205.57.312.31312.221.634%31%.375%2.1

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: #NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: #NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Louisville: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3   Louisville: 10.8




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 2 #NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: #NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: -

Louisville's SP+ Ratings
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
Virginia 23

Projected Total Points: 56
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Virginia20Louisville24LouisvilleLouisville -7Virginia54.0Under
202311/09Louisville31Virginia24LouisvilleLouisville -20.5Virginia49.5Over
202210/08Virginia17Louisville34LouisvilleVirginia -1.5Louisville47.5Over
202110/09Louisville33Virginia34VirginiaLouisville -2.5Virginia69.5Under
202011/14Virginia31Louisville17VirginiaVirginia -5.5Virginia64.5Under
201910/26Louisville28Virginia21LouisvilleVirginia -4.5Louisville51.0Under
201809/22Virginia27Louisville3VirginiaVirginia -4.5Virginia51.5Under
201711/11Louisville38Virginia21LouisvilleLouisville -14Louisville66.5Under
201610/29Virginia25Louisville32LouisvilleLouisville -27Virginia69.5Under
201511/14Louisville38Virginia31LouisvilleLouisville -8.5Virginia48.0Over
201409/13Virginia23Louisville21VirginiaLouisville -10Virginia0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville733 Overs
Virginia487 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 47 - 43 - 44 - 0
Road Teams4 - 74 - 70 - 44 - 3

(#NR) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Virginia     Ratings Matchup     Louisville
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #60
#46
SP+ #106
#24
SP+ Off #95
#40
SP+ Def #99
#26

Rematch from Week 11
Louisville -20.5 (49.5)
Louisville won vs Virginia this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Virginia last year (24-20)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2023 (31-24)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2022 (34-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 59° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UVA | LOU
Depth Chart: UVA | LOU
Rosters: UVA | LOU
(#NR) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD