Duke at North Carolina Game Matchup
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
North Carolina -9.5 (52.5) (-455)  Open: -9.5
North Carolina 47 - Duke: 45  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2    (SP+ -1)
PPG only: DUKE: 27 - UNC: 28 (55)
UNC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mack Brown (33 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 28 (36 - 33 @ Home)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs App State-18.058.0W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

DUKE's OC Kevin Johns vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs DUKE's DC Tyler Santucci

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
UNC.346%30.945%3.1815347%3094.47.2948%28.149%48%4.5155.311.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.444.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24
UNC Defense1428.133.448.3%4.511.1 - - - - - 51%49%49%48%12%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52644%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
UNC Offense1430.93646.2%4.471254631533094.245%55%45%47%14%.3

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
North Carolina1429:5524.646%71%6.155.311.13.41.2129.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06
UNC Defense1451%49% - - - - .183.2579%6%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
UNC Offense1445%45%36.4153.44.224.183.1872%10%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3
UNC Defense1449%48% - - - - - - 9.411.628%31%.46%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
UNC Offense1455%47%24.637.5309.38.312.6387.411.632%40%.54%1.9

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: #NR
Duke's Offense Rating: #NR
Duke's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.5   North Carolina: 10.2




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 #NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: #NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 28
Duke 27

Projected Total Points: 55
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20DukeNorth Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North CarolinaNorth Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North CarolinaNorth Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35DukeDuke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27DukeNorth Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27DukeNorth Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North CarolinaNorth Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45North CarolinaDuke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27DukeNorth Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30Duke
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21North Carolina
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24North Carolina
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6North Carolina
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28North Carolina
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14North Carolina
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45North Carolina
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21North Carolina
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40North Carolina
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30Duke
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17North Carolina
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1765 Overs
Duke765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 136 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#NR) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Duke     Ratings Matchup     North Carolina
Power #NR
#NR
Off #NR
#NR
Def #NR
#NR
Talent #48
#16
SP+ #29
#27
SP+ Off #53
#13
SP+ Def #25
#71

Rematch from Week 11
North Carolina -9.5 (52.5)
North Carolina won vs Duke this year (47-45)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 54°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | UNC
Depth Chart: DUKE | UNC
Rosters: DUKE | UNC
(#NR) North Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2 #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #71
Talent Rating: 948.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #NR
Expected Record: -





  
Duke's OC Kevin Johns
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North Carolina's OC Chip Lindsey
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Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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North Carolina's DC Gene Chizik
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